Analyst Ratings February 11, 2026

UBS Lifts Aramark Price Target to $47 After Strong Q1 Results and New Healthcare Win

Analysts raise targets as organic growth beats estimates and contract awards bolster near-term outlook

By Sofia Navarro ARMK
UBS Lifts Aramark Price Target to $47 After Strong Q1 Results and New Healthcare Win
ARMK

UBS increased its price target for ARAMARK Holdings to $47 from $45 and kept a Buy rating after the company reported fiscal first-quarter results that exceeded expectations for organic growth. Shares rose after the results and a notable healthcare contract win that UBS says should support net new business through fiscal 2026 and into fiscal 2027. Other firms also adjusted targets following the quarter: Stifel to $47 and Morgan Stanley to $45.

Key Points

  • UBS raised ARAMARK’s price target to $47 from $45 and kept a Buy rating after fiscal Q1 results showing stronger organic growth.
  • Q1 adjusted EPS was $0.51 versus $0.50 expected; revenue was $4.83 billion compared with $4.74 billion forecast.
  • Stifel also lifted its target to $47 and Morgan Stanley to $45; Stifel maintained Buy and Morgan Stanley kept an Equalweight rating.

UBS raised its price target on ARAMARK Holdings (ARMK) to $47.00 from $45.00 and retained a Buy rating, following the company’s fiscal first-quarter report that delivered stronger-than-expected organic growth. ARAMARK shares traded around $42.33 and carry a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.97, a valuation level noted as slightly below UBS’s revised target and close to an independent Fair Value assessment.

The stock climbed 6% on the trading day after the results were released, reversing a recent trend of revenue shortfalls. ARAMARK’s shares have gained 11.12% year-to-date and are up 10.28% over the last 12 months, reflecting improved momentum heading into the fiscal year.

Among the items highlighted by analysts was a sizable healthcare contract award. UBS views that contract as a meaningful contributor to ARAMARK’s net new business trajectory through fiscal 2026 and as supportive of growth prospects into fiscal 2027. The firm left its fiscal 2026 estimates intact, while noting that confidence in the company’s ability to meet fiscal 2026 guidance has risen after the stronger first-quarter performance.

Financial metrics disclosed for the quarter included adjusted earnings per share of $0.51, marginally above consensus of $0.50. Revenue came in at $4.83 billion versus an expectation of $4.74 billion. UBS and other analysts cited the solid quarter, strong contract activity, and high retention rates as rationale for revising price targets.

Stifel raised its price target to $47, pointing to what it described as a solid quarter marked by strong contracting and high retention rates, and kept a Buy rating. Morgan Stanley increased its target to $45, referencing ARAMARK’s 5.0% organic revenue growth in the period, while maintaining an Equalweight rating.

Margins in the quarter were described as slightly lighter, though still within expected ranges. UBS identified specific drivers that could lift margins for the remainder of the year, including improved healthcare cost trends and favorable incentive plan comparisons. Separately, company-level data shows a gross profit margin of 15.52%, a figure characterized as an area requiring improvement.

As of the latest trading, ARAMARK is a market cap participant valued at approximately $11.12 billion and is classified within the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. The company has a record of paying dividends for 13 consecutive years, with a current yield of 1.17%.

Analysts continue to expect the company to be profitable over the fiscal year, with an EPS forecast of $2.26 for fiscal 2026. UBS emphasized that recent contract wins strengthen visibility into 2027 while maintaining its fiscal 2026 projections following the encouraging start to the year.


Context and implications

  • Price-target adjustments by UBS, Stifel, and Morgan Stanley reflect renewed analyst confidence after ARAMARK’s fiscal Q1 beats on revenue and adjusted EPS.
  • The healthcare contract award is singled out as a near-term growth driver, with UBS pointing to improved net new business through fiscal 2026 and supporting 2027 prospects.
  • Despite slightly compressed margins in the quarter, analysts see several levers that could improve profitability later in the fiscal year.

Risks

  • Margins were slightly lighter in the quarter, and gross profit margin at 15.52% points to ongoing margin pressure in the foodservice and facilities management business - impacting profitability in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure and healthcare-serving operations.
  • While UBS maintained fiscal 2026 estimates, achieving guidance depends on continued contract wins and retention; any slowdown in new business could weaken the path to fiscal 2027 growth - affecting revenue and earnings forecasts.
  • Healthcare cost trends and incentive comparisons were cited as potential margin improvement drivers; unfavorable movements in these factors could prevent margin recovery and weigh on investor sentiment in service-heavy sectors.

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