Analyst Ratings February 12, 2026

Stifel nudges Kimco price target higher to $25.75, keeps Buy as leasing momentum supports 2026 outlook

Analyst cites strong leasing progress and early capture of budgeted rent as reasons to maintain constructive stance on the REIT

By Hana Yamamoto KIM
Stifel nudges Kimco price target higher to $25.75, keeps Buy as leasing momentum supports 2026 outlook
KIM

Stifel has lifted its 12-month price target on Kimco Realty (KIM) to $25.75 from $25.50 and reiterated a Buy rating, citing the company's leasing traction for 2026. Management reported that 87% of expiring annual base rent (ABR) in the first half of 2026 is either resolved or has active deals underway, and 98% of anchor leases expiring without options have been addressed. Stifel also highlights that a large share of budgeted minimum rent for 2026 is already secured, with 90% producing cash flow and an additional 8% expected from commencements in the straight-line rent pipeline and budgeted renewals or options.

Key Points

  • Stifel raised its price target on Kimco to $25.75 from $25.50 and kept a Buy rating; analyst targets on the stock range from $21 to $27 (affects equity investors and REIT sector).
  • Management reports 87% of expiring ABR in H1 2026 is resolved or has deals in progress, supporting an approximate 90% tenant retention rate (impacts retail real estate operations and leasing activity).
  • Kimco has captured the majority of its budgeted minimum rent for 2026 - 90% currently producing cash flow and 8% expected from SNO commencements and budgeted renewals/options (relevant to income-focused investors and dividend reliability).

Price target and rating

Stifel raised its price target on Kimco Realty to $25.75 from $25.50 while retaining a Buy recommendation on the stock. At the time of the update, Kimco shares were trading at $22.73, about 1% shy of the 52-week high of $22.97. The range of analyst targets cited for the name spans from $21 to $27.


Leasing progress and portfolio milestones

The firm pointed to Kimco's leasing commentary for 2026 as the catalyst for the modest target increase. Management reported that, in the first half of 2026, it has either resolved or has transactions underway for 87% of the expiring annual base rent (ABR). Stifel said this level of activity underpins management's stated ability to sustain a tenant retention rate near 90%.

Kimco has also addressed a high proportion of its large-format commitments: the company resolved 98% of 47 anchor leases that are expiring in 2026 without renewal options, according to the analyst note. That level of resolution was highlighted as supportive of the company's occupancy and cash-flow stability.


Cash flow capture for 2026

On the rent-capture front, Stifel's analysis indicates Kimco has already secured the majority of its budgeted minimum rent for 2026. The firm reports that 90% of that budget is currently producing cash flow, while an additional 8% is anticipated to come from commencements in the straight-line rent (SNO) pipeline and from budgeted renewals or option exercises.

Stifel's continued Buy rating reflects the firm's view that current leasing momentum and portfolio management actions support Kimco's operating outlook as the company moves into 2026.


Financial profile and shareholder returns

Kimco's market capitalization stands at $15.45 billion. The company carries an overall financial health score characterized as "GREAT" and offers a dividend yield of 4.73%. Management has maintained dividend payments for 34 consecutive years.


Recent quarterly results

In other company disclosures, Kimco reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that exceeded consensus expectations on both earnings and revenue. The REIT posted earnings per share of $0.21, versus a consensus forecast of $0.18, an outperformance of 16.67%. Revenue for the quarter was $542.46 million, compared with expectations of $537.32 million.

There were no recent announcements of mergers or acquisitions, and the note indicated that analyst firms had not issued notable upgrades or downgrades following the results, leaving the broader analyst outlook steady.


What this means for investors

The combination of leasing progress, high capture of budgeted minimum rent, and a modest upward revision to the price target underpins Stifel's constructive stance. Investors tracking retail real estate fundamentals, dividend income, and REIT cash-flow stability will find these developments relevant as Kimco enters 2026.

Risks

  • A portion of expiring ABR in the first half of 2026 remains outside the 87% that is resolved or in active deals - that outstanding uncertainty could affect future cash flow (impacts REIT cash-flow and investor expectations).
  • A small share of anchor leases - about 2% of the 47 anchor leases expiring without options - remains unresolved, which could influence occupancy or tenant mix at specific properties (impacts retail real estate performance).
  • No recent mergers or acquisitions were announced and analyst firms had not issued notable upgrades or downgrades after Q4 results, leaving the analyst outlook steady and any change in coverage or opinion a potential near-term uncertainty (affects investor sentiment and market reaction).

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