Analyst Ratings February 11, 2026

Needham Lifts Advanced Energy Target to $330 After Strong Q4 and Upbeat Guide

Analyst maintains Buy rating as company posts better-than-expected revenue and EPS and raises multi-year estimates

By Derek Hwang AEIS
Needham Lifts Advanced Energy Target to $330 After Strong Q4 and Upbeat Guide
AEIS

Needham raised its price target for Advanced Energy Industries to $330 from $290 and kept a Buy rating following a robust fourth quarter that beat guidance and consensus on both revenue and earnings. The company reported revenue of $489 million and EPS of $1.94 for Q4, outpacing forecasts, and provided guidance that points to continued strength in semiconductors and data center-related revenue growth.

Key Points

  • Needham raised its price target for Advanced Energy Industries to $330 from $290 and maintained a Buy rating - impacting equity markets and investor sentiment.
  • Advanced Energy reported Q4 revenue of $489 million and EPS of $1.94, both above consensus, with revenue up 18% year-over-year and a 38.02% gross margin - relevant for semiconductor and data center supply chains.
  • Company guidance points to a stronger near-term profile: Q1 midpoint revenue growth of 24% year-over-year versus a 16% consensus, and management expects high-teens total revenue growth in 2026 with DCC growing over 30% - influencing analyst models and capital markets expectations.

Overview

Needham has increased its 12-month price objective for Advanced Energy Industries to $330 from $290 while retaining a Buy recommendation. The adjustment follows a quarter in which the company outperformed expectations on the top and bottom lines and updated its near-term outlook. At the time of the latest pricing, the stock was trading at $279.04, roughly 1% below its 52-week high of $283.72. Over the trailing 12 months the stock has appreciated 151.28%.


Quarterly results and margins

Advanced Energy reported fourth-quarter revenue of $489 million, topping consensus estimates of $473.11 million. Earnings per share for the quarter were $1.94, above the forecast of $1.78 and at the upper end of management guidance. Year-over-year revenue increased 18% for the quarter, beating consensus growth expectations of 14% and exceeding the high end of the company’s guidance. Over the last twelve months, overall revenue growth was 17.19%, while gross profit margin measured 38.02%.


Segment performance and guidance

The semiconductor business was the primary driver of the quarter’s outperformance, with revenue for the segment rising 7.6% quarter-over-quarter, versus expectations for a modest decline. The Data Center segment performed in line with projections. For the first quarter, management guided to revenue growth of 24% year-over-year at the midpoint, above consensus estimates of 16%, noting continued strength in the semiconductor segment. Looking further ahead, company management projected total revenue growth in the high teens for 2026, with Data Center Computing (DCC) expected to grow at better than 30%.


Analyst model adjustments

In light of the stronger-than-expected quarter and the company’s guidance, Needham has raised its estimates for Advanced Energy’s 2026 and 2027 results materially. The firm’s revised price target reflects these higher model inputs and the updated growth outlook across key end markets.


Market reaction and context

Despite the positive earnings surprise, the stock experienced a slight decline in after-hours trading following the release of results. Investors and analysts are focusing on the company’s reported outperformance and the implications of management’s multi-year revenue targets as they reassess valuations and forward estimates.


Conclusion

Needham’s move to raise the price target to $330 while maintaining a Buy rating is anchored to Advanced Energy’s robust quarterly execution, above-consensus revenue and EPS, and a management outlook that anticipates continued semiconductor strength and rapid growth in Data Center Computing. The firm’s raised 2026 and 2027 estimates reflect these developments.

Risks

  • Despite the positive quarterly surprise, the stock fell slightly in after-hours trading, indicating potential near-term volatility in equity markets.
  • Advanced Energy’s outlook and valuation are tied to continued strength in the semiconductor and Data Center markets; any slowdown in these sectors could impact revenue and estimates.
  • Raised 2026 and 2027 estimates reflect current momentum; execution risks remain if company performance deviates from management guidance, affecting investor expectations and sector valuations.

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