Analyst Ratings February 9, 2026

Ladenburg Thalmann Lifts RMR Group Target to $18.50 After Q1 Beat, Revenue Shortfall Persists

Analyst maintains Buy as mixed results — stronger EPS, lower AUM and revenue miss — drive investor interest

By Avery Klein RMR
Ladenburg Thalmann Lifts RMR Group Target to $18.50 After Q1 Beat, Revenue Shortfall Persists
RMR

Ladenburg Thalmann raised its price objective on The RMR Group Inc. to $18.50 from $17.00 while keeping a Buy rating after the company reported fiscal first-quarter 2026 results. RMR posted stronger GAAP earnings per share and distributable EPS versus the prior quarter, sustained a high dividend yield, and showed improved returns on equity, even as assets under management and revenue declined.

Key Points

  • Ladenburg Thalmann raised RMR’s target to $18.50 from $17.00 and kept a Buy rating; consensus implies about 16% upside.
  • Fiscal Q1 2026 results showed GAAP EPS of $0.71 and distributable EPS of $0.47, while adjusted EPS of $0.20 beat estimates but declined from the prior quarter.
  • AUM declined 5% to $37.2 billion and revenue missed expectations, while dividend was maintained at $0.45 yielding 10.2% and return metrics improved.

Ladenburg Thalmann on Monday increased its price target for The RMR Group Inc. (NASDAQ:RMR) to $18.50 from $17.00 and retained a Buy recommendation. The new target is consistent with analyst consensus tracked by InvestingPro, which implies roughly 16% upside from prevailing share levels. The stock was trading near $17.60 and has gained more than 15% over the past week.

The price-target revision follows RMR’s fiscal first-quarter 2026 earnings for the period ended December 31, 2025. On a GAAP basis the company reported earnings per share of $0.71, up from $0.19 in the prior quarter. Distributable earnings per share increased to $0.47 from $0.44 quarter-over-quarter. RMR’s current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 12.3, while its PEG ratio is reported at 0.32, metrics that InvestingPro characterizes as low relative to near-term earnings growth.

On an adjusted basis, RMR recorded EPS of $0.20, a decline from $0.28 in the previous quarter, but this adjusted result exceeded Ladenburg Thalmann’s $0.19 estimate. The company held its quarterly cash dividend at $0.45 per share, a distribution that equates to a 10.2% yield. InvestingPro additionally notes that RMR has increased its dividend for three consecutive years.


Balance sheet and capital metrics

Assets under management contracted 5% quarter-over-quarter to $37.2 billion from $39.0 billion, primarily reflecting asset sales at Service Properties Trust and deleveraging at Diversified Healthcare Trust. AUM for private funds and perpetual vehicles fell 4% as RMR continues to reduce its position in AlerisLife. Despite the reduction in AUM, the company reportedly retains ample liquidity, with liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations and a moderate overall debt profile.

Ladenburg Thalmann’s estimates show a material improvement in return on equity, placing RMR’s return on total equity at 11.4% in fiscal first-quarter 2026 versus 4.4% in the prior quarter. Return on invested capital over the last twelve months is noted at 11%. InvestingPro assigns RMR a "GOOD" overall financial health score and references 14 additional ProTips and expanded analysis in its Research Report.


Quarterly operating results

Beyond the GAAP and distributable EPS figures, RMR’s headline adjusted EPS of $0.20 came in ahead of an expected $0.18, representing an 11.11% positive surprise. Revenue, however, arrived at $180.42 million, missing the $214.1 million projection by 15.73%. The combination of an earnings beat and a revenue shortfall produced a favorable market reaction, with shares rising following the earnings release.

The divergent results — an EPS beat alongside a notable revenue shortfall and a decrease in AUM — frame the near-term picture for investors and analysts. Market participants have responded positively in the short run, but key metrics such as managed assets and top-line performance will remain focal points for ongoing coverage and strategy assessment.


Implications for markets and investors

  • Equity investors are reacting to the combination of improved per-share earnings and a high dividend yield.
  • Real estate investment trust and asset-management metrics, including AUM and distributable earnings, are central to valuation and capital-allocation decisions.
  • Fixed-income and dividend-seeking investors will note the 10.2% yield and the company’s dividend track record.

Risks

  • Declining assets under management - AUM fell 5% quarter-over-quarter to $37.2 billion, driven by asset sales and deleveraging, which could pressure management fees and revenue.
  • Revenue shortfall - Quarterly revenue of $180.42 million missed the $214.1 million estimate by 15.73%, indicating top-line volatility.
  • Ongoing portfolio wind-down - Continued reductions in private funds and perpetual vehicles, including the AlerisLife position, may further reduce AUM and related income.

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