Commodities February 23, 2026

U.S. Commerce Department to Announce Preliminary Ruling on Solar Imports from India, Indonesia and Laos

Preliminary countervailing duty decision arrives ahead of separate probe into alleged dumping; industry group seeks protection for U.S. factory investments

By Marcus Reed
U.S. Commerce Department to Announce Preliminary Ruling on Solar Imports from India, Indonesia and Laos

The U.S. Commerce Department is due to issue a preliminary determination on anti-subsidy duties for solar cells and panels imported from India, Laos and Indonesia. This announcement begins a two-step process in a trade case brought by a coalition of U.S. and international solar manufacturers seeking relief against alleged unfair subsidies and below-cost pricing. A separate preliminary finding on dumping is scheduled next month, with final rulings likely later this year.

Key Points

  • Commerce will issue a preliminary countervailing duty decision on solar cells and panels from India, Laos and Indonesia - affecting trade flows in the solar manufacturing sector.
  • A separate preliminary determination on alleged dumping - imports priced below production cost - is scheduled for next month; final rulings are expected later this year.
  • The petitioning Alliance for American Solar Manufacturing and Trade, which includes Hanwha Qcells and First Solar, aims to protect billions of dollars invested in U.S. solar factories; previous successful tariff actions targeted several Southeast Asian countries.

The U.S. Commerce Department will on Monday release a preliminary decision on whether to impose countervailing duties on solar cells and panels imported from India, Laos and Indonesia. The ruling is the first of two expected agency actions in a trade petition lodged by a group representing part of the U.S. solar manufacturing sector.

The preliminary decision on countervailing duties will examine whether companies operating in the three named countries received government subsidies that gave them an unfair advantage over American-produced panels and cells. Commerce officials are set to consider subsidy claims in this initial determination, while a separate finding on dumping allegations - whether imports entered the U.S. at prices below their cost of production - is due next month.

Industry advocates behind the petition include the Alliance for American Solar Manufacturing and Trade, a coalition that counts South Korea's Hanwha Qcells and Arizona-based First Solar among its members. The group says it is seeking protection for billions of dollars invested in U.S. factories.

The petition, filed in July, asserts that some Chinese firms shifted production to nations that did not previously face U.S. tariffs, including Indonesia and Laos, and additionally accuses manufacturers headquartered in India of dumping low-priced solar goods into the U.S. market. The same coalition previously secured tariffs on imports from several Southeast Asian countries, including Malaysia, Cambodia, Vietnam and Thailand.

Commerce is likely to make final determinations on these matters later in the year. The two-step timetable - a preliminary countervailing duty finding followed by a separate decision on alleged dumping - frames the immediate schedule for the trade case.


Context and next steps

  • Monday's announcement focuses on countervailing duties - the role of alleged government subsidies in pricing.
  • A separate Commerce decision next month will address dumping allegations - whether imports were sold below production cost.
  • Final determinations are likely to follow later this year, concluding the agency's review process.

The outcome of Commerce's preliminary decision will shape the timetable for potential tariffs and any subsequent enforcement actions, and it will inform stakeholders on both sides of the trade case as they prepare for the agency's next ruling.

Risks

  • Preliminary nature of Monday's decision means outcomes remain uncertain until Commerce reaches final determinations later this year - affecting companies, supply chains and investors in solar manufacturing.
  • The separate dumping investigation set for next month introduces additional uncertainty for importers and downstream U.S. solar purchasers if duties are applied.
  • Allegations that production was shifted to countries without prior U.S. tariffs - if substantiated or disputed - could complicate enforcement and create volatility in cross-border supply chains.

More from Commodities

Hungary Signals It Will Block New EU Russia Sanctions and €90bn Kyiv Loan Over Druzhba Pipeline Dispute Feb 23, 2026 Goldman Raises Q4 2026 Oil Forecasts as OECD Stocks Tighten Feb 23, 2026 Goldman Increases Late-2026 Oil Price Forecasts as OECD Inventories Tighten Feb 23, 2026 Oil Pulls Back as US-Iran Talks and New US Tariffs Add Uncertainty Feb 22, 2026 Gold Continues Four-Day Rally as U.S. Tariff Actions Spur Safe-Haven Demand Feb 22, 2026