Analyst Ratings February 18, 2026

UBS Lowers Genuine Parts Price Target After Q4 Shortfall, Keeps Neutral Rating

Analyst trims target to $135 amid earnings miss, separation plans and inflationary pressures; dividend record remains intact

By Priya Menon GPC
UBS Lowers Genuine Parts Price Target After Q4 Shortfall, Keeps Neutral Rating
GPC

UBS cut its price target for Genuine Parts Company to $135 from $150 and left a Neutral rating in place after the distributor reported softer fourth-quarter results and trimmed its 2026 outlook. The company posted an earnings shortfall and faces revenue softness and SG&A inflation as it moves forward with a planned separation of its Auto and Industrial businesses.

Key Points

  • UBS cut Genuine Parts’ price target to $135 from $150 and maintained a Neutral rating; shares declined about 15.76% over the past week.
  • Fourth-quarter results missed expectations: company-reported EPS of $1.55 versus $1.81 expected (a -14.36% surprise) and quarterly revenue of $6.0 billion versus $6.06 billion projected; UBS also cited a 17% EPS miss in its assessment.
  • Company announced separation of Auto and Industrial segments while operating with a lower earnings base; LTM revenue was $24.3 billion and gross margin was 36.83%.

Summary

UBS reduced its price objective on Genuine Parts Company to $135 from $150 while retaining a Neutral rating. The change follows a pronounced market reaction to the company’s fourth-quarter performance and updated guidance for 2026. Over the most recent week the stock fell 15.76%.


Quarterly results and financial metrics

Genuine Parts reported results that fell short of expectations in the fourth quarter. UBS referenced a 17% earnings-per-share shortfall relative to forecasts for the quarter. More granular company disclosures show fourth-quarter EPS of $1.55 versus an anticipated $1.81, which the company characterized as a -14.36% surprise. Quarterly revenue totaled $6.0 billion, just under the $6.06 billion that had been projected.

Over the last twelve months the company generated $24.3 billion in revenue and reported a gross profit margin of 36.83%. The firm’s market capitalization is roughly $16.9 billion.


Drivers of the miss

The company and UBS pointed to weaker revenue growth and persistent inflation in selling, general and administrative expenses as primary pressures on results. Management attributed softness to subdued trends in its North American independent segment and to weakness in its European auto business. Despite these headwinds, analysts continue to model modest top-line expansion, with consensus forecasts projecting about 4% revenue growth for fiscal year 2026.


Strategic shift - separation of businesses

Genuine Parts announced plans to separate its Auto and Industrial segments, a long-expected corporate move. UBS noted that the firm will enter this next phase with a lower earnings base than previously anticipated. The analyst firm expects the shares to trade within their recent range until the company makes visible progress on the separation and underlying operating performance improves.


Investor considerations

One point cited as a stabilizing factor for income-focused shareholders is the company’s long dividend history. Genuine Parts has maintained dividend payments for 56 consecutive years and offers a current yield of 3.28%.


Related developments

Separately, Brightpick announced a strategic partnership with NAPA to deploy more than 100 robots across NAPA distribution centers following a pilot that began in 2025. That partnership and automation rollout reflect evolving supply-chain and distribution dynamics affecting the auto-parts and distribution sectors.


Outlook from UBS and market reaction

UBS lowered its target price and left a Neutral rating in place, signaling a cautious stance until the company demonstrates progress on operational improvement and completion of its planned separation. The firm’s comments, combined with the earnings miss and guidance reduction, have contributed to recent volatility in the stock.


Details of the reported surprises

The fourth-quarter EPS figure of $1.55 missed the $1.81 expectation and produced a -14.36% surprise based on the company’s reported numbers. Quarterly revenue recorded at $6.0 billion fell slightly short of the $6.06 billion projection.


Final note

Investors and industry participants will likely monitor execution of the separation, the trajectory of SG&A inflation, and revenue trends in the North American independent and European auto channels as key indicators of whether the company can restore its prior earnings trajectory.

Risks

  • Execution risk related to the planned separation of the Auto and Industrial segments, which could affect operational focus and investor sentiment - impacts Distributors and Industrial sectors.
  • Continued SG&A inflation and weaker revenue growth, particularly in the North American independent and European auto channels, could pressure margins and cash flow - impacts Automotive and Distribution sectors.
  • Near-term share-price volatility as UBS expects the stock to trade in its recent range until separation progress and improved underlying performance are evident - impacts equity investors in the Distributors industry.

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