Analyst Ratings February 9, 2026

Oppenheimer Cuts Kyndryl to Perform Citing Slower Sales and Weakening Near-Term Outlook

Analyst downgrade follows management guidance cut, missed quarter and leadership turnover as investors reassess the IT services firm's trajectory

By Maya Rios KD
Oppenheimer Cuts Kyndryl to Perform Citing Slower Sales and Weakening Near-Term Outlook
KD

Kyndryl Holdings Inc. was downgraded from Outperform to Perform by Oppenheimer after the company reported signs of operational strain that include lengthening sales cycles, reduced guidance for fiscal 2026 and executive departures. The firm remains profitable on a trailing-twelve-month basis, but recent quarterly results missed expectations and the company disclosed material weaknesses in internal controls, prompting regulatory filing delays and heightened investor scrutiny.

Key Points

  • Oppenheimer downgraded Kyndryl from Outperform to Perform, citing extended sales cycles and concerns about the business outlook - sectors impacted: IT services, enterprise software and consulting.
  • Management cut fiscal 2026 guidance to a constant-currency revenue decline of 2-3% year-over-year, down from a prior projection of 1% growth - sectors impacted: corporate IT spending and managed services demand.
  • Recent quarterly results missed estimates (EPS $0.52 versus $0.67 expected; revenue $3.9 billion versus $3.94 billion expected) and the company disclosed material weaknesses in internal control, leading to a delayed December quarter filing.

Oppenheimer has moved Kyndryl Holdings Inc. (KD) from an Outperform rating to Perform, citing growing concerns about the company’s near-term business trajectory as sales cycles have extended and the broader outlook has become more uncertain. The change in stance reflects what the research firm characterizes as a slowdown in momentum within some of Kyndryl’s growth engines.

Market metrics show the stock trading at a low price-to-earnings multiple of 6.62, a valuation level the market is treating as materially below what analysts regard as fair value. Despite that low multiple, Kyndryl’s operational picture has weakened in recent reporting.

One focal point for the downgrade was the performance of Kyndryl Consult, a division previously identified as among the company’s faster-growing businesses. According to analysts, longer sales cycles in that unit have clouded the outlook for constant-currency organic topline growth. Management itself has revised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance downward, now forecasting a constant-currency revenue decline of 2-3% year-over-year versus a prior expectation of 1% growth. The company attributes this guidance adjustment to the persistent extension of sales cycles and continuing headwinds from pre-spin and legacy IBM contracts.

Profitability metrics remain mixed. Gross profit margin is 21.4 percent, a level that observers say points to weak gross profit margins relative to expectations for the peer group. At the same time, Kyndryl produced diluted earnings per share of $1.68 over the trailing twelve months, and analysts continue to model profitability for the current year.

The company’s most recently reported quarter provided additional cause for concern. Kyndryl’s third-quarter fiscal 2026 results showed earnings per share of $0.52, missing the consensus estimate of $0.67. Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.9 billion, narrowly below the $3.94 billion analysts had forecast. Following the release, the company disclosed a delay in filing its December quarter report due to material weaknesses identified in internal control over financial reporting. These control issues were described as spanning the fiscal year ending March 2025 and the first two quarters of fiscal 2026.

Leadership turnover has compounded uncertainty. The departure of Chief Financial Officer David Wyshner was singled out by analysts as another factor increasing near-term risk and informing Oppenheimer’s decision to assume a more neutral stance on the shares. Executive exits more broadly, combined with the control weaknesses and the earnings miss, prompted a sharp decline in the stock price as investors reacted to the developments.

Oppenheimer’s adjustment reflects heightened caution about Kyndryl’s ability to deliver the topline growth previously anticipated amid operational headwinds. Investors and market watchers remain attentive to updates from management on remediation of control weaknesses, the company’s sales pipeline cadence and any additional executive changes. For now, the situation has placed the IT services firm under significant scrutiny, with analysts and investors offering differing assessments of the company’s medium-term prospects.


Contextual note: The company’s recent disclosures and guidance revision have translated into mixed signals for valuation and earnings durability; the balance between an apparently low earnings multiple and near-term operational risk is a central focus for market participants.

Risks

  • Extended sales cycles in Kyndryl Consult raise uncertainty about the company’s ability to achieve constant-currency organic topline growth - markets at risk: enterprise IT services and consulting.
  • Material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting have delayed regulatory filings and suggest possible further governance or reporting risks - markets at risk: equity investors and creditors.
  • Executive turnover, including the departure of the CFO, increases near-term management and execution risk as the company addresses operational headwinds - markets at risk: strategic planning and investor confidence.

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