Analyst Ratings February 17, 2026

Rosenblatt Tacks Buy Rating onto Workday Citing Valuation, CEO Return

Analyst upgrade follows sharp share decline and leadership change as company approaches fiscal Q4 results

By Ajmal Hussain WDAY
Rosenblatt Tacks Buy Rating onto Workday Citing Valuation, CEO Return
WDAY

Rosenblatt upgraded Workday from Neutral to Buy, assigning a $180 price target that implies about 25% upside from the current $144.42 share price. The firm pointed to a steep stock decline, a free cash flow valuation below 10 times, and the return of co-founder Aneel Bhusri as CEO as supporting factors. Rosenblatt's checks find the business stable and its recent financials solid, and the firm expects in-line fourth-quarter results when Workday reports on Feb. 24.

Key Points

  • Rosenblatt upgraded Workday to Buy from Neutral and set a $180 price target, implying about 25% upside from $144.42.
  • The firm cites a roughly 36% share decline since early December, a valuation below 10 times free cash flow, and the return of Aneel Bhusri as CEO as drivers of its upgrade; Workday reported $9.23 billion in trailing-twelve-month revenue and a 75.64% gross profit margin.
  • Workday will report fiscal Q4 2026 results on Feb. 24; Rosenblatt expects in-line results and believes fiscal 2027 guidance may be reiterated or slightly increased. Sectors impacted include enterprise software and cloud-based HR/finance systems.

Rosenblatt raised its rating on Workday to Buy from Neutral and set a $180.00 price target, signaling roughly a 25% upside from the prevailing share price of $144.42. The upgrade, announced on Monday, rests in part on the stock's recent underperformance and what the firm views as an attractive valuation.

The research note highlights that Workday's shares have dropped about 36% since early December. InvestingPro figures cited in the note show a 36.12% decline over the last six months, leaving the stock trading near its 52-week low. Rosenblatt flagged that the company is trading at under 10 times free cash flow, a metric it used to justify the more bullish stance.

Rosenblatt also pointed to the return of Aneel Bhusri to the CEO role as a constructive development. The firm said its field checks indicate Workday's core business remains stable. That assessment is consistent with the company's trailing-twelve-month revenue of $9.23 billion and a gross profit margin of 75.64%, figures Rosenblatt cited as evidence of durable fundamentals.

On the question of artificial intelligence, Rosenblatt expressed limited concern that generative AI will erode Workday's position as the system of record for sensitive business functions. The research team therefore treated AI as a manageable factor rather than an immediate competitive threat to those core systems.

Workday is scheduled to announce fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results on Feb. 24. Rosenblatt expects the company to deliver results in line with expectations for the quarter and anticipates that management will either reiterate or modestly raise guidance for fiscal 2027 when it reports.


Leadership developments have added to the market discussion around Workday. The company named co-founder Aneel Bhusri as CEO, replacing Carl Eschenbach, who stepped down effective immediately. Bhusri has signaled a strategic emphasis on artificial intelligence as part of his return.

Analyst responses to the leadership change have been mixed. Stifel reduced its price target to $175 and kept a Hold rating. By contrast, Oppenheimer maintained an Outperform rating and a $270 price target. Evercore ISI set a $200 target, noting concerns about Workday's growth path and a scarcity of quarters that have delivered a material beat-and-raise pattern.

According to the company's announced transition plan, Bhusri will continue in his role as Chair of the Board while guiding Workday's AI strategy, and Eschenbach will remain with the company as a strategic advisor to support the transition. These organizational moves come as Workday prepares for an upcoming earnings call that investors will scrutinize for further clarity on performance and strategy.

Investors and market participants will be watching the Feb. 24 earnings report to see whether the company's results and any commentary on fiscal 2027 align with Rosenblatt's expectation of in-line quarterly results and potential guidance reaffirmation or modest uplift.

Risks

  • Mixed analyst views on Workday's outlook create uncertainty - some firms have reduced price targets or flagged growth concerns, which could pressure the stock and affect investor sentiment in enterprise software.
  • The company faces scrutiny around its growth trajectory and the rarity of beat-and-raise quarters, a factor that could influence guidance and market reaction at the upcoming earnings report, impacting cloud and SaaS market valuations.
  • Potential shifts in AI's role in enterprise systems present uncertainty; while Rosenblatt sees limited risk to Workday's system of record status for sensitive functions, evolving AI dynamics remain a watch item for enterprise software buyers and investors.

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