Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

TD Cowen Increases AEP Price Target Citing Strong Capital Pipeline and ROE Improvement

Analyst maintains Buy as quarterly results beat estimates and transmission projects advance

By Leila Farooq AEP
TD Cowen Increases AEP Price Target Citing Strong Capital Pipeline and ROE Improvement
AEP

TD Cowen raised its 12-month price objective on American Electric Power to $141 from $137 and kept a Buy rating, pointing to a robust pipeline of capital projects across the utility's service territories and steady progress in earned returns on equity. The company reported fourth-quarter operating results that outpaced estimates and reaffirmed its 2026 outlook, while other analysts have moved to upgrade the stock amid expectations of rising data center demand and execution under new management.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen raised its price target on American Electric Power to $141 from $137 and kept a Buy rating; shares trade at $128.46 with a P/E of 19.24.
  • Q4 operating earnings of $1.19 per share beat estimates of $1.14, and revenue of $5.31 billion exceeded the consensus estimate of $4.99 billion; the company reaffirmed its 2026 outlook.
  • Jefferies upgraded to Buy and Wolfe Research to Outperform, citing rising data center demand, increased contracted load projections to 2030, and improved execution; a major 300-mile transmission project in central Ohio also received PJM approval.

TD Cowen has lifted its price target for American Electric Power to $141 from $137 and reiterated a Buy recommendation on the utility's shares. The stock is trading at $128.46 and carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.24.

Analyst Shelby Tucker highlighted the breadth of capital opportunities in the company’s regulated operating regions and noted incremental gains in returns on equity. "AEP once again showed its impressive pipeline of capital opportunities in its operating regions and execution continues to show marginal improvements to earned ROEs," Tucker said. The company’s reported return on common equity stands at 12%, and a PEG ratio of 0.99 points to an attractive valuation relative to expected growth.

Tucker indicated she expects the company to continue executing on projects that narrow the gap in its return on equity, and she cited anticipated growth in data center demand as a driver that could lift earnings per share growth above historical norms.

Recent quarterly results provided supporting evidence for the more bullish analyst outlook. American Electric Power reported fourth-quarter operating earnings of $1.19 per share, topping analyst expectations of $1.14. Revenue for the quarter rose to $5.31 billion, ahead of the consensus estimate of $4.99 billion. The company also reaffirmed its 2026 outlook.

Market commentators have increasingly adjusted their views on AEP. Jefferies moved the stock to a Buy from Hold, citing rising demand from data centers and a significant increase in contracted load expected by 2030. Wolfe Research likewise upgraded the company to Outperform, pointing to effective execution under new management and identifiable growth opportunities.

Outside of analyst coverage, regional transmission developments are progressing. PJM Interconnection approved a major electric transmission project for central Ohio being developed by Transource Energy and FirstEnergy Transmission through their joint venture, Grid Growth Ventures LLC. The approved plan calls for roughly 300 miles of new transmission lines and upgrades to multiple substations to address growing power needs in the area.

Investors have rewarded the stock over the past year: AEP has gained roughly 27% and is trading near its 52-week high. TD Cowen’s price-target increase and the recent analyst upgrades reflect a combination of underlying operating results, confidence in the company’s capital program and expectations for demand growth in key customer segments.


What this means

  • TD Cowen’s raise to $141 reflects confidence in AEP’s capital pipeline and modest improvements in earned ROEs.
  • Quarterly results beat estimates on both earnings per share and revenue, and the company has reaffirmed its 2026 outlook.
  • Other analysts have upgraded the stock, citing higher data center demand, increased contracted load projections to 2030 and improved execution under new management.

Analyst quote

"AEP once again showed its impressive pipeline of capital opportunities in its operating regions and execution continues to show marginal improvements to earned ROEs," Shelby Tucker said.

The combination of a supportive capital program, recent quarterly beats and external endorsements from other brokerages underpin the current analyst sentiment. At the same time, the company’s exposure to large infrastructure projects and evolving demand patterns from major customers like data centers will be an important backdrop for future earnings trajectories.

Risks

  • Execution risk in closing the return on equity gap - continued delivery on the capital program is necessary to improve earned ROEs; failure to do so could weigh on returns (impacts utilities and investor returns).
  • Data center demand uncertainty - analyst expectations for above-historical EPS growth hinge in part on continued growth in data center load; weaker-than-expected demand could slow earnings growth (impacts utilities and commercial power customers).

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