Analyst Ratings February 11, 2026

Morgan Stanley boosts Micron price target to $450, citing sustained DRAM tightness

Bank keeps Overweight rating as DDR5 spot and contract pricing drive stronger revenue trajectory for Micron

By Jordan Park MU
Morgan Stanley boosts Micron price target to $450, citing sustained DRAM tightness
MU

Morgan Stanley raised its price target for Micron Technology to $450 from $350 while keeping an Overweight rating, citing accelerating DDR5 spot prices, widening contract-price differentials and persistent DRAM supply shortages. The bank highlighted sizable year-to-date DDR5 spot gains and robust trailing revenue growth for Micron, and expectations that pricing strength could continue through 2026 as supply growth remains constrained.

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Micron to $450 from $350 and retained an Overweight rating; this target is above Micron's trading price of $373.25.
  • DDR5 spot prices are up about 30% year-to-date and sit roughly 130% above January contract prices, while contract prices have risen about 86% since December - trends that have supported Micron's 45.43% year-over-year revenue growth to $42.31 billion over the last twelve months.
  • Several other firms have also increased Micron targets - Deutsche Bank ($500), UBS ($450), Mizuho ($480) and HSBC ($500) - and Micron is preparing a NAND-focused capacity investment in Singapore; these developments affect the semiconductor and memory sectors and related hardware markets.

Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) to $450.00 from $350.00 on Wednesday and maintained an Overweight recommendation on the memory-chip maker's shares. The new target exceeds Micron's most recently reported trading price of $373.25 and sits alongside a generally bullish analyst consensus, which the article notes averages 1.56 on a scale where that reading corresponds to a Strong Buy.

The investment bank pointed to a combination of rising DDR5 spot prices and ongoing supply shortages as central to its more optimistic outlook. Morgan Stanley observed that DDR5 spot pricing has climbed roughly 30% year-to-date and now stands about 130% above January contract prices, a dynamic that it said has materially supported Micron's recent financial performance.

Those pricing trends coincided with substantial top-line growth for Micron. The company posted revenue of $42.31 billion over the last twelve months, representing a 45.43% increase versus the prior comparable period, a figure the bank referenced in framing its forecast.

Morgan Stanley also noted that mainstream DRAM contract pricing could still expand materially - potentially doubling again - while remaining more than 10% below current spot levels, which continue to move higher. Contract prices have already climbed about 86% since December, the firm said, and it signaled confidence that mainstream prices may reach "high teens ASP per GB" levels as buyers who deferred purchases begin paying near those rates.

Looking ahead, Morgan Stanley expects the severe DRAM shortage to persist. The bank projects that supply growth in 2026 will be insufficient to ease market tightness, a condition that could keep upward pressure on prices through the year.


Analyst activity and competitor targets

Micron has attracted a series of upward revisions from other brokerages in recent weeks, reflecting what those firms describe as strengthening supply-and-demand dynamics in memory markets. The article lists price-target moves that include Deutsche Bank to $500, UBS to $450, Mizuho to $480 and HSBC to $500; each firm flagged faster DRAM rallies, improving pricing dynamics across DRAM and NAND, or broad pricing tailwinds in legacy memory segments as reasons for their adjustments.

Separately, Micron is preparing to announce a new investment in manufacturing capacity in Singapore, with a focus on NAND flash memory production. That planned capacity addition was cited alongside the analyst moves as part of the backdrop supporting a more positive outlook for the company.


Bottom line

Morgan Stanley's target increase reflects a view that accelerating DDR5 spot pricing, widening contract-price gains and constrained supply will continue to favor Micron's revenue and margin trajectory. Multiple peer analysts have adjusted their own targets higher, and the company is advancing capacity investments in NAND, all of which the bank and other firms say support a constructive near- to mid-term outlook for Micron.

Risks

  • Ongoing DRAM supply shortages create uncertainty around future pricing trajectories and could lead to continued volatility in memory markets, affecting both semiconductor firms and their customers.
  • If 2026 supply growth is greater than projected, the expected price strength could weaken, introducing downside risk to revenue and margin assumptions for memory suppliers and affecting equipment suppliers and OEMs.
  • Heavy reliance on elevated spot prices and contract gains leaves memory companies exposed to abrupt shifts in buyer inventory decisions or demand patterns, which could impact enterprise and consumer electronics markets.

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