Analyst Ratings February 18, 2026

Rosenblatt Lowers Hive Digital Price Target, Cites Mining Economics and AI Pivot Progress

Firm trims target to $4.50 but keeps Buy rating as Paraguay expansion and GPU plans reshape the company's outlook

By Leila Farooq HIVE
Rosenblatt Lowers Hive Digital Price Target, Cites Mining Economics and AI Pivot Progress
HIVE

Rosenblatt reduced its price target on Hive Digital Technologies to $4.50 from $6.50 while retaining a Buy rating. The firm points to improved mining economics from a Paraguay expansion and emerging GPU deployment and recurring revenue targets that support a transition toward AI infrastructure. Hive’s shares trade well below analyst targets and data indicate the company has more cash than debt.

Key Points

  • Rosenblatt reduced its price target for Hive Digital to $4.50 from $6.50 but maintained a Buy rating; the stock trades at $2.12 and analyst targets range from $3.50 to $10.00.
  • Rosenblatt cites the Paraguay expansion as a structural improvement to Hive’s mining economics and a contributor to 112.51% revenue growth over the past twelve months; the firm also highlights new GPU deployment targets and annual recurring revenue goals tied to an AI infrastructure pivot.
  • The company’s GPU Cloud business reported $20 million in annualized run-rate revenues for the quarter, with expectations to reach $35 million by the end of the current quarter; H.C. Wainwright lowered its target from $10 to $7 and kept a Buy rating.

Rosenblatt on Tuesday cut its price target for Hive Digital Technologies to $4.50 from $6.50 but left its Buy recommendation unchanged. The firm’s revised target compares with the stock’s most recent trade at $2.12 and sits inside a range of analyst targets that span $3.50 to $10.00. Data assessments indicate the shares appear undervalued versus a Fair Value benchmark.

In a note accompanying the change, Rosenblatt said Hive’s fiscal third-quarter 2026 results validate that the company’s expansion in Paraguay has materially improved its mining economics, even as hashprice conditions have become more difficult. The Paraguay deployment is highlighted as a structural positive behind Hive’s reported 112.51% revenue growth over the trailing twelve months.

With Bitcoin trading below $70,000, Rosenblatt argued Hive’s lower hashcosts and greater operational scale should help the company navigate the more challenging price environment. The firm also noted that these improvements give Hive additional flexibility to pursue expansion of its high-performance computing initiatives.

Financial position details cited by the analyst team show Hive holding more cash than debt on its balance sheet, a configuration Rosenblatt views as supportive of stability through market swings. The research also refers to subscription-access materials that include more than 10 additional ProTips on the company’s financial position.

Rosenblatt pointed to a new contract and to concrete internal targets tied to GPU deployment and growth in annual recurring revenues. Those developments prompted the firm to express greater confidence that Hive can advance a transition toward a more diversified artificial intelligence infrastructure business.

The new Rosenblatt target was derived using a multiple-based approach - specifically, 11 times Rosenblatt’s fiscal 2028 adjusted EBITDA estimate for Hive.

Other broker activity has reflected similar recalibrations. Hive’s fiscal third-quarter results were characterized by some analysts as underwhelming. The company’s GPU Cloud unit exited the quarter with an annualized run-rate of $20 million in revenues, short of longer-term ambitions, but company guidance and analyst expectations point to a rise to $35 million in annualized run-rate revenues by the end of the current quarter.

Following the quarterly disclosure, H.C. Wainwright trimmed its own price target for the company from $10 to $7 but kept a Buy rating intact. Together, these updates underscore ongoing adjustments to expectations as Hive balances mining operations with nascent GPU cloud and AI infrastructure objectives.


Context and takeaway

Analysts appear to be weighing improved cost structures from recent capacity additions against the near-term revenue trajectory for GPU Cloud services. The diminished target from Rosenblatt reflects tempered near-term upside while preserving conviction in Hive’s strategic pivot and cash-backed balance sheet.

Risks

  • Hashprice and Bitcoin price volatility could pressure mining revenues and margins, affecting the crypto-mining sector and related hardware markets.
  • GPU Cloud revenue growth may underperform expectations, creating execution risk for Hive’s AI infrastructure transition and impacting the broader cloud and AI services markets.
  • Market sensitivity to company guidance and analyst revisions may continue to drive share-price dispersion given the stock trades well below analyst targets.

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