Rosenblatt has reduced its target stock price for Canaan Inc. to $2.50 from $4.00 while maintaining a Buy rating on the cryptocurrency mining equipment manufacturer. The brokerage’s move reflects its view that demand for new mining hardware is likely to soften as Bitcoin prices continue to trend lower.
Canaan shares are trading at $0.59 and have declined about 69% over the past year, with analyst price targets spanning from $1.75 to $4.00. Rosenblatt’s updated outlook incorporates a revised Bitcoin-price assumption for 2026: the firm now models an average price of $100,000 for the year, down from a prior assumption of $120,000. That change has led Rosenblatt to lower its revenue forecasts for both Canaan’s equipment sales and its self-mining operations in 2026.
The firm highlighted market estimates that put the breakeven level for professional Bitcoin miners near $90,000, a threshold that it says will influence purchasing decisions for new miners. In light of that, Rosenblatt signaled more cautious near-term demand for new-generation ASICs.
Despite the downward adjustment to its price target, Rosenblatt praised Canaan’s management for focusing on improvements in equipment efficiency through development of leading-edge ASICs. On the balance sheet, the firm noted that Canaan carries more cash than debt. The company’s next earnings report is scheduled for February 10.
Operationally, Canaan reported significant increases in mining capacity metrics by the end of December 2025. The company said its installed hashrate rose 82% to 9.91 exahashes per second, and its operating hashrate increased 61% year over year. In December alone Canaan produced 86 bitcoin, bringing its cryptocurrency treasury to 1,750 BTC and 3,951 ETH. The bitcoin holdings represent a 35% increase compared with the prior year.
On the corporate actions front, Canaan renewed a $30 million share buyback program authorizing repurchases of outstanding American depositary shares over the following 12 months. That renewed program follows the expiration of a previous buyback under which the company repurchased about $4.9 million of shares.
Separately, Canaan has launched a 3 megawatt proof-of-concept project in Manitoba, Canada, intended to recover waste heat from its mining operations for greenhouse heating. The initiative, in collaboration with Bitforest Investment Ltd., will use liquid-cooled computing servers and container modules as part of the pilot.
Despite operational gains and corporate actions designed to support shareholder value, Canaan has received a deficiency notice from Nasdaq for failing to maintain a minimum $1.00 bid price for 30 consecutive business days, in accordance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2).
Investors and market participants assessing Canaan’s outlook face a mix of factors: an analyst-led revision to price targets tied to cryptocurrency price assumptions, notable growth in hashrate and coin production, continued cash dominance on the balance sheet, active share repurchase authorization, and a regulatory listing deficiency tied to market price levels.