Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

Needham Raises Harmonic Price Target; Broadband Strength Drives Optimism Amid Corporate Moves

Analyst uplift reflects accelerating broadband orders and major customer transitions, even as corporate divestiture proceeds through approvals

By Jordan Park HLIT
Needham Raises Harmonic Price Target; Broadband Strength Drives Optimism Amid Corporate Moves
HLIT

Needham has increased its price target on Harmonic Inc. shares and reaffirmed a Buy stance, citing stronger-than-expected performance in the company's Broadband unit, robust book-to-bill metrics and large customer transitions. The company is also proceeding with a sale of its Video business and participating in significant broadband upgrades for customers, while some versions of the coverage note a differing price-target figure.

Key Points

  • Needham increased its target on Harmonic to $17 from $15 and retained a Buy rating, citing robust performance in the Broadband segment and elevated book-to-bill metrics - impacts the telecom equipment and broadband services sectors.
  • Broadband unit beat revenue estimates by roughly 8% with a fourth-quarter book-to-bill ratio of 3.5x, while Comcast (53% of broadband revenue) and Charter (about 6% of Q4 revenue) drove customer activity - relevant to broadband connectivity and network upgrade markets.
  • Harmonic is divesting its Video business in a roughly $145 million cash deal with MediaKind and is actively engaged in Telia's broadband upgrade in Norway using its cOS virtualized platform - this affects corporate strategy and the telecom infrastructure market.

Overview

Needham raised its price target on Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ: HLIT) shares to $17 from $15 and kept a Buy rating on the stock. The shares are trading at $10.73, representing a 22% gain over the past six months and sitting near a 52-week high of $11.49.

Broadband results and customer dynamics

The firm's upgrade follows results from Harmonic's Broadband business that outpaced consensus revenue expectations by roughly 8% and marked a third straight quarter of growth. In the fourth quarter, the unit posted a book-to-bill ratio of 3.5 times, a metric that effectively more than doubled the reported backlog during the period.

Needham highlighted customer activity as a driver of momentum. Comcast's ongoing recovery and its shift toward D4U hardware accounted for 53% of Broadband revenues in the quarter. Charter contributed about 6% of fourth-quarter revenue but was identified as a significant source of new bookings tied to a multi-year contract expansion.

Management actions also drew attention. The company has been repurchasing shares aggressively, a point noted among InvestingPro subscriber tips referenced in coverage.

Guidance and expectations

Needham described management's fiscal 2026 guidance as conservatively framed and said the firm regards that guidance as readily beatable. The analyst house anticipates a pattern of quarterly beats and upward revisions through the year, supported specifically by RoM customers positioned to carry out D4 upgrades.

The updated estimates distributed with the coverage reflect continuing operations only, with Harmonic's video divestiture noted as on track to close in the second quarter.

Corporate restructuring and customer engagements

The company disclosed a separate transaction involving the sale of its Video business to MediaKind for approximately $145 million in cash. That deal is expected to close in the first half of 2026 and is described as consistent with Harmonic's stated strategy to focus on its core Broadband operations. The sale remains subject to a consultation process with a French employee works council and to required regulatory approvals.

Operationally, Harmonic is also engaged in a broadband upgrade for Telia in Norway, deploying its cOS virtualized broadband platform to enable higher speed connectivity and to enhance customer experience.

Noted inconsistency in published coverage

In addition to the $17 price-target raise cited earlier in the coverage, another portion of the same reporting reiterated a Buy rating and referenced a $15.00 price target. Both price-target figures appear in the material provided.

Market context

For investors and market participants, the combination of above-consensus Broadband revenue, elevated book-to-bill, major customer hardware transitions and active capital return via buybacks are the factors underlying Needham's constructive view. At the same time, the company’s corporate reorganization via the Video business sale and the pending approval processes are active elements to monitor.


Summary of key financials and corporate items

  • Price target raised to $17 from $15 by Needham; Buy rating maintained.
  • Shares trading at $10.73, up 22% over six months, near 52-week high $11.49.
  • Broadband revenue beat consensus by ~8%; fourth-quarter book-to-bill 3.5x.
  • Video business sale to MediaKind for ~ $145 million in cash; expected close first half 2026, subject to French works council consultation and regulatory approvals.

Risks

  • The Video business sale requires a French employee works council consultation and regulatory approvals before closing, introducing execution and timing risk - this affects M&A and corporate restructuring outcomes in the telecom sector.
  • Published coverage contained two different price-target figures ($17 and $15) for the same firm, reflecting inconsistent messaging in the materials provided - this creates potential confusion for investors tracking analyst guidance.
  • Management's fiscal 2026 guidance was described as conservative; while Needham expects it to be beaten, outcomes depend on execution of D4 upgrades by key customers and on backlog conversion - this impacts revenue realization in the broadband equipment market.

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