Analyst Ratings February 6, 2026

TD Cowen Lifts Alphabet Target to $365 as Cloud Strength Offsets YouTube Softness

Analyst raises long-term estimates and capital expenditure outlook while keeping a Buy rating

By Leila Farooq GOOG
TD Cowen Lifts Alphabet Target to $365 as Cloud Strength Offsets YouTube Softness
GOOG

TD Cowen raised its price target on Alphabet to $365 from $355 and maintained a Buy rating after the company reported results that beat expectations on revenue and operating income. Cloud outperformance offset a modest YouTube revenue shortfall, while management signaled AI-driven momentum and issued significantly higher 2026 capex guidance. The firm raised its long-term estimates, including capex, driving the higher target.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen raised its price target on Alphabet to $365 from $355 and maintained a Buy rating; the new target is below the analyst high of $400 - impacts technology and equity markets.
  • Alphabet reported total revenue of $402.84 billion, up 15.09% year-over-year, with quarterly EPS of $2.82 versus $2.64 expected and quarterly revenue of $113.8 billion versus $111.13 billion expected - affects corporate earnings and advertising/tech sectors.
  • Management highlighted AI initiatives as growth drivers; Gemini has 750 million monthly active users and AI Mode is increasing Search engagement, while Cloud outperformed and YouTube slightly missed estimates - relevant to cloud services, search advertising, and interactive media sectors.

TD Cowen on Friday increased its price target for Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) to $365.00, up from $355.00, while retaining a Buy recommendation on the shares. The new target remains below the analyst high of $400. InvestingPro data referenced by the firm shows Alphabet trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.8 and a favorable PEG ratio of 0.94.

The upgrade reflects a performance mix in which Alphabet's Cloud business exceeded expectations and helped offset a slight revenue miss at YouTube. On aggregate, reported revenue was 2.3% above consensus estimates. TD Cowen also noted operating income came in 3.8% higher than the firm's expectations when excluding Waymo stock-based compensation.

For the period reported, Alphabet disclosed total revenue of $402.84 billion, representing 15.09% year-over-year growth. Management emphasized artificial intelligence initiatives as primary growth drivers across both Cloud and Search. The company reported that its Gemini AI product has reached 750 million monthly active users and that an AI Mode is contributing to higher Search engagement.

InvestingPro classifies Alphabet as a "prominent player in the Interactive Media & Services industry" and assigns the company an overall financial health rating of "GREAT." Those metrics were cited alongside the fundamental results in TD Cowen's reassessment.

Capital allocation assumptions changed materially. Alphabet's management provided capital expenditure guidance for 2026 of $175-$185 billion, which is substantially higher than TD Cowen's prior estimate of roughly $125 billion. In response, TD Cowen raised its long-term estimates for Alphabet, including the updated capex outlook, and factored those revisions into the new price target while keeping the Buy rating intact.

The company's fourth-quarter 2025 results were highlighted as particularly strong. Alphabet reported earnings per share of $2.82 versus an expected $2.64, a 6.82% beat. Quarterly revenue was $113.8 billion, above the $111.13 billion that analysts had projected. These figures were cited in support of the positive reassessment by TD Cowen.

On the autonomous vehicle front, Waymo announced a return to Boston and an expansion to Sacramento as part of its operational footprint. In Boston, Waymo intends to apply lessons from prior testing to address the city's driving environment. The company is also working to validate its sixth-generation Waymo Driver in snowy cities to pursue fully autonomous operations during winter months. These updates underscore ongoing development and geographic expansion within Waymo's program.

TD Cowen's revised price target, the maintained Buy rating, and the firm's higher long-term estimates reflect a combination of stronger-than-expected Cloud results, modest weakness in YouTube revenue, elevated capital expenditure guidance, and management's emphasis on AI-driven engagement across key products.

Risks

  • YouTube revenue experienced a slight miss versus expectations, introducing uncertainty in the advertising and interactive media segments.
  • Capital expenditure guidance for 2026 of $175-$185 billion is significantly higher than prior analyst assumptions of about $125 billion, creating potential variability in capital allocation and tech sector investment dynamics.
  • Waymo's expansion and efforts to validate the sixth-generation Waymo Driver in snowy cities highlight operational and developmental uncertainties for autonomous vehicle deployment and related mobility markets.

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