Analyst Ratings February 10, 2026

UBS Sticks With Buy on Vertiv, Cites AI-Driven Order Strength and Potential Revenue Upside

Analysts highlight large technology capex disclosures and a strategic thermal-management acquisition as catalysts ahead of Vertiv’s February earnings

By Hana Yamamoto VRT
UBS Sticks With Buy on Vertiv, Cites AI-Driven Order Strength and Potential Revenue Upside
VRT

UBS reaffirmed a Buy rating and set a $217 price objective on Vertiv Holdings Co. (VRT) ahead of the company’s February 11 earnings release. The firm points to technology-sector capital expenditure disclosures and strong order signals, which—if they convert to revenue on the historical one-year lag—could push 2027 revenue materially above consensus. Recent strategic moves and mixed analyst reactions underscore a dynamic investment backdrop for the data-center infrastructure supplier.

Key Points

  • UBS reaffirmed a Buy rating and $217 price target on Vertiv ahead of its February 11 earnings report, aligning with a strong analyst consensus of 1.48.
  • UBS highlights technology sector capital-expenditure disclosures implying more than $4 billion in Q4 orders and potential for up to $20 billion by 2026; if orders convert to revenue on the historical one-year lag, Vertiv’s revenue could be roughly 40% above 2027 consensus.
  • Corporate actions include the approximately $1 billion acquisition of PurgeRite for enhanced thermal and liquid-cooling capabilities, and a 67% increase in the annual cash dividend from $0.15 to $0.25 per share; other analysts have issued mixed reactions and revised targets.

UBS has reasserted a Buy rating on Vertiv Holdings Co. (NYSE: VRT) and maintained a $217.00 price target as the company approaches its February 11 earnings announcement. The brokerage’s stance reflects optimism about sustained demand tied to technology-sector spending, and it aligns with a broad analyst consensus that currently sits at a strong 1.48 on the standard 1-to-5 scale, where 1 denotes Strong Buy.

Vertiv’s shares have already climbed sharply, delivering a 60.85% total return over the past 12 months and trading at $200.59 at the time of the latest report. That level places the stock just under its 52-week peak of $208.43. Despite that recent appreciation, UBS argues there remains room for further upside based on order and revenue trajectories observed in the technology ecosystem.

UBS points to capital-expenditure disclosures from technology companies that, in aggregate, imply quarterly orders in excess of $4 billion for the fourth quarter and potential cumulative orders approaching $20 billion by 2026. The firm notes that, historically, orders have translated into revenue roughly one year later over the past three years. If that pattern persists, UBS estimates Vertiv’s revenue could be about 40% higher than the current 2027 consensus figures.

Under that upside scenario, UBS calculates that Vertiv would trade at under 20 times projected 2027 earnings per share, leaving room for additional multiple expansion despite the stock’s recent run. The analysis leans on the assumption that order flow converts to revenue with the observed one-year lag, a key linkage UBS highlights in its upside case.

Strategic moves at the company also factor into the analyst conversation. Vertiv completed the acquisition of PurgeRite for approximately $1 billion, a transaction the company says will bolster its thermal-management services, including liquid-cooling capabilities tailored to high-density computing and artificial intelligence workloads. Around the same time, Vertiv increased its annual cash dividend by 67%, raising it from $0.15 to $0.25 per share, a move cited as reflective of the company’s cash-generation profile.

Analyst reactions have been varied. Barclays upgraded Vertiv from Equalweight to Overweight and lifted its price target to $200, calling the shares an attractive entry point. TD Cowen raised its price target to $211 and kept a Buy rating, noting Vertiv’s positioning for near-term order growth amid rising data-center demand. By contrast, Wolfe Research moved to downgrade the stock from Outperform to Peerperform on the grounds that a substantial appreciation in the share price had produced a more balanced risk-reward profile.

Taken together, the mix of analyst confirmations, upgrades, a notable acquisition, and a raised dividend paint a picture of an active corporate and market moment for Vertiv. Investors and analysts are weighing near-term order flow and the historical revenue conversion pattern alongside valuation considerations as the company heads into its earnings report.

Risks

  • Valuation sensitivity following a 60.85% one-year share-price gain and trading near its 52-week high increases the risk that further upside may be limited absent continued order conversion to revenue - this affects equity investors and technology-adjacent markets.
  • The upside scenario relies on the historical pattern that orders translate to revenue about one year later; should that pattern not hold, projected revenue and valuation targets would be at risk - this impacts revenue forecasts and data-center equipment demand assumptions.
  • Divergent analyst views, including a downgrade from Wolfe Research due to a more balanced risk-reward after the stock’s rise, introduce uncertainty in investor sentiment and could influence market positioning in related technology and infrastructure sectors.

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