Analyst Ratings February 23, 2026

Raymond James Lowers Rating on Vertical Aerospace, Flagging Near-Term Funding Risks

Analyst warns cash runway may expire by mid-June amid competitive pressures and tight liquidity for the eVTOL maker

By Derek Hwang EVTL
Raymond James Lowers Rating on Vertical Aerospace, Flagging Near-Term Funding Risks
EVTL

Raymond James cut Vertical Aerospace to Underperform from Market Perform, citing a constrained cash runway and heightened competition in the electric vertical takeoff and landing sector. The broker flagged a current ratio of 0.55, an estimated liquidity horizon through mid-June (excluding roughly $92 million in at-the-market capacity) and rapid cash burn reflected in a negative levered free cash flow of $97.86 million over the trailing 12 months.

Key Points

  • Raymond James downgraded Vertical Aerospace to Underperform, citing liquidity strain and competitive threats in the eVTOL sector.
  • Analyst projects cash runway through mid-June, excluding approximately $92 million in at-the-market offering capacity; levered free cash flow was -$97.86 million over the last 12 months.
  • Vertical has active commercial and partnership initiatives, including planned Manhattan routes with Bristow and Skyports and a memorandum with AHQ Group and Saudi National Industrial Development Centre.

Raymond James has reduced its recommendation on Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE:EVTL) to Underperform from Market Perform, pointing to acute liquidity pressure and intensifying competition within the electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft market. The stock is trading at $4.40 and is down 17% year-to-date. The firm noted a current ratio of 0.55, a metric the analyst described as indicative of constrained near-term liquidity.

Analyst Savanthi Syth detailed the firms cash runway view, saying Verticals liquidity is expected to extend through mid-June under the assumption of normal flight testing expenses and excluding about $92 million remaining in the companys at-the-market offering. That outlook is consistent with data from InvestingPro showing the companys levered free cash flow was negative $97.86 million over the past twelve months, underscoring the rapid pace of cash consumption.

Raymond James also highlighted competitive risks to Verticals engineering base. The analyst pointed to Archer Aviations announcement of a U.K. engineering hub in Bristol as increasing the possibility Vertical could lose technical staff. As an example, the firm cited Dr. Limhi Somervilles planned move to Archer in early 2026 as illustrative of potential talent migration between competitors.

The broker further argued that Verticals market capitalization, now at $433.49 million, sits below the $500 million threshold that can dissuade institutional investors from taking positions in higher-risk equities. InvestingPro assigns Vertical a "Weak" financial health score. Despite these headwinds, InvestingPros Fair Value analysis indicates the shares could be undervalued at current levels; investors can obtain more detail through a Pro Research Report on EVTL, one of the platforms 1,400-plus research reports.

On corporate partnerships, Vertical stated in early November that it is working to secure an industrial partner. Management has suggested such a partner would likely make an investment intended to reassure the market about the companys prospects and financial footing.

Operationally and commercially, Vertical has advanced several initiatives. The company has announced plans to operate electric air travel routes serving Manhattan in collaboration with Bristow Group and Skyports Infrastructure, aiming to reduce travel times on city approaches such as between John F. Kennedy International Airport and Manhattan using its Valo aircraft.

Internationally, Vertical signed a strategic Memorandum of Understanding with AHQ Group and the Saudi National Industrial Development Centre to foster Advanced Air Mobility in Saudi Arabia, with an emphasis on industrial development and commercial deployment.

Public demonstrations remain part of Verticals outreach. The company plans to display its Valo aircraft at a public event in Miami Beach scheduled for February 24-25 at the Bass Museum. The Valo is presented as a commercial electric aircraft designed for roughly 100-mile trips at cruising speeds near 150 mph.

Analyst coverage is mixed. While Raymond James reduced its view to Underperform, William Blair has recently initiated coverage of Vertical with an Outperform rating, signaling divergent opinions among sell-side analysts about the companys strategic positioning within the urban air mobility market.


Takeaway: Raymond James downgrade centers on a narrow liquidity runway and talent and competitive threats, even as the company pursues commercial routes, partnerships, and public demonstrations. The companys sub-$500 million market capitalization and negative levered free cash flow are central to the brokers cautionary stance.

Risks

  • Near-term liquidity shortfall - the companys current ratio of 0.55 and projected cash runway through mid-June could force financing choices that dilute shareholders or delay operations. This risk directly affects investors and the broader aerospace financing market.
  • Talent migration - Archers U.K. engineering hub and the cited move of Dr. Limhi Somerville to Archer in early 2026 illustrate a risk that engineering resources could shift, impacting Verticals development timeline and the advanced air mobility sector.
  • Institutional investor hesitancy - a market capitalization below $500 million (Vertical at $433.49 million) and a "Weak" financial health score may limit access to large, long-term institutional capital, influencing the companys ability to fund commercialization and scale.

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