Commodities March 9, 2026

Putin Warns of Global Energy Shock After Iran Conflict, Says Russia Open to Renewed Ties with Europe

Moscow signals willingness to resume long-term cooperation with European buyers even as trade patterns and sanctions have shifted sales toward Asia

By Priya Menon
Putin Warns of Global Energy Shock After Iran Conflict, Says Russia Open to Renewed Ties with Europe

Russian President Vladimir Putin said the conflict involving the U.S. and Israel and Iran has precipitated a global energy crisis, warning that oil flows reliant on the Strait of Hormuz may stop within weeks. He told officials and leaders of Russia’s major oil and gas companies that Moscow is prepared to work with European customers again if they signal readiness to re-establish long-term ties, while acknowledging that the recent price spike is likely temporary.

Key Points

  • Putin says recent hostilities involving the U.S., Israel and Iran have produced a global energy crisis and warned that oil shipments relying on the Strait of Hormuz may stop within a month - impacting global oil and LNG flows.
  • Moscow signals willingness to resume long-term cooperation with European buyers if Europe shows it is ready to provide stability - relevant to energy trade and government finance.
  • Western efforts over the past four years to reduce dependence on Russian oil and gas have shifted Russian exports toward Asia and forced sales at substantial discounts, affecting energy market dynamics and Russian fiscal receipts.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Monday that recent hostilities involving the U.S., Israel and Iran have triggered a global energy crisis and cautioned that oil production dependent on shipments through the Strait of Hormuz could halt soon.

Speaking at a televised meeting with government ministers and the heads of Russia’s leading oil and gas producers, Putin said Moscow had warned repeatedly that instability in the Middle East could produce an energy shock with serious consequences for the global economy. He said that warning had now been realised.

Oil prices climbed above $100 per barrel on Monday, reaching levels not seen since 2022, as the Strait of Hormuz - which is responsible for around one fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows - has effectively been closed amid the Iran conflict.

"Oil production dependent on the Strait of Hormuz risks halting completely within the next month. It has already begun to decline, and storage facilities in the region are filling with oil that cannot be transported, is extremely difficult to transport, or is extremely expensive to transport," Putin said.

Putin urged Russian companies to capitalise on the current situation in the Middle East, while noting that the recent surge in prices was probably temporary. He pointed to the importance of hydrocarbon revenues for state finances, noting that oil and gas receipts account for about a quarter of total federal budget proceeds.

At the same time he reiterated Moscow's openness to renewed cooperation with European customers. "We’re ready to work with Europeans too. But we need some signals from them that they’re ready and willing to work with us and will ensure this sustainability and stability," he said.

Those remarks come against the backdrop of a marked reduction in Western reliance on Russian energy over the past four years, prompted by Moscow's war in Ukraine and related sanctions by the EU and G7 countries. The loss of the European market has cost Russia access to its most profitable buyers and obliged it to sell oil and gas to Asian buyers at significant discounts.

Last week, Putin directed the government to assess measures to reroute remaining Russian oil and gas flows away from Europe prior to the European Union enforcing its decision to fully ban Russian fossil fuels.

Before the conflict in Ukraine, Europe sourced more than 40% of its gas from Russia. By 2025, however, combined sales of Russian pipeline gas and liquefied natural gas accounted for only 13% of total EU imports.

G7 nations said on Monday they stood ready to adopt "necessary measures" in response to the spike in global oil prices, but stopped short of committing to releases from strategic reserves.


This account reflects statements made by the Russian president and data points presented at the televised meeting. Information about price levels, shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and the share of hydrocarbon revenues in the federal budget was reported during that session.

Risks

  • Disruption of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz could halt production reliant on that route within weeks - a supply risk for global energy markets and a logistical risk for maritime transport.
  • Loss of European customers has forced Russia to sell oil and gas at steep discounts to Asian buyers, creating revenue and price risks for the Russian energy sector and federal budget stability.
  • The current spike in oil prices may be temporary, introducing uncertainty for energy producers and consumers and complicating fiscal planning where oil and gas revenues make up around a quarter of federal budget proceeds.

More from Commodities

Rising Diesel Costs Threaten Brazilian Harvest as Middle East Tension Pushes Oil Higher Mar 9, 2026 Oil spikes on Iran conflict as energy stocks lag; traders bet on a short-lived supply shock Mar 9, 2026 Washington Weighs Tools to Cool Oil Prices as Conflict Lifts Market Risk Mar 9, 2026 Tokenized Oil Trading on Hyperliquid Rockets Past $1.2 Billion Amid Middle East Escalation Mar 9, 2026 White House to Weigh Measures to Curb Surging Oil Prices Mar 9, 2026