Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

Piper Sandler Upholds Overweight on Amer Sports as Analysts Raise Targets; Valuation Raises Questions

Firm keeps $45 price target while peers lift outlooks amid sales and EBITDA estimate upgrades and a planned bond redemption

By Derek Hwang AS
Piper Sandler Upholds Overweight on Amer Sports as Analysts Raise Targets; Valuation Raises Questions
AS

Piper Sandler has reiterated an Overweight rating and a $45.00 price target on Amer Sports Inc. The company’s shares have outperformed year-to-date and over the past 12 months, while sell-side estimates for sales and EBITDA have been revised upward. Analysts highlight portfolio expansion, including Salomon’s early-stage growth in the U.S. and China, even as valuation metrics and an InvestingPro assessment indicate the stock may be richly priced. Amer Sports has scheduled a bond redemption and set a date to report fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results.

Key Points

  • Piper Sandler reiterated an Overweight rating and kept a $45.00 price target on Amer Sports.
  • Sell-side estimates have risen over the past 12 months - average estimate increases: 15% overall, 9% for sales, 20% for EBITDA - and the company has beaten sales expectations by 3% on average in the last two quarters.
  • Analysts including Truist and Barclays have raised price targets or initiated coverage with positive ratings, while valuation metrics and InvestingPro indicate the stock may be trading above its Fair Value.

Piper Sandler has reaffirmed an Overweight rating on Amer Sports Inc. and maintained a $45.00 price target on the shares. The firm noted recent strength in the stock, which has risen 10% so far this year against a 1% gain for the coverage universe cited by the firm.

Amer Sports is trading at $41.51, close to its 52-week high of $42.36, and has produced a 1-year return of 41%. The company is scheduled to publish fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 24, 2026.

Across the past twelve months, sell-side projections for Amer Sports have trended higher. On average, analyst estimates have increased 15%, with sales forecasts climbing about 9% and EBITDA estimates rising roughly 20%. Management has exceeded sales expectations by an average of 3% over the last two quarters, according to the reporting.

Piper Sandler pointed to the company’s guidance dynamics, noting that the high end of the 2025 earnings per share guidance implies approximately 40% average growth versus the initial guidance issued in February 2025. The firm expects the 2026 consensus EPS estimate of $1.16 to fall within the company’s guidance range.

Valuation has drawn attention from market data providers. The stock is trading at 19 times enterprise value to EBITDA in the view cited by Piper Sandler, which represents a 3-4 times multiple expansion since Amer Sports reported third-quarter 2025 results. Separately, InvestingPro data shows an EV/EBITDA of 27.91 and includes a note that the company is "trading at a high EBITDA valuation multiple." That platform’s analysis also suggests the stock is currently overvalued relative to its Fair Value.

Piper Sandler emphasized the company’s brand portfolio, specifically calling out Salomon as an asset in the early stages of geographic expansion in the U.S. and China. The firm views these expansion activities as a driver of growth potential.

Corporate finance actions are also on the calendar. Amer Sports announced plans to redeem $80 million of its 6.750% Senior Secured Notes due 2031, with the redemption scheduled for February 6, 2026. Management has set February 24, 2026, as the date to release fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results; that release will be accompanied by a management-hosted webcast.

Other analyst activity has been notable. Truist Securities raised its price target for Amer Sports to $46 while keeping a Buy rating, citing persistent growth levers across the business. Barclays initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $49 price target, highlighting brand awareness and adoption as favorable positioning. These analyst moves collectively reflect a generally constructive view of Amer Sports’ growth prospects among the sell-side.


Context and implications

Investor attention is likely to remain focused on the upcoming earnings release and management commentary, the planned bond redemption in early February, and how guidance compares with the upgraded consensus estimates for sales and EBITDA. Valuation metrics cited by third-party data providers provide counterpoints to the positive analyst sentiment and will be part of the investor assessment of the stock’s risk-reward profile.

Risks

  • Valuation risk - InvestingPro data flags a high EV/EBITDA (27.91) and notes the stock is trading at a high EBITDA valuation multiple, with the platform suggesting the stock is overvalued relative to its Fair Value.
  • Operational and execution risk tied to expansion - Piper Sandler cited Salomon’s early-stage expansion in the U.S. and China, indicating growth depends in part on successful geographic build-out.
  • Event and timing risk - Upcoming corporate events, including the planned $80 million redemption of 6.750% Senior Secured Notes due 2031 on February 6, 2026, and the release of fourth-quarter and fiscal 2025 results on February 24, 2026, could affect investor sentiment and the stock’s near-term trading.

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