TD Cowen has raised its price objective for Bloom Energy Corp. (BE) to $160.00, up from $105.00, but the research house kept a Hold rating on the energy technology company. The firm pointed to rising power requirements from data centers and commercial and industrial (C&I) customers as a principal driver of the business's substantial backlog expansion - which the analyst firm quantified at 140% growth.
Bloom Energy's outlook for 2026 appears to be materially stronger than consensus. The company’s 2026 revenue guidance came in 25% above consensus expectations, a gap TD Cowen and other market participants cited when revising price targets and outlooks. That forward guidance is part of what has underpinned an exceptional share-price run: BE has posted a 451.25% price return over the past year.
Still, the stock has experienced recent weakness, dropping 9.76% over the past week. TD Cowen acknowledged what it described as the company’s "phenomenal" execution but flagged valuation as a restraint on a more bullish recommendation. One valuation statistic noted in public commentary shows an enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio of 266.42, a level that drove part of the caution reflected in the retained Hold rating.
The new $160 target is grounded in a multiple framework: it reflects approximately 18 times EV/EBITDA on TD Cowen’s 2028 estimate for Bloom Energy. That target sits below the most optimistic analyst projection of $207 but would imply upside from the company’s most recently cited trading price of $136.60.
Bloom Energy’s most recent reported quarter, the fourth quarter of 2025, delivered a string of results that beat expectations. The company reported earnings per share of $0.45 versus an expected $0.30, a 50% surprise to the upside. Revenue for the quarter was approximately $778 million, ahead of analyst forecasts by roughly 19% to 21.5%.
On a non-GAAP basis, operating income for the quarter was approximately $133 million, topping estimates by about 39%. Non-GAAP gross margins improved sequentially by roughly 150 basis points to approximately 32%.
Following those results and the stronger guidance for 2026, other research shops adjusted their targets. BTIG raised its price target to $165 while maintaining a Buy rating. BMO Capital increased its target to $149 and kept a Market Perform rating. Both firms cited the company's robust financial guidance for 2026 as a rationale for their revised valuations.
What this means
- Bloom Energy is benefiting from accelerating demand in data center and commercial and industrial segments, fueling a 140% backlog increase and stronger near-term revenue visibility.
- Consensus-busting quarterly results and 2026 guidance that is 25% above expectations have prompted some analysts to raise targets, even as at least one major firm retained a Hold due to valuation concerns.
- Market reactions have been volatile: the stock has gained substantially over the last 12 months but experienced a 9.76% decline in the latest week.
Key financial beats in Q4 2025
- EPS: $0.45 versus $0.30 expected (50% surprise)
- Revenue: approximately $778 million, beating estimates by about 19% to 21.5%
- Non-GAAP operating income: approximately $133 million, beating estimates by 39%
- Non-GAAP gross margin: roughly 32%, up about 150 basis points sequentially
Analyst positioning and valuation considerations
TD Cowen’s decision to place its new $160 price target on an 18x EV/EBITDA multiple of its 2028 forecast underscores a cautious, forward-looking valuation approach. That multiple yields a target below the most bullish projection of $207 yet above the company’s recent trading level of $136.60. Meanwhile, elevated valuation metrics - including an EV/EBITDA figure reported at 266.42 - remain a central reason for conservative ratings despite operational momentum.
Next steps for investors
Investors focused on energy technology, data center power solutions and commercial and industrial onsite generation will likely watch how backlog converts to revenue and how margins evolve in 2026 and beyond. The mixed analyst reactions - with some firms raising targets and others holding ratings steady because of valuation - highlight the balance between growth execution and current price multiples.