Analyst Ratings February 6, 2026

Stifel Lifts MACOM Technology Price Target to $255 After Strong Fiscal Q1; Buy Rating Held

Analyst increases valuation as revenue and EPS top estimates, while market watches valuation and share volatility

By Nina Shah MTSI
Stifel Lifts MACOM Technology Price Target to $255 After Strong Fiscal Q1; Buy Rating Held
MTSI

Stifel raised its price target on MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) to $255 from $215 and kept a Buy rating following fiscal Q1 2026 results that beat expectations on both revenue and adjusted EPS. Quarterly revenue of $271.6 million marked sequential and year-over-year growth, and management raised fiscal Q2 guidance to a $285.0 million midpoint. Despite the operational beat and an elevated price target, valuation concerns persist and the stock experienced pre-market weakness.

Key Points

  • Stifel raised its price target on MACOM to $255 from $215 and maintained a Buy rating; the analyst is Tore Svanberg.
  • Fiscal Q1 2026 revenue was $271.6 million, a 4.0% sequential increase and 24.5% year-over-year growth; adjusted EPS was $1.02, above expectations.
  • Management raised fiscal Q2 guidance to a $285.0 million midpoint, expected to be driven by sequential growth across all end markets led by Data Center.

Overview

Stifel analyst Tore Svanberg increased his price target for MACOM Technology Solutions to $255.00 from $215.00 on Friday while maintaining a Buy rating. The move sits alongside a broader analyst consensus of "Buy" (1.69 rating) based on InvestingPro data, with price targets reported in a range from $160 to $295. MACOM shares are trading at $227.80, close to their 52-week high of $236.80.

Quarterly results and outlook

The price target revision follows MACOM’s fiscal first-quarter 2026 results. The company reported sales of $271.6 million, representing a 4.0% sequential increase and a 24.5% year-over-year gain. That top-line performance exceeded the company’s guidance midpoint and was roughly 1.0% higher than Stifel’s and Street estimates of $269.0 million.

MACOM’s revenue over the trailing twelve months has risen 29.12%, bringing total revenue to $1.02 billion. Sequential growth in the most recent quarter was primarily supported by the Data Center segment, while the Telecom division outperformed expectations that had forecast a slight sequential decline.

Management raised guidance for the fiscal second quarter of 2026, projecting sales of $285.0 million at the midpoint, a 4.9% sequential increase. That outlook is 3.9% above Stifel’s prior estimate of $274.4 million and is expected to reflect sequential growth across all end markets, led by Data Center.

Valuation and market reaction

Stifel’s new $255 price target corresponds to a 31.6x CY27E price-to-earnings multiple, and the firm said MACOM is well-positioned to surpass $1 billion in sales for the first fiscal year in its history. By contrast, the company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 99.22. Over the past year, MACOM has delivered a price total return of 75.91%.

InvestingPro’s assessment flags MACOM as appearing overvalued on a Fair Value basis, and the company is included on its Most Overvalued list for high-growth technology names. Despite the quarter’s upside on earnings and revenue, MACOM’s shares declined in pre-market trading following the results.

Earnings detail

MACOM reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.02 for the fiscal first quarter of 2026, topping the consensus forecast of $0.9973. Revenue results were similarly above expectations, with the reported $271.6 million surpassing the anticipated $269.02 million. These results constitute a strong start to the fiscal year from an operational standpoint.

Nevertheless, the stock’s pre-market dip indicates investor focus on valuation and market sentiment rather than solely on the quarter's operating metrics. Market participants will be watching upcoming developments and the company’s execution against the raised full-year sales threshold as the fiscal year progresses.


Implications for markets and sectors

  • Data Center equipment demand is a primary near-term growth driver for MACOM, influencing revenue momentum.
  • Telecom end-market performance surprised to the upside, suggesting resilience in that sector for MACOM.
  • Valuation metrics and investor reaction underline sensitivity in high-growth technology and semiconductor-related equities.

Risks

  • Valuation risk - InvestingPro’s Fair Value assessment indicates MACOM appears overvalued, and the company trades at a high P/E ratio of 99.22.
  • Share price volatility - the stock fell in pre-market trading despite strong operational results, highlighting market sensitivity that could affect investor returns.
  • Concentration risk - sequential growth was driven primarily by the Data Center segment, making overall revenue momentum sensitive to demand in that end market.

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