Analyst Ratings February 12, 2026

Truist Lifts GXO Logistics Price Target to $70, Cites Execution and Productivity Upside

Analyst keeps Buy rating as company posts better-than-expected Q4 results and guidance assumes flat volumes

By Hana Yamamoto GXO
Truist Lifts GXO Logistics Price Target to $70, Cites Execution and Productivity Upside
GXO

Truist Securities raised its price objective on GXO Logistics Inc. to $70 from $65 and retained a Buy rating, noting that future upside hinges on execution of secured contracts and productivity gains - particularly from AI-driven initiatives - which could materially improve margins beyond the company's current gross profit margin of 15.09%. The firm left 2026 estimates unchanged and added coverage for 2027, and highlighted recent quarterly results that topped consensus on both EPS and revenue.

Key Points

  • Truist raised GXO Logistics' price target to $70 from $65 and retained a Buy rating, implying upside from the current $63.35 share price.
  • The brokerage highlighted execution of booked business wins and AI-driven productivity as the main drivers for potential margin expansion beyond the firm's 15.09% gross profit margin.
  • GXO reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.87 versus $0.83 expected, and revenue of $3.5 billion versus $3.48 billion expected, supporting the more constructive outlook.

Truist Securities increased its price target for GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE:GXO) to $70.00 from $65.00 on Thursday, while maintaining a Buy rating on the contract logistics provider. The new target implies upside from GXO's prevailing share price of $63.35, which was trading close to its 52-week high of $64.19 at the time of the announcement.

In its assessment, Truist emphasized that GXO's trajectory into 2026 is becoming more dependent on successful execution. The brokerage pointed to a foundation of booked business wins that support growth and identified potential margin expansion as a key lever tied to productivity and integration gains. Any such margin improvement would be notable relative to GXO's current gross profit margin of 15.09%.

Truist also flagged that the company's guidance is constructed on an assumption of flat volumes. That framing creates a specific risk-reward dynamic: if GXO can sustain the planned implementation pace and convert AI-driven productivity initiatives into measurable margin benefits, the payoff could extend into 2027. The firm left its 2026 estimates intact and initiated modeling for 2027, a step that contributed to the decision to raise the price target.

Supporting the brokerage's outlook, InvestingPro data referenced by Truist indicates net income is expected to grow this year, which aligns with a constructive earnings trajectory. The firm reinforced that the path to improved profitability is execution-sensitive and dependent on productivity delivery tied to technology and integration.

Operationally, GXO focuses on supply chain management and warehouse operations, emphasizing technology-led productivity improvements as part of its growth strategy. Those initiatives are central to Truist's view that margin expansion is feasible without reliance on increased volumes.

Recent company results provide context for the updated target. In its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report, GXO posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.87, ahead of the $0.83 consensus estimate. Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.5 billion, compared with an expected $3.48 billion. The beat on both EPS and revenue was followed by an uptick in investor confidence, according to Truist's commentary.

Truist's move to raise the price target while keeping its Buy rating reflects a view that the firm's assumptions and newly initiated 2027 coverage support a higher valuation, provided execution and productivity gains materialize. The brokerage did not change its 2026 estimates, underscoring that the valuation adjustment rests in part on the longer-term modeling added for 2027.


Summary

Truist raised GXO's price target to $70 from $65 and kept a Buy rating, citing secured business wins and potential margin improvements driven by productivity and integration delivery. The firm maintained 2026 estimates and began coverage for 2027. GXO's latest quarterly results beat estimates on EPS and revenue.

Risks

  • Execution risk - GXO's near-term outlook into 2026 is highly dependent on the company's ability to execute on secured contracts and integration plans, affecting the logistics and supply chain sectors.
  • Productivity realization risk - Expected margin improvements rely on AI-driven and productivity initiatives translating into measurable cost and efficiency gains, impacting investors' expectations in the industrials and technology-enabled logistics segments.
  • Guidance assumptions - The company's guidance is based on flat volume assumptions; if volumes deviate or implementation cadence lags, the favorable risk-reward profile could be compromised, with implications for market and earnings expectations in the logistics sector.

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