Commodities June 3, 2026 06:18 AM

Kuwait to Restore Majority of Oil Output Weeks After Hormuz Reopens, Refining to Recover Faster

Kuwait Petroleum Company outlines phased return of production and refinery operations following end of Strait of Hormuz disruption

By Nina Shah

Kuwait Petroleum Company said it expects to bring roughly 70% of its oil production back online within six to eight weeks after the Strait of Hormuz reopens, with the remaining 30% needing an additional month. Company officials also expect refinery throughput to normalize within two to three weeks once the crisis ends.

Kuwait to Restore Majority of Oil Output Weeks After Hormuz Reopens, Refining to Recover Faster

Key Points

  • Kuwait Petroleum Company expects to restore about 70% of oil production within six to eight weeks after the Strait of Hormuz reopens.
  • The remaining 30% of production capacity is expected to take roughly one additional month to recover.
  • Refinery operations are projected to return to normal levels faster, within approximately two to three weeks after the crisis ends.

Kuwait Petroleum Company has provided a timetable for restoring its oil operations once the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. The company's managing director for international marketing, Shaikh Khaled Ahmad Al-Sabah, said that roughly 70% of normal oil output could be recovered within six to eight weeks after the channel is accessible again, and that the remaining capacity would likely take about one more month to return.

Al-Sabah delivered the projection during remarks at the S&P Global Energy Middle East Petroleum and Gas Conference on Tuesday. He also outlined expectations for refinery operations, saying those facilities should resume normal production more quickly than upstream output.

Specifically, Kuwait Petroleum Company anticipates refinery activity returning to typical levels in approximately two to three weeks after the crisis that has affected the Strait of Hormuz concludes. On the production timeline, he summarized the company view plainly: "Our oil production could go back to 70% of normal level in 6-8 weeks, one month more for remaining 30%."


The companystatement establishes a phased recovery scenario tied directly to the reopening of the maritime route. The remarks differentiate between the speed of recovery for crude output and that for refining operations, with refineries expected to normalize earlier.

While specific operational steps or logistical details were not provided, the timelines given by Kuwait Petroleum Company set expectations for a staggered restoration of capacity: an initial return to a majority of output within two months, followed by a subsequent month to reclaim full upstream capacity, and a faster return to normal for refining within a fortnight to three weeks.


What this means

  • Kuwait Petroleum Company projects about 70% of oil production restored within 6-8 weeks after the Strait of Hormuz reopens, with the remaining 30% requiring an additional month.
  • Refinery operations are expected to resume normal production quicker, estimated at roughly 2-3 weeks after the crisis ends.
  • The comments were made by Shaikh Khaled Ahmad Al-Sabah at the S&P Global Energy Middle East Petroleum and Gas Conference.

Context and limitations

The timeline is conditional on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the cessation of the ongoing crisis affecting the waterway. The company did not provide further operational details or contingency measures in its public remarks.

Risks

  • Timelines are contingent on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the end of the crisis affecting the waterway, which introduces uncertainty for the recovery schedule - impacts sectors such as energy and shipping.
  • No detailed operational or logistical steps were provided, leaving uncertainty about potential technical or coordination challenges in restoring the remaining 30% of production - relevant to upstream oil operations and refineries.

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