Analyst Ratings February 24, 2026

RBC Capital Starts Coverage of Light & Wonder with Outperform, Sees Large Upside

Analyst highlights strong margins, favourable valuation, and recent financing and listing moves

By Nina Shah LNW
RBC Capital Starts Coverage of Light & Wonder with Outperform, Sees Large Upside
LNW

RBC Capital has begun coverage of Light & Wonder Inc. (LNW) with an Outperform rating and a price target of AUD190.00, implying roughly 41% upside from current levels. The firm cites the company’s 73% gross profit margin and an undervaluation signal from InvestingPro data. Recent corporate actions include settlement of the Dragon Train litigation, a move to a single primary ASX listing, and an amendment adding a $2.13 billion term loan tranche maturing in April 2029 with a reduced interest margin.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital initiated coverage of Light & Wonder (LNW) with an Outperform rating and a price target of AUD190.00, implying about 41% upside.
  • The company reports a 73% gross profit margin; InvestingPro data referenced in the note indicates the stock is trading below its Fair Value estimate.
  • Recent corporate moves include settling the Dragon Train litigation, moving to a single ASX primary listing, and amending the credit agreement to add a $2.13 billion term loan tranche maturing in April 2029 with a reduced interest margin - these actions affect the gaming sector and credit markets.

RBC Capital has opened coverage on Light & Wonder Inc. with an Outperform recommendation and assigned a price target of AUD190.00. The research note indicates the valuation implies approximately 41% upside from prevailing share prices. The coverage was authored by analyst Mark Wilson.

The bank’s note points to the company’s ability to capture additional market share in higher-value segments of what it describes as a resilient gaming market. RBC Capital underscored Light & Wonder’s gross profit margin of 73% as supportive of its competitive position, and referenced InvestingPro data that categorizes the stock as currently trading below its Fair Value estimate.


On valuation metrics, Light & Wonder is presented as trading on a FY26e enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 8.3x when adjusted for stock-based compensation, and on a price-to-earnings multiple of 11.5x. For comparison, the note lists Aristocrat at 10.5x and 16.7x on the same respective metrics.

RBC’s initiation comes amid several company developments. Light & Wonder has settled the Dragon Train litigation and consolidated to a sole primary listing on the Australian Securities Exchange. The company also amended its credit agreement to include a new $2.13 billion term loan tranche that matures in April 2029; the amendment additionally reduces the interest rate margin on these loans, improving the borrowing terms described in the note.


Other broker activity referenced in the same update includes Benchmark raising its price target for Light & Wonder from $90 to $110 while keeping a Buy rating following the firm’s shift to a standard listing on the ASX. The RBC initiation reiterates the Outperform view with a price target cited as $190 in the analyst communication.

RBC’s commentary centers on margin strength, relative valuation, and the company’s recent financing and listing actions as the principal factors underpinning its positive stance. The note projects that these elements support the firm’s expectation of incremental share gains within higher-value market segments.

No forward-looking forecasts beyond the referenced FY26e multiples or additional financial projections were provided in the initiation note excerpted in the update.

Risks

  • Valuation comparison risk - even with lower multiples than a key peer, market re-rating is not guaranteed, which affects equity investors in the gaming sector.
  • Credit and refinancing risk - while the credit amendment reduces interest margins, the existence of a large $2.13 billion term loan tranche maturing in April 2029 introduces medium-term funding and interest-rate considerations for creditors and treasury management.
  • Operational and legal uncertainty - although Dragon Train litigation has been settled according to the update, legal and operational matters can influence near-term performance and investor sentiment in the gaming and leisure sector.

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