Analyst Ratings February 12, 2026

Piper Sandler Sticks with Overweight Rating on Newmark After Sharp Market Drop

Analyst maintains $19 target as stock slides with CRE peers amid broader market turbulence

By Priya Menon NMRK
Piper Sandler Sticks with Overweight Rating on Newmark After Sharp Market Drop
NMRK

Piper Sandler reaffirmed its Overweight rating and $19.00 price target on Newmark Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:NMRK) following a pronounced market selloff that pushed the stock down 13% in a single session. The firm described Newmark as a capital-light vehicle positioned to benefit from broad commercial real estate (CRE) activity, and noted that recent moves in the 10-year Treasury were unlikely to have materially disrupted CRE financing. Separate analyst support from Citizens also remains constructive, highlighting hiring and market share gains in U.S. capital markets.

Key Points

  • Piper Sandler reaffirmed an Overweight rating and $19.00 price target on Newmark Group, with the stock trading at $14.95 and analyst targets ranging from $19 to $24.
  • Newmark’s shares tumbled about 13% on Wednesday while office REITs fell roughly 4%; the company’s beta of 1.85 indicates above-market volatility.
  • Newmark has arranged several large refinancing loans recently, including $690 million for West Shore multifamily assets, $630 million for Miami’s 830 Brickell office tower, and $415 million to refinance a Northeast retail portfolio; Citizens maintains a Market Outperform rating with a $21.00 target.

Piper Sandler has reiterated an Overweight rating on Newmark Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:NMRK) and held its $19.00 price target after a notable market selloff on Wednesday. The $3.63 billion market capitalization real estate services company was trading at $14.95, while published analyst targets run between $19 and $24, according to InvestingPro data.

The stock fell roughly 13% on Wednesday, tracking similar downward moves among other firms in the sector. Office real estate investment trusts registered a more modest decline of about 4% on the same day. Newmark’s beta of 1.85 underscores the stock’s tendency to move with greater amplitude than the broader market.

Piper Sandler observed that the selloff took place even though the headline jobs report initially appeared constructive - the payrolls number showed 130,000 new jobs against consensus estimates of 55,000. The research team pointed out that the 10-year Treasury yield ticked up only slightly to 4.17% from Tuesday’s 4.14%, a change the firm described as "hardly disruptive to CRE financing." Given those dynamics, Piper Sandler suggested the equities retreat may have been influenced by other forces, including concerns related to AI that have affected a range of industries recently.

Maintaining its positive stance, Piper Sandler characterized Newmark as a capital-lite vehicle that is levered to a growing economy, and one that stands to benefit as various elements of commercial real estate activity strengthen.

On the corporate activity front, Newmark has been an active arranger of large refinancing loans. Among recent transactions, the firm secured a $690 million loan for West Shore to refinance 13 multifamily properties located in Florida, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas - a significant action in the U.S. multifamily financing market this year. Newmark also arranged a $630 million refinancing for Miami’s 830 Brickell office tower, with the funding led by Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan. In another deal, the company facilitated a $415 million refinance for a retail portfolio in the Northeast on behalf of DRA Advisors and KPR Centers.

Separately, Citizens repeated its Market Outperform rating on Newmark and kept a $21.00 price target, citing the company’s recent hiring and market share gains in U.S. capital markets. Citizens emphasized Newmark’s scalable platform and the addition of producers as supportive of its positive evaluation, particularly in debt financing and alternative asset classes.

These analyst perspectives and the string of large financing transactions underscore Newmark’s active role in capital markets and refinancing activity, even as the stock recently experienced heightened volatility amid a broader selloff in the sector.

Risks

  • Elevated equity volatility - illustrated by a 13% one-day decline and a beta of 1.85 - creates uncertainty for investors in the real estate services sector.
  • Unclear selloff drivers - despite a stronger-than-expected jobs print and only a marginal rise in the 10-year Treasury yield (4.14% to 4.17%), the stock declined, suggesting other market forces such as AI-related concerns could be influencing investor behavior.
  • Sector sensitivity to market sentiment - commercial real estate and related capital markets activity may be vulnerable to swings in investor risk appetite, which can affect refinancing conditions and deal flow.

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