Analyst Ratings February 18, 2026

Northland Starts Coverage on Satellogic with Outperform Call, $5.50 Target

Analyst cites government demand for persistent satellite imagery and AI-enabled processing as drivers while valuation and near-term profitability remain concerns

By Avery Klein SATL
Northland Starts Coverage on Satellogic with Outperform Call, $5.50 Target
SATL

Northland has begun coverage of Satellogic, Inc. (NASDAQ: SATL) with an outperform rating and a $5.50 price objective, implying roughly 92% upside from the stock's $2.87 share price. The research note highlights rising sovereign demand for security-focused imaging, the company's strong gross margins, and anticipated growth from NextGen and AI-First capacity investments, while third-party data flag the stock as overvalued against its Fair Value and indicate no expected profitability this year.

Key Points

  • Northland initiated coverage of Satellogic with an outperform rating and a $5.50 price target, implying ~92% upside from $2.87.
  • Brokerage cited rising sovereign demand for persistent, rapid-revisit small-satellite imagery that can feed AI-based threat detection; Satellogic reported a 67.05% gross profit margin.
  • Company announced an 11-month extension of its Albania monitoring agreement, raised $35 million via a registered direct offering, and sold its legacy NewSat-34 satellite to HEO (renamed Continuum-1).

Northland has initiated coverage of Satellogic, Inc. (NASDAQ: SATL) with an outperform recommendation and a price target set at $5.50. At the stocks quoted price of $2.87, the target equates to about a 92% upside, according to the research note. InvestingPro data referenced in public reporting shows the shares are up 53.48% year-to-date, despite a 10.87% decline over the most recent week.

The brokerage firm pointed to growing demand from sovereign governments for security-oriented imagery solutions as a key underpinning of its thesis. Northland emphasized that small satellites can deliver persistent coverage and quicker revisit times, capabilities that can supply data streams to artificial intelligence models used in threat detection. The analyst also highlighted Satellogics reported gross profit margin of 67.05% as a positive operational metric.

Northland expects that contracts with sovereign nations, together with more than $200 million in NextGen and AI-First capacity, will support the companys growth trajectory. The firm modeled revenue that would more than double year-over-year in both 2026 and 2027. The note also observed that emerging foundation models may speed data processing and shorten the time needed to derive insights from satellite imagery.

At the same time, third-party InvestingPro analysis cited in the coverage indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value and that analysts are not projecting the company to be profitable in the current year. Northland issued its rating and price target on Tuesday.


Alongside the initiation, recent corporate developments were also outlined in public reporting. Satellogic extended its satellite monitoring agreement with the Government of Albania for an additional 11 months. That extension continues provision of high-resolution imagery across the entire country and builds on a prior three-year agreement.

Separately, the company completed a registered direct offering that raised $35 million through the sale of approximately 7.4 million shares of Class A Common Stock to a single institutional investor. Titan Partners and Craig-Hallum served as co-placement agents on that transaction.

In a transaction involving in-orbit assets, Satellogic sold its legacy satellite NewSat-34 to Australian firm HEO. Renamed Continuum-1, that vehicle represents Australias first sovereign sub-meter imaging capability and is intended to bolster HEOs non-Earth imaging research and development efforts.

Taken together, the analyst initiation and the companys corporate actions underscore efforts to expand both commercial engagements with government customers and the companys financial resources. The public filings and third-party data cited point to a mix of operational strengths and valuation-related questions that investors may weigh going forward.

Risks

  • Valuation concerns: InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value, which could pressure returns for investors - relevant to equity markets and capital markets participants.
  • Near-term profitability: Analysts cited by InvestingPro do not expect the company to be profitable this year, posing execution and cash-flow risks for the business and for sectors exposed to space services financing.
  • Dependence on sovereign deals: Growth expectations are tied to government contracts and large-capacity NextGen and AI-First investments, creating concentration risk in government and defense-related procurement cycles.

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