Analyst Ratings February 23, 2026

Stephens Lowers Zscaler Target, Cites Valuation Compression Despite Positive Growth Signals

Analyst trims price objective while keeping an Overweight rating as Zscaler shows revenue strength and launches new AI security tools

By Hana Yamamoto ZS
Stephens Lowers Zscaler Target, Cites Valuation Compression Despite Positive Growth Signals
ZS

Stephens reduced its price target on Zscaler to $225 from $340 but kept an Overweight rating, citing compressed software multiples and a more conservative target multiple of roughly 8.5 times enterprise value to forward revenue. The firm expects solid fiscal Q2 2026 results to act as a potential catalyst, while noting that sustaining 20%+ organic growth and clearer disclosure on the Red Canary contribution would help sentiment. The stock trades at $159.75, down 41% over six months and barely above its 52-week low of $159.66.

Key Points

  • Stephens cut its price target on Zscaler to $225 from $340 but kept an Overweight rating, citing software multiple compression and using roughly an 8.5x EV/forward revenue target multiple.
  • The firm expects solid fiscal Q2 2026 results could serve as a catalyst, and sustaining 20%+ organic growth plus clearer disclosure on Red Canary’s contribution would likely improve sentiment.
  • Zscaler reported a 76.77% gross profit margin and 23% revenue growth; other broker actions include Barclays upgrading to Overweight with a lower $228.00 target and Citizens reiterating Market Outperform with a $355.00 target.

Overview

Stephens has cut its price target for Zscaler to $225 from $340 but retained an Overweight rating on the cybersecurity software provider. The brokerage's revised valuation reflects a move to a more conservative roughly 8.5 times enterprise value to forward revenue multiple amid what it characterizes as software multiple compression.

Market context and share performance

Zscaler shares are trading at $159.75, down 41% over the prior six months and trading just above the company's 52-week low of $159.66. Stephens noted that the stock is trading near a three-year trough on enterprise value to revenue metrics, a key factor behind its lowered target.

Expectations for upcoming results

The firm expects Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) to post solid second-quarter fiscal 2026 results. Stephens views the upcoming report as a potential positive catalyst that could address the organic growth concerns that surfaced in the prior quarter. Specifically, the research house said results that support a sustained at-scale 20% growth trajectory tied to Zero Trust and SASE could help reset investor sentiment in the near term.

Growth and longer-term optionality

Stephens framed Zscaler’s near-term story as an at-scale 20% growth profile driven by Zero Trust and SASE adoption, with longer-term optionality in Security Operations modernization and AI security. The firm added that maintaining 20%+ organic growth together with clearer disclosure around the contribution from the Red Canary acquisition should be sufficient to improve market sentiment.

Valuation drivers cited by Stephens

The reduced price target was explicitly tied to a more conservative valuation assumption as software multiples decompress. Stephens applied an approximately 8.5 times enterprise value to forward revenue target multiple to arrive at the new $225 objective.

Analyst and market signals

Analysis noted in the market commentary indicates the stock may be undervalued at current levels and that 28 analysts have recently revised earnings estimates upward. The company’s reported metrics - a 76.77% gross profit margin and 23% revenue growth - were highlighted as supportive of a quality growth narrative.

Other broker moves and company developments

In recent analyst activity, Barclays upgraded Zscaler from Equalweight to Overweight but trimmed its price target to $228.00 from $264.00, citing concerns around the company’s long-term growth trajectory and a potential slowdown in its growth rate over coming years. Citizens reiterated a Market Outperform rating and kept a $355.00 price target, pointing to strong customer retention driven by high switching costs and migration complexity.

Zscaler has also announced product and leadership developments. The company introduced an AI Security Suite intended to enhance enterprise controls and visibility over AI technologies, addressing security needs that traditional models do not cover. In an executive leadership update, Zscaler appointed Dr. Swamy Kocherlakota as Executive Vice President of Agentic AI Security Engineering to focus on security challenges associated with autonomous AI agents.

Research resources

For investors seeking deeper analysis, a comprehensive Pro Research Report on Zscaler is available, described as one of more than 1,400 pro reports accessible to subscribers.


Bottom line

Stephens’ action reduces the near-term price objective on Zscaler to reflect lower target multiples after a period of multiple compression while maintaining conviction in the company’s longer-term growth levers. Upcoming fiscal Q2 2026 results, ongoing disclosure regarding recent acquisitions, and execution on AI security initiatives are focal points that the market will watch for signs of sustained momentum.

Risks

  • Valuation risk - shares are trading near a three-year trough on EV/revenue multiples, reflecting compressed software multiples and downward pressure on price targets - impacts software and technology sectors.
  • Growth uncertainty - investor sentiment depends on sustaining 20%+ organic growth and clearer reporting of Red Canary contributions; failure to meet these expectations could affect enterprise software valuations.
  • Long-term growth concerns - at least one major broker signaled a potential decline in Zscaler's long-term growth rate, posing risks for investors in cybersecurity and cloud security vendors.

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