Analyst Ratings February 10, 2026

Stifel Sticks With Buy on Wingstop, Cites Structural Shift Despite Near-Term Headwinds

Analyst keeps $290 price target as company navigates weak comps and a push to broaden its dining relevance

By Maya Rios WING
Stifel Sticks With Buy on Wingstop, Cites Structural Shift Despite Near-Term Headwinds
WING

Stifel has reaffirmed a Buy rating and a $290.00 price target on Wingstop (NASDAQ: WING), pointing to a longer-term structural transition that could broaden the brand’s appeal. The firm acknowledged recent negative investor sentiment tied to disappointing same-store sales, but highlighted strong revenue growth and a largely franchised model as reasons patient investors may benefit. Multiple other broker actions provide a mixed backdrop, with buy-side support from Jefferies and Melius Research and downside concern from TD Cowen.

Key Points

  • Stifel reaffirmed a Buy rating and $290.00 price target on Wingstop while acknowledging negative investor sentiment from weak same-store sales.
  • Wingstop has posted 15.56% revenue growth and a five-year revenue CAGR of 26%, and Stifel expects a structural shift toward broader cultural relevance to begin showing in 2026 with stronger results in 2027 and beyond.
  • Other broker actions are mixed - Jefferies and Melius Research remain bullish with $350 targets, while TD Cowen has reduced its view to Hold with a $285 target, highlighting divergent expectations across the restaurant and consumer discretionary sectors.

Stifel reiterated its Buy rating on Wingstop Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) and maintained a $290.00 price target in a research note released Tuesday. The stock was trading at $267.63 at the time of the note, and analyst consensus currently leans toward Buy with a collective score of 1.52 and reported price targets in the broker community ranging from $186 to $400.

The firm acknowledged prevailing negative sentiment among investors, driven primarily by lackluster same-store sales results. Despite that, Stifel emphasized what it described as a fundamental structural evolution in Wingstop’s business model - a shift away from being a niche, sports-focused brand toward becoming more of a mainstream cultural option.

Stifel pointed to Wingstop’s fast service capability - specifically a 10-minute service-time claim - as a factor that could expand the chain’s relevance across a wider set of dining occasions. The research note anticipates that early signs of this transition should begin to appear in 2026, with more meaningful progress expected in 2027 and thereafter.

Financial momentum cited by Stifel includes continued topline expansion. Wingstop has delivered 15.56% revenue growth and a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 26%, figures the firm highlighted while framing the business as a high-growth opportunity. Stifel also noted the highly franchised nature of the company - roughly 98% franchised - and suggested that pullbacks tied to near-term comparable sales softness could present attractive entry points for investors focused on growth and franchise economics.


Other recent analyst activity and company news provide a broader view of market opinions and operational developments:

  • Jefferies reiterated a Buy rating on Wingstop and kept a $350 price target, writing that it expects earnings and EBITDA to be in line with expectations despite forecasting negative same-store sales for the fourth quarter.
  • Melius Research upgraded Wingstop to Buy and set a $350 price target, citing confidence in the company’s growth runway, including expectations for high-teens unit growth and margin expansion.
  • TD Cowen issued a downgrade, moving Wingstop from Buy to Hold and lowering its price target to $285, pointing to concerns that same-store sales could decline by about 0.5% in 2026.
  • Separately, another note referenced TD Cowen reiterating a Buy rating with a $280 price target while expressing confidence in new management, specifically naming Raj Kapoor as the incoming chief operating officer.
  • On the product side, Wingstop expanded its limited-time menu with a nationwide Hot Honey Trio promotion.

The mix of investment-bank views illustrates a split in short-term and medium-term expectations: several firms remain constructive on the chain's unit economics and growth prospects, while at least one major shop has flagged comparable-sales risk in the nearer term. Stifel’s framing centers on a patient investor thesis that prioritizes long-run structural change and franchise leverage over current comp volatility.

Investors assessing Wingstop will therefore be weighing current same-store sales trends and near-term analyst downside scenarios against the company’s historical revenue expansion and a largely franchised model that could magnify returns if underlying demand recovers and the brand broadens its appeal.

Risks

  • Near-term comparable sales weakness - several analysts expect negative same-store sales in the short term, a factor that could pressure restaurant revenues and investor sentiment.
  • Analyst downgrades and lowered price targets - TD Cowen’s move to Hold with a $285 target reflects concern about projected same-store sales declines in 2026, introducing uncertainty for equity performance in the restaurant sector.
  • Mixed analyst views on management and execution - while some firms express confidence in management changes, inconsistent broker notes create execution risk for investors relying on near-term catalysts.

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