Analyst Ratings February 10, 2026

Morgan Stanley Lifts Aramark Price Target to $45 as Top-Line Momentum Persists

Analyst hold rating retained after revenue beats and solid client retention; stock dips despite earnings upside

By Caleb Monroe ARMK
Morgan Stanley Lifts Aramark Price Target to $45 as Top-Line Momentum Persists
ARMK

Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Aramark Holdings to $45 from $44 while keeping an Equalweight rating, noting organic revenue growth that outpaced estimates and strong retention and new business wins. The firm highlighted strength in International and FSS US Business & Industry segments, and recent fiscal Q1 2026 results topped expectations. Despite the operational beats, Aramark's shares fell in pre-market trading, underscoring mixed investor reaction.

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Aramark to $45 while keeping an Equalweight rating - impacts investor valuation expectations for the stock and the broader food service sector.
  • Aramark reported 5.0% organic revenue growth and 6.35% revenue growth over the last twelve months, producing $18.5 billion in total revenue - underscores top-line momentum particularly in International and FSS US Business & Industry segments.
  • Fiscal Q1 2026 results beat expectations with adjusted EPS of $0.51 (vs $0.50 forecast) and revenue of $4.83 billion (vs $4.74 billion forecast) - yet shares fell 2.45% pre-market, showing mixed market reception.

Morgan Stanley has increased its price target on Aramark Holdings (NYSE: ARMK) to $45.00 from $44.00, while maintaining an Equalweight rating on the stock. The revised target is close to InvestingPro's Fair Value assessment and implies the company could be modestly undervalued relative to its then-current market price of $40.96.

The bank's adjustment follows Aramark's reported 5.0% organic revenue growth, a rate Morgan Stanley says exceeded expectations. That result continues a broader top-line expansion for the food service company, which recorded 6.35% revenue growth over the past twelve months and produced $18.5 billion in total revenue during that span.

Morgan Stanley pointed to segment-level strength as the primary driver of the outperformance. The firm specifically cited continued momentum in Aramark's International operations and in its FSS US Business & Industry segment, noting these areas led the revenue upside.

Beyond revenue, the bank highlighted key performance indicators that it views as constructive for Aramark's business model. High retention rates among existing clients and an acceleration in new business wins were singled out as positive operational signals supporting the firms view.

Separately, Aramark reported fiscal first-quarter 2026 results that beat analysts' expectations. The company delivered adjusted earnings per share of $0.51 versus a consensus forecast of $0.50, and generated $4.83 billion in revenue compared with the projected $4.74 billion. Those outcomes point to a quarter that was stronger than anticipated on both the top and bottom lines.

Despite the earnings and revenue beats, Aramark's stock traded lower in pre-market action, slipping 2.45%. That decline suggests investor response to the quarter and related announcements was mixed, even as operational metrics and analyst targets were nudged higher.

Taken together, the analyst update and the quarterly report present a picture of a company with improving revenue dynamics and solid client metrics, while market reactions reflect lingering uncertainty about the near-term outlook.


Summary

Morgan Stanley raised Aramark's price target to $45 from $44 and kept an Equalweight rating after the company posted organic revenue growth of 5.0% and highlighted strong client retention and accelerating new business. Fiscal Q1 2026 results beat expectations on both adjusted EPS and revenue, yet the stock fell 2.45% in pre-market trading, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Risks

  • Investor sentiment can be volatile even when results beat estimates - evidenced by a 2.45% pre-market decline despite earnings and revenue beats; this affects equity market performance for the stock and comparable food service names.
  • Future performance depends on continued strength in International and FSS US Business & Industry segments as well as sustained high client retention and new business wins - weakness in these areas could pressure revenue growth and margins, impacting the food service sector.
  • The close alignment between the new price target and InvestingPro's Fair Value assessment suggests limited upside from current valuations; limited valuation cushion can increase downside risk if operating momentum slows.

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