Analyst Ratings February 6, 2026

Truist Cuts Gartner Price Target to $170 Citing Tepid Contract-Value Recovery

Analyst trims target sharply after weaker-than-expected CV results; Gartner posts beat on Q4 EPS but stock falls pre-market

By Hana Yamamoto IT
Truist Cuts Gartner Price Target to $170 Citing Tepid Contract-Value Recovery
IT

Truist Securities reduced its price target for Gartner (NYSE: IT) to $170 from $300 while retaining a Buy rating, after fourth-quarter contract value results disappointed. Gartner shares have slid roughly 71.55% over the past year and are trading well below their 52-week high. Management commentary on a tough selling environment and changes to the Insights product influenced Truist’s decision. Separately, Gartner beat Q4 2025 EPS estimates but shares dropped in pre-market trading, and RBC Capital also trimmed its target citing moderating contract value growth and customer retention headwinds.

Key Points

  • Truist Securities cut Gartner's price target to $170 from $300 but maintained a Buy rating, citing weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter contract value results.
  • Gartner shares have dropped 71.55% over the past year and were trading at $152.03, well under the 52-week high of $544.93; the company reported Q4 2025 EPS of $3.94 versus $3.51 expected.
  • RBC Capital also lowered its target to $175 from $250 and kept a Sector Perform rating, noting moderating contract value growth, declining wallet retention, and a mid-single-digit fall in new business.

Truist Securities announced a marked reduction in its price target for Gartner (NYSE: IT), lowering the objective to $170.00 from $300.00 while keeping a Buy rating on the shares. The cut comes as the company contends with material share-price declines and softer contract-value trends.

Gartner shares have fallen 71.55% over the last 12 months and were trading at $152.03, a level far below the stock's 52-week peak of $544.93. Truist's reassessment follows the firm's review of Gartner's fourth-quarter contract value (CV) results, which Truist said were below expectations.

Analyst commentary and company signals

Truist analyst Jasper Bibb commented on Gartner's outlook, noting that management guidance for 2026 "suggests a relatively muted recovery in CV vs. the previously communicated trajectory." The firm also pointed to management's continued characterization of the sales backdrop as a challenging selling environment for Gartner's research and advisory services.

In addition, Truist flagged that Gartner has announced "fairly broad changes" to its Insights product offering. Those product adjustments were incorporated into Truist's view and contributed to the significant reduction in its price target, even as the firm maintained an overall positive stance on the equity.

Quarterly results and market reaction

Gartner reported fourth-quarter earnings for 2025 that topped analyst expectations, delivering earnings per share of $3.94 versus a forecasted $3.51. Despite the beat on EPS, the stock moved lower in pre-market trading following the report.

Other broker activity

RBC Capital also adjusted its view on Gartner recently, trimming its price target to $175 from $250 while keeping a Sector Perform rating. RBC attributed the change to concerns about moderating contract value growth, which the firm said slowed to 4% from 6% in the third quarter of 2025 when excluding government contracts. RBC further cited evidence of declining wallet retention and a mid-single-digit decline in new business as part of the challenging market dynamics for Gartner.

Valuation context

Despite the near-term headwinds spelled out by analysts and management, valuation metrics cited in market data show Gartner trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.73 with a free cash flow yield around 11%, figures that some investors may interpret as signaling potential value at current levels.

Overall, Truist's large downward revision to its price target reflects a reassessment of Gartner's near-term contract-value trajectory, product changes within Insights, and the company’s description of a tough selling environment for its core advisory services, even as the firm stopped short of abandoning a constructive rating.

Risks

  • Muted recovery in contract value (CV) as signaled by Gartner’s guidance for 2026 could pressure revenue growth - impacts the information services and business research sectors.
  • Management reports of a challenging selling environment for research and advisory services may continue to weigh on sales and client retention - affects professional services and enterprise software budgets.
  • Product-level changes to the Insights offering introduce execution and adoption risk that may influence customer spend and renewal dynamics - relevant to Gartner’s subscription-based revenue model.

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