Analyst Ratings February 6, 2026

Stifel Lifts Coherent Price Target to $235 After Strong Q2 Results, Cites Robust AI-Driven Demand

Revenue and EPS beat expectations as data center bookings surge and production transition promises margin tailwinds

By Jordan Park COHR
Stifel Lifts Coherent Price Target to $235 After Strong Q2 Results, Cites Robust AI-Driven Demand
COHR

Stifel raised its price target on Coherent (COHR) to $235 from $220 and kept a Buy rating after the company reported fiscal Q2 2026 results that outperformed consensus. Coherent posted $1.69 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of $1.29, ahead of analyst estimates, while datacenter bookings paced a 34% segment growth and management reported a fourfold increase in Data Center bookings tied to AI demand. The company also provided Q3 guidance above consensus and signaled fiscal 2027 revenue growth could outpace 2026.

Key Points

  • Coherent beat Q2 2026 consensus with $1.69B in revenue and $1.29 adjusted EPS; LTM revenue reached $6.29B, up 18.6% year-over-year - impacts the semiconductor and optical components sectors.
  • Datacenter & Communications grew 34% year-over-year driven by 800G and 1.6T transceiver bookings; Data Center bookings increased fourfold, highlighting stronger demand from data center and cloud infrastructure markets.
  • Management gave Q3 guidance above consensus and indicated fiscal 2027 revenue should exceed fiscal 2026; 14 analysts raised earnings estimates, affecting analyst coverage and investor expectations in the tech hardware and communications equipment markets.

Stifel raised its price objective on Coherent (NYSE: COHR) to $235.00 from $220.00 on Thursday and retained a Buy rating after the optics and photonics specialist released its fiscal second-quarter 2026 results. The new target remains below the analyst high mark of $325, and COHR has returned 108% over the past year, according to InvestingPro data.

For fiscal Q2 2026, Coherent reported revenue of $1.69 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $1.29. Both figures topped consensus expectations of $1.64 billion in revenue and $1.21 in EPS, and also exceeded the midpoints of management’s guidance of $1.63 billion and $1.20. On a last-twelve-month basis, the company’s revenue reached $6.29 billion, an 18.6% increase year-over-year.

Within the business, the Datacenter & Communications segment expanded 34% year-over-year. Management attributed that growth to strong uptake of 800G and 1.6T transceivers, describing a "step function increase" in bookings along with extended visibility tied to AI-driven demand. The company noted Data Center bookings rose fourfold during the period.

Coherent provided fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue and EPS guidance that came in above consensus, and signaled that it expects fiscal 2027 revenue growth to surpass fiscal 2026. Stifel models fiscal 2027 revenue growth at roughly 19% versus fiscal 2026. The positive outlook has coincided with analysts revising estimates upward: 14 analysts have increased their earnings forecasts for the upcoming period, per InvestingPro data.

Operationally, Coherent is in the process of transitioning to a 6-inch indium phosphide (InP) fabrication facility. Stifel characterized the move as a structural tailwind for gross margin expansion over time. The company reported a current gross profit margin of 36.4% and is operating with a moderate debt profile, factors Stifel views as supportive for future margin improvement as production shifts to the larger InP wafers.

Other broker reactions tracked in the same reporting cycle echoed the constructive tone. Needham reiterated a Buy rating and kept a price target of $235.00, citing strong AI demand as a rationale. JPMorgan raised its price target to $245.00 from $215.00 and maintained an Overweight rating, pointing to new customer wins and improved demand visibility across Coherent’s optical products portfolio.

For investors and analysts, the quarter offered multiple data points: revenue and EPS beats, accelerated bookings in data center-facing products, above-consensus near-term guidance, and management commentary linking demand strength to AI-related deployments. At the same time, the company’s strategic manufacturing transition and analyst estimate revisions form key elements underpinning near- and medium-term expectations.

For those seeking additional proprietary analysis, InvestingPro provides a Pro Research Report that includes 17 additional ProTips on COHR, per the data referenced in the reporting on analyst coverage and performance.


Key takeaways from Coherent’s fiscal Q2 results include stronger-than-expected top- and bottom-line performance, a material uplift in data center bookings, and a production shift intended to support margin expansion. Broker updates in the wake of the results raised select price targets and reinforced buy-side interest, while analyst estimate revisions reflect renewed confidence in the company’s near-term earnings trajectory.

Risks

  • Reliance on AI-driven demand: Management tied the surge in data center bookings to AI-related demand; any slowdown in that demand could affect order visibility and revenue in the Datacenter & Communications segment - impacting data center and cloud infrastructure sectors.
  • Execution risk in manufacturing transition: The move to a 6-inch InP fabrication facility is cited as a source of future gross margin expansion; delays or issues in that transition could impede anticipated margin benefits - impacting semiconductor manufacturing and component supply chains.
  • Guidance and estimate sensitivity: Coherent’s above-consensus guidance and the upward revisions from 14 analysts create expectations that could change if bookings or demand visibility weakens, affecting investor sentiment in optics and communications markets.

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