Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

RBC Lifts Akamai Price Target to $100 as Compute and AI Inference Drive Momentum

Analysts highlight cloud and AI-services strength even as guidance and rising hardware costs weigh on near-term profitability

By Maya Rios AKAM
RBC Lifts Akamai Price Target to $100 as Compute and AI Inference Drive Momentum
AKAM

RBC Capital raised its price target for Akamai Technologies to $100 from $90 and kept a Sector Perform rating after the company reported a strong fourth-quarter performance in cloud computing and AI inference services. Shares fell in after-hours trading to $98.31 from a prior close of $109.31, a roughly 10% drop, even as the stock had climbed about 29% year-to-date and 44% over the prior six months. Despite encouraging signs in compute and security offerings, Akamai issued profitability guidance for the first quarter and full-year 2026 below consensus and flagged material near-term cost pressures tied to AI-related hardware inflation, co-location costs and depreciation.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital raised its price target on Akamai to $100 from $90 and maintained a Sector Perform rating, citing strength in cloud computing and AI inference services.
  • Akamai reported robust growth in Guardicore and API Security, but delivery headwinds persist even as they improve; the company guided first-quarter and full-year 2026 profitability below consensus.
  • Akamai plans roughly $250 million in cloud computing capacity investment, while facing about $200 million in elevated memory chip costs plus higher co-location and depreciation expenses - developments that affect cloud, AI infrastructure, and data center sectors.

Overview

RBC Capital raised its price target on Akamai Technologies to $100 from $90 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating on Thursday. The firm noted that Akamai posted a solid fourth-quarter performance, driven by continued momentum in cloud computing and AI inference services.


Market reaction and recent performance

Shares moved lower in after-hours trading, falling to $98.31 from a previous close of $109.31, a decline of roughly 10% following the announcement. Prior to the quarterly report, the stock had gained approximately 29% year-to-date and about 44% over the previous six months.


What RBC highlighted

RBC pointed to strength in Akamai’s cloud computing and AI inference offerings and cited solid growth in the company’s Guardicore and API Security products. Those growth areas were noted as offsets to broader execution challenges, with RBC saying delivery headwinds remain but are showing improvement.


Guidance and cost pressures

Management’s profitability guidance for the first quarter and for fiscal 2026 as a whole came in below consensus, according to the company’s disclosures. Akamai also plans to invest roughly $250 million in cloud computing capacity as it scales those services.

At the same time, the company faces increased operating costs. Akamai expects about $200 million in elevated memory chip costs tied to AI-related hardware inflation. The firm also cited higher co-location costs and rising depreciation expenses as additional near-term headwinds.


Other analyst moves and strategic developments

Several other firms have adjusted their views on Akamai in recent coverage. KeyBanc raised its price target to $120 and characterized the company’s capital-expenditure guidance as an indicator of potential future GPU-driven revenue growth. Akamai’s capital spending for 2026 is expected to reach 24.5% of revenue, a level described as the highest in recent years.

Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight and increased its price target to $115, pointing to what it called an important inflection point in Akamai’s business-model evolution that could support improved top-line and EPS growth. Scotiabank raised its target to $105 and highlighted Akamai’s positioning in AI infrastructure, referencing the company’s partnership with NVIDIA and the launch of its Inference Cloud.

KeyBanc is also noted as having upgraded Akamai to Overweight, underlining potential revenue upside from the company’s compute business.


Strategic partnerships

On the strategic front, Akamai announced a collaboration with Visa intended to bolster security for AI-powered commerce. The partnership will integrate Visa’s Trusted Agent Protocol with Akamai’s edge-based security technologies to address the challenges merchants may face from autonomous AI agents in commerce.


Bottom line

Analysts emphasize that Akamai’s emerging compute and AI-inference businesses are driving momentum, while guidance and several cost categories - notably AI-related memory chip inflation, co-location expenses and depreciation - represent meaningful near-term pressures on profitability. Investor reactions have been mixed, reflected in the after-hours price move following the results and the string of recent analyst target increases and upgrades.


Note: This article presents reported analyst actions, company guidance and noted cost pressures as disclosed. It does not add additional forecasts or commentary beyond those statements.

Risks

  • Profitability guidance for Q1 and fiscal 2026 below consensus - this creates near-term earnings risk for investors and could affect sentiment in the technology and cloud-computing sectors.
  • Approximately $200 million in elevated memory chip costs due to AI-related hardware inflation, along with higher co-location costs and depreciation, which introduce pressure on margins in Akamai’s compute and infrastructure businesses.
  • Execution or delivery headwinds - while described as improving, continued operational delivery challenges could constrain revenue realization and limit benefits from increased capital expenditure in AI and GPU-enabled services.

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