Analyst Ratings February 13, 2026

Stephens Lifts FedEx Price Target to $405 After Investor Day; Analysts Raise Expectations

Analysts point to digitization, targeted B2B growth and international profit recovery as drivers behind multiple price-target increases

By Caleb Monroe FDX
Stephens Lifts FedEx Price Target to $405 After Investor Day; Analysts Raise Expectations
FDX

Stephens increased its FedEx (FDX) price objective to $405 from $330 and kept an Overweight rating after the carrier’s Investor Day. Management outlined plans to exceed consensus fiscal third-quarter 2026 EPS, accelerate digitization using artificial intelligence, and concentrate growth on select business-to-business markets. Other firms, including Bernstein and UBS, have also raised targets and ratings amid strategic moves such as a $2.6 billion investment in InPost and a steady quarterly dividend.

Key Points

  • Stephens raised its price target on FedEx to $405 from $330 and maintained an Overweight rating after the company’s Investor Day.
  • FedEx plans to accelerate digitization and use artificial intelligence to improve processes, while prioritizing B2B markets such as healthcare, automotive, data centers and aerospace.
  • Other firms boosted outlooks as well: Bernstein set a $427 price target and upgraded to Outperform; UBS raised its target to $412 and kept a Buy rating. FedEx also announced an unchanged $1.45 quarterly dividend and a $2.6 billion investment in acquiring InPost.

Stephens on Friday raised its price target on FedEx Corp. to $405.00 from $330.00 while retaining an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm cited information presented at FedEx’s recent Investor Day as the basis for the revision.

At the session, FedEx executives offered strategic guidance for the years ahead and said the company expects to surpass consensus earnings per share for the fiscal third quarter of 2026. Company management emphasized a push toward digitization, noting plans to deploy artificial intelligence and other technologies to streamline processes and boost operational efficiency across its businesses.

FedEx also described a sharpened commercial focus, concentrating on business-to-business segments where it sees the greatest profitability potential. The markets specifically identified by management were healthcare, automotive, data centers and aerospace. At the same time, the company said it intends to be more selective about pursuing consumer-focused opportunities.

In its commentary, Stephens pointed to FedEx’s targets for 2029 as laying out "a clear, achievable path to growth." The analyst firm said it was encouraged by the company’s renewed emphasis on free cash flow and highlighted an expected improvement in international profitability as a meaningful contributor to income growth over the coming years.

There have been several related moves that investors and analysts noted. FedEx announced a quarterly cash dividend of $1.45 per share, payable on April 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 9, 2026; the dividend amount remains unchanged from recent quarters. The company is also participating in a consortium that plans to acquire InPost, a Polish parcel locker and European home delivery provider, via a $2.6 billion investment.

Following these strategic disclosures, multiple brokerages adjusted their views. Bernstein SocGen Group reiterated an Outperform rating and set a $427.00 price target on FedEx. UBS raised its price target to $412.00 from $314.00 and maintained a Buy rating, citing potential upside from pricing strategies and cost-control measures. Bernstein additionally upgraded FedEx from Market Perform to Outperform, raised its price target to $427.00 and said the shares could move above $400 in the near to medium term under an updated valuation framework.


These analyst actions and FedEx’s strategic announcements together reflect a set of expectations about the company’s trajectory centered on operational efficiency, selective market targeting and international margin recovery. Market participants will be watching execution against the 2029 targets, the impact of technology initiatives on margins, and outcomes from the InPost investment and other strategic moves.

Risks

  • Achievement of the company’s 2029 targets is central to analyst optimism; failure to meet those targets would challenge the bullish outlook on margins and growth.
  • Planned gains from digitization and artificial intelligence depend on successful implementation across operations, creating execution uncertainty for efficiency and cost outcomes.
  • The strategic decision to be more selective in business-to-consumer opportunities introduces uncertainty about whether targeted B2B expansion will fully offset any constrained consumer revenue.

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