Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

Mizuho Lifts A10 Networks Price Target to $23, Cites Growth Targets but Keeps Neutral Call

Analyst highlights management's revenue goals and AI security opportunity while flagging execution and timing risks

By Derek Hwang ATEN
Mizuho Lifts A10 Networks Price Target to $23, Cites Growth Targets but Keeps Neutral Call
ATEN

Mizuho raised its 12-month price objective on A10 Networks (ATEN) to $23 from $22 while holding a Neutral rating. The firm attended the company's investor day, where management outlined an advanced networking and cybersecurity platform and set an ambition for revenue growth exceeding 12% on a compound annual basis from 2027 to 2028. A10 reported 11% revenue growth over the past twelve months, posted robust 79% gross profit margins and beat Q4 2025 expectations on both EPS and revenue. Despite these positives, Mizuho expressed reservations about the sustainability of higher growth rates and the time it may take for AI-related initiatives to materially affect the company’s financial profile.

Key Points

  • Mizuho raised its price target on A10 Networks to $23 from $22 on Thursday while retaining a Neutral rating - relevant to investors in enterprise networking and cybersecurity.
  • Management outlined an advanced networking and cybersecurity platform and is targeting revenue CAGR of more than 12% from 2027 to 2028, with recent momentum showing 11% revenue growth over the last twelve months and 79% gross profit margins - important for technology and AI infrastructure markets.
  • A10 beat Q4 2025 estimates with EPS of $0.26 versus $0.24 expected and revenue of $80.4 million versus $77.3 million forecast, and three analysts have recently raised earnings estimates according to InvestingPro Tips.

Overview

Mizuho raised its price target on A10 Networks shares (NYSE:ATEN) to $23 from $22 on Thursday and retained a Neutral rating. The bank noted the targets management presented at the company's recent investor day as a basis for the modest increase in the target, but it did not move to a more bullish stance.

Investor day takeaways

Representatives from Mizuho attended A10 Networks' investor day on Wednesday, where management described its advanced networking and cybersecurity platform and outlined forward-looking revenue ambitions. Company management is targeting a compound annual revenue growth rate of more than 12% from 2027 to 2028 - a pace Mizuho said sits ahead of consensus expectations.

Recent operating performance

A10 has shown recent momentum, delivering 11% revenue growth over the last twelve months and maintaining gross profit margins of 79%. The company’s fourth-quarter 2025 results also beat Wall Street estimates: reported earnings per share were $0.26 versus an expected $0.24, an 8.33% surprise, while revenue came in at $80.4 million versus forecasts of $77.3 million.

Analyst and research signals

InvestingPro analysis indicates the shares trade at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.47, and suggests the stock remains undervalued relative to its Fair Value. According to InvestingPro Tips, three analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period. A broader Pro Research Report is available covering ATEN and more than 1,400 other U.S. equities.

Mizuho’s outlook and concerns

While Mizuho acknowledged tailwinds for A10 Networks - including growing demand to secure critical AI services and infrastructure - the firm expressed caution about the sustainability of the higher growth trajectory. Mizuho flagged skepticism around the company’s ability to execute consistently despite recent improvements, and warned that it could take time before AI-related initiatives materially affect the company's financial model.

Market reaction and analyst activity

The combination of management's growth targets and the quarterly beat contributed to positive investor sentiment. The reporting noted that there have been no recent analyst upgrades or downgrades for A10 Networks. These items are part of the company’s ongoing financial updates and the market’s assessment of its progress toward the goals discussed at investor day.


Bottom line

Mizuho’s modest price-target increase reflects the company’s own growth objectives communicated at investor day, while the bank’s Neutral rating underscores lingering doubts about execution and the timeline for material financial benefit from AI-related initiatives. Recent quarterly results and elevated gross margins provide supporting evidence of operational strength, but questions about durability of higher growth and execution remain.

Risks

  • Sustainability risk - Mizuho questioned whether A10 Networks can maintain higher growth rates beyond the targets presented, affecting expectations for the technology and networking sectors.
  • Execution risk - The firm expressed skepticism about the company’s ability to execute on its strategy despite recent improvements, which could influence investor confidence in enterprise cybersecurity providers.
  • Timing risk for AI impact - Mizuho warned that AI-related initiatives may take time to materially change A10’s financial model, creating uncertainty around the speed of benefits to revenue and margins in AI infrastructure security.

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