Analyst Ratings February 17, 2026

Truist Lifts Advance Auto Parts Target as Margins Outperform; Analysts Adjust Views

Price target raised to $57 as AAP posts margin gains despite softer comparable sales; valuation and longer-term margin goals remain focal points

By Avery Klein AAP
Truist Lifts Advance Auto Parts Target as Margins Outperform; Analysts Adjust Views
AAP

Truist Securities raised its price target on Advance Auto Parts to $57 from $48 while keeping a Hold rating, citing stronger-than-expected margins even as fourth-quarter comparable sales came in softer than forecasts. Advance Auto Parts reported robust gross profit margins and a profitable trailing twelve months, coupled with guidance for operating income expansion into 2026; analysts remain cautious on valuation and the achievability of the companys longer-term margin ambitions.

Key Points

  • Truist raised its price target on Advance Auto Parts to $57 from $48 and left its rating at Hold; the new target is close to the recent stock price of $56.60 after a 50.63% year-to-date gain.
  • Advance Auto Parts reported stronger-than-expected margins and EPS that beat Truists estimates, with full-year revenue of $8.6 billion and a gross profit margin of 43.87%; the company remains profitable on a trailing twelve-month basis.
  • The company set 2026 guidance implying roughly 170 basis points of operating income expansion to an operating margin near 4.2%, while reclassifying the 7% 2027 margin target as a medium-term goal and suggesting roughly 100 basis points of additional expansion in 2027 to about 5.2%.

Overview

Truist Securities has increased its price objective for Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) to $57 from $48 while maintaining a Hold recommendation. The upgraded target sits close to the companys recent market price of $56.60, after shares have risen roughly 50.63% so far this year. InvestingPro data cited by analysts indicates the stocks relative strength index is in overbought territory.

Quarterly results and margin performance

Truist noted that comparable sales for the fourth quarter were weaker than the firm had estimated, yet Advance Auto Parts sustained a positive comparable sales trend and delivered stronger margins. Those margin improvements contributed to earnings per share that exceeded Truists expectations.

On a full-year basis the company reported overall revenue of $8.6 billion and achieved a gross profit margin of 43.87%. The company has been profitable over the trailing twelve months, a point highlighted by Truist as part of its reassessment of the stocks near-term outlook.

Outlook and guidance

Advance Auto Parts introduced 2026 guidance that incorporates roughly 170 basis points of operating income expansion at the midpoint, taking the operating margin to approximately 4.2%. Before the quarter, Truist had been modelling a 3.5% operating income level for the company.

The company also revised its framing of a prior 2027 target. The earlier goal of a 7% operating margin in 2027 was reclassified as a medium-term aspiration. Management indicated it could achieve an additional 100 basis points of operating income expansion in 2027, which would imply an operating margin near 5.2% under the companys current assumptions.

Liquidity and shareholder returns

Advance Auto Parts reported a current ratio of 1.75, reflecting the companys short-term liquidity position. The company has also maintained dividend payments for 21 consecutive years, with the current dividend yielding 1.7%.

Valuation metrics and analyst commentary

Truist observed that much of the anticipated operational improvement appears to be priced into the stock, noting the shares trade at roughly 20 times earnings per share under its framework and that considerable execution remains necessary. InvestingPro data quoted in coverage shows a market price-to-earnings ratio of 51.07 and an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.75, reflecting a relatively high earnings multiple by those measures.

Other analyst moves and recent earnings

Advance Auto Parts fourth-quarter 2025 results included an earnings per share beat, with EPS of $0.86 compared with consensus expectations of $0.43, a 100% surprise. Quarterly revenue was $2 billion versus a forecast of $1.95 billion.

Following the earnings release, several brokerages adjusted their targets. RBC Capital increased its price target to $63 from $57 while retaining a Sector Perform rating; the firm lowered its first-quarter sales and EPS estimates but pointed to margin progress. DA Davidson raised its target to $58 from $47 and maintained a Neutral rating, while noting that a 7% operating margin by 2027 remains challenging in current conditions. These actions reflect continued analyst reassessment of the companys financial trajectory and strategic targets.

Context for investors

Truists move to lift the price target reflects a recognition of stronger margin performance in the most recent quarter, balanced against softer comparable sales and elevated valuation multiples. The companys updated guidance for 2026 and the reframing of the 2027 margin objective provide explicit targets for monitoring execution, while liquidity and dividend continuity are additional factors for investors to weigh.


Key figures and metrics referenced in this report were provided by Truist and InvestingPro and reflect the companys published results and analyst commentary.

Risks

  • Comparable sales in the fourth quarter were softer than estimates, creating uncertainty around top-line momentum and impacting retail auto parts revenue and consumer discretionary spending patterns.
  • Valuation appears rich on some metrics: InvestingPro data shows a P/E of 51.07 and an EV/EBITDA of 12.75, and Truist warned the stock already prices in significant improvement, indicating execution risk if operational gains do not materialize.
  • Advance Auto Parts has softened its 2027 margin messaging by moving the 7% operating income target to a medium-term objective, signaling uncertainty about achieving previously stated longer-term margin expansion under current conditions.

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