Analyst Ratings February 18, 2026

TD Cowen Lowers Beta Bionics Price Target, Holds Rating Amid Mixed Signals on Revenue Timing

Analyst trims target to $16 but maintains Hold; other brokers offer divergent views as company issues first 2026 revenue guidance

By Derek Hwang BBNX
TD Cowen Lowers Beta Bionics Price Target, Holds Rating Amid Mixed Signals on Revenue Timing
BBNX

TD Cowen reduced its 12-month price target for Beta Bionics (BBNX) to $16 from $17 while leaving its rating at Hold. The firm highlighted revenue timing and prescription cadence as drivers for possible near-term estimate adjustments, even as margins beat expectations and the company issued its first 2026 revenue guidance. Other brokerages have taken different stances, including UBS initiating coverage with a Buy rating and Truist trimming a Buy-target.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen lowered its price target on Beta Bionics to $16 from $17 and kept a Hold rating; the analyst range sits between $14 and $40.
  • Beta Bionics reported fourth-quarter revenues in line with previews and delivered gross margins above expectations; trailing-12-month gross profit margin was 55.4% and annual revenue growth was 53.94%.
  • Company provided 2026 revenue guidance for the first time - the midpoint aligns with consensus and TD Cowen forecasts - but TD Cowen signaled Q1 consensus estimates may need to be reduced while H1 2026 estimates could rise.

TD Cowen has adjusted its price target on Beta Bionics, Inc. (NASDAQ:BBNX) downward to $16 from $17 but kept a Hold designation on the shares. The revised target sits within an analyst range that spans from $14 to $40. Market data referenced in the analyst note shows the stock trading at $13.97, a figure that reflects a decline of more than 54% year-to-date.

The firm reported that Beta Bionics' fourth-quarter revenue results came in line with earlier company previews. Gross margins in the quarter outperformed expectations. According to InvestingPro data cited by the analysts, Beta Bionics posted a solid trailing-12-month gross profit margin of 55.4%, while annual revenue growth stood at 53.94%.

For the first time, Beta Bionics issued revenue guidance for 2026. TD Cowen noted that the midpoint of that guidance coincides with both consensus forecasts and the firm’s own model. Nevertheless, the note flagged potential short-term adjustments: first-quarter consensus estimates may need to be downgraded in light of the quarter's revenue print and commentary on the cadence of new prescriptions. At the same time, TD Cowen left open the possibility that estimates covering the first half of 2026 could move higher.

The company’s development pipeline remains active, the analysts said, with no revisions to the scheduled timelines for the Mint program or the bihormonal program. Following the results and guidance, TD Cowen maintained its Hold rating.


Other brokerage actions this period underscore divergent views on Beta Bionics' outlook. UBS began coverage with a Buy rating and a $24 price target, citing the firm’s assessment of Beta Bionics’ potential to be disruptive in the insulin pump market due to differentiated technology. Truist Securities, meanwhile, reduced its price target on the stock from $37 to $25 but retained a Buy rating. Truist attributed its downward revision to a slowdown in Net Promoter Score momentum, concerns raised by a recent waitlist about management execution, and broader market dynamics that have weighed on small-cap medical technology equities.

TD Cowen also reiterated a prior Hold stance and a $17 target in the wake of a recent FDA warning letter that focused on the company’s quality reporting systems rather than on the iLet device itself. The firm noted the warning letter would not impede Beta Bionics’ ability to sell products or to pursue additional regulatory clearances. In earlier coverage, TD Cowen had pointed to the company’s first year as a public company as successful and noted it had captured roughly 10% of new prescription market share.

Taken together, the recent analyst actions and company disclosures provide a range of perspectives for investors assessing Beta Bionics. The firm’s margin performance and revenue growth rates appear favorable, while questions around near-term revenue timing and execution have led some analysts to temper near-term estimates even as others remain constructive on longer-term potential.

Risks

  • Near-term revenue timing and the cadence of new prescriptions may force downward adjustments to first-quarter analyst estimates, affecting med-tech revenue projections.
  • Regulatory and quality system concerns reflected in an FDA warning letter could raise execution and compliance risk perceptions, even though analysts stated it would not block current sales or future clearances.
  • Market and sentiment pressures on small-cap medical technology stocks, including slower Net Promoter Score momentum and reported waitlist-related execution questions, may depress valuation and investor confidence.

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