Analyst Ratings February 12, 2026

TD Cowen Lifts GXO Logistics Target to $69, Cites Growth Trajectory and New Business Wins

Analysts point to beat on Q4 results, secured revenue and upside to guidance despite flat-volume assumption

By Hana Yamamoto GXO
TD Cowen Lifts GXO Logistics Target to $69, Cites Growth Trajectory and New Business Wins
GXO

TD Cowen raised its price target for GXO Logistics to $69 from $62 while keeping a Buy rating after the company delivered stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results and issued 2026 guidance consistent with consensus. Analysts highlighted $775 million of secured new revenue and the potential for upside to guidance, even as some customer churn and a flat-volume assumption temper near-term visibility.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen raised its price target on GXO to $69 from $62 and maintained a Buy rating.
  • GXO beat fourth-quarter estimates with adjusted EPS of $0.87 and revenue of $3.5 billion, above forecasts.
  • The company has secured $775 million of new revenue, though some of those gains were partially offset by customer churn.

TD Cowen increased its 12-month price target on GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE: GXO) to $69.00 from $62.00 on Thursday and maintained a Buy rating, citing the company’s recent operational performance and contracted business wins. At the time of the update, GXO shares were trading at $64.43, slightly above their 52-week high of $64.19 and reflecting a 48.15% gain over the past year.

According to TD Cowen analyst Jason Seidl, GXO’s fourth-quarter results outpaced expectations. The firm noted that the company introduced guidance for fiscal 2026 that aligns with consensus estimates and that management reaffirmed its growth trajectory despite ongoing market uncertainty.

Over the most recent twelve-month period, GXO recorded revenue growth of 12.55%. Street estimates included an expected earnings per share of $2.98 for fiscal 2026. TD Cowen’s note emphasized there is potential upside to GXO’s guidance, which currently assumes flat volumes - an assumption that, if proven conservative, could leave room for stronger outcomes.

Part of TD Cowen’s confidence stems from new business wins that the firm says lock in $775 million of additional revenue. The analyst team also pointed out that some customer churn offset portions of those gains, leaving net impacts that reflect both secured backlog and ongoing client turnover.

The increase in the price target was presented as a reflection of continued confidence in GXO’s business model and growth prospects, even as the company operates in a challenging market environment. GXO provides a suite of supply chain management services, including warehousing, distribution and fulfillment solutions for a range of industries around the world.


Additional reported results for the period show GXO’s fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $0.87, above the $0.83 forecast, and revenue of $3.5 billion versus the anticipated $3.48 billion. These reported beats underline the company’s ability to exceed analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines for the quarter.

Separately, Truist Securities also raised its price target on GXO to $70 from $65 and left its rating at Buy. Truist’s commentary highlighted that GXO’s outlook into 2026 will be increasingly dependent on execution, with growth supported by secured business wins and the potential for margin improvement through productivity and integration delivery.

Together, the analyst actions and quarterly beats convey a favorable read among market watchers on GXO’s near-term trajectory, while also flagging execution and volume assumptions as important variables to monitor as the company progresses through fiscal 2026.

Risks

  • Guidance assumes flat volumes - if volumes decline further, upside to forecasts could be limited. (Impacts logistics and retail sectors)
  • Customer churn has partially offset new wins, introducing uncertainty in net revenue growth. (Impacts logistics and e-commerce distribution)
  • Future performance is increasingly reliant on execution, including productivity and integration delivery, which could affect margins. (Impacts supply-chain services and contract profitability)

More from Analyst Ratings

HSBC Lowers Synopsys Rating to Hold, Flags 2026 as Transition Year Feb 21, 2026 DA Davidson Cuts Uber Price Target Citing Elevated Investment; Buy Rating Intact Feb 20, 2026 Freedom Capital Markets Raises Freeport-McMoRan to Buy, Cites Copper Supply Tightness Feb 20, 2026 BofA Lifts CF Industries Price Target After Strong Q4 EBITDA; Maintains Underperform Rating Feb 20, 2026 Truist Lifts Tandem Diabetes Price Target as Company Shifts Toward Pharmacy Model Feb 20, 2026