Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

Raymond James Elevates Paymentus to Strong Buy, Cites Valuation Opportunity

Analyst upgrade follows steep recent share decline; firm lowers target but highlights upside in margins and takeout scenarios

By Hana Yamamoto PAY
Raymond James Elevates Paymentus to Strong Buy, Cites Valuation Opportunity
PAY

Raymond James upgraded Paymentus Holdings (PAY) from Outperform to Strong Buy while trimming its price target to $35 from $41. The firm added the company to its Analyst Current Favorites list, noting recent share-price weakness and potential upside to contribution profit and adjusted EBITDA. Freedom Capital Markets also initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $40 target.

Key Points

  • Raymond James upgraded Paymentus to Strong Buy from Outperform and lowered its price target to $35.00 from $41.00; the stock was added to the firm's Analyst Current Favorites list.
  • Paymentus shares have fallen 30% over three months and 34% over six months, trading around $24.45 and near a 52-week low of $22.65; the Russell 2000 rose 13% over the past three months.
  • Analysts expect potential mid-single digit upside to contribution profit dollars and adjusted EBITDA in the near term; Raymond James sees a low-to-mid 20% IRR at a $30-35 takeout price and values the stock at 13x its bull-case 2027 adjusted EBITDA estimate.

Raymond James has raised its recommendation on Paymentus Holdings (NYSE: PAY) to Strong Buy from Outperform and reduced its price objective to $35.00 from $41.00, while placing the stock on its Analyst Current Favorites list.

The firm highlighted the pronounced pullback in the shares: Paymentus has fallen 30% over the last three months even as the Russell 2000 rose 13% in the same span. Over a six-month window the stock is down 34%. Shares were trading near $24.45 at the time of the note, close to a 52-week low of $22.65.

On fundamentals, Raymond James expects robust fourth-quarter results. The firm models potential mid-single digit percentage upside to contribution profit dollars and to adjusted EBITDA. For the company’s initial fiscal 2026 outlook, Raymond James anticipates guidance that will likely align with current Street expectations across the key metrics it follows.

Looking beyond the initial outlook, the firm judges that fiscal 2026 guidance could prove conservative. Raymond James sees the potential for mid-single digit contribution profit dollar upside and high-single digit adjusted EBITDA upside as the year progresses. Its analysis also indicates a low-to-mid 20% internal rate of return under a takeout price in the $30-35 range.

Valuation context provided by Raymond James shows Paymentus trading at 13 times the firm’s bull-case 2027 adjusted EBITDA estimate. Balance-sheet strength is another pillar of the analyst note: the company is described as having no debt and a current ratio of 4.36, signaling substantial short-term liquidity. InvestingPro analysis is cited as suggesting the stock is undervalued at current market levels, with a Fair Value above the trading price.

In separate research activity, Freedom Capital Markets has started coverage of Paymentus with a Buy rating and set a price target of $40.00. That firm highlighted Paymentus as a leading provider of cloud-based bill payment technology, reflecting confidence in the company’s business model and growth potential.


The recent analyst moves encapsulate a bullish view from multiple research shops driven by perceived valuation opportunity, expected upside to profit and margin measures, and a strong liquidity position. At the same time, the stock’s steep recent decline and proximity to its 52-week low underscore investor caution amid the wider market backdrop.

Risks

  • Near-term share-price volatility - the stock is trading close to its 52-week low, reflecting market caution that could persist and affect investor returns; this impacts small-cap and fintech market sentiment.
  • Guidance uncertainty - while Raymond James expects fiscal 2026 guidance to align with Street views and to be conservative, any divergence in actual results could affect valuation and analyst expectations; this is relevant for corporate earnings and market forecasts in the payments sector.
  • Reliance on margin improvements - the projected mid- to high-single digit upside in contribution profit and adjusted EBITDA depends on operational performance; underperformance would affect fintech and software-as-a-service comparables.

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