Analyst Ratings February 10, 2026

KeyBanc Lifts Curbline Properties Price Target to $28 After Strong Q4 Results

Analyst upgrade follows better-than-expected quarterly performance, robust balance sheet metrics and optimistic OFFO guidance

By Derek Hwang CURB
KeyBanc Lifts Curbline Properties Price Target to $28 After Strong Q4 Results
CURB

KeyBanc increased its price target for Curbline Properties Corp (NYSE: CURB) to $28.00 from $27.00 while keeping an Overweight rating, citing quarterly results that beat expectations, solid portfolio fundamentals and a balance sheet with more cash than debt. The raise reflects modest upside from current trading levels and comes amid divergent views from other brokerages and elevated valuation multiples.

Key Points

  • KeyBanc raised its price target on Curbline Properties to $28.00 from $27.00 and kept an Overweight rating; the target implies about 9% upside from a $25.66 share price.
  • Curbline reported $182.89 million in revenue for the trailing twelve months and a diluted EPS of $0.37; fourth-quarter 2025 results included a 16% sequential and 60% year-over-year increase in net operating income, EPS of $0.09 and revenue of $54.15 million.
  • The company shows a strong balance sheet with a current ratio of 15.98, Altman Z-Score of 3.43 and more cash than debt; OFFO guidance for FY2026 exceeded consensus at the midpoint by 2.6%, with the low end $0.01 above consensus.

Analyst action

KeyBanc on Tuesday raised its price objective for Curbline Properties Corp to $28.00 from $27.00 and retained an Overweight rating on the convenience-center focused REIT. The new target implies roughly 9% upside from the stock's then-current quote of $25.66, with shares trading close to their 52-week high of $26.01.


Quarterly performance and earnings backdrop

KeyBanc's target bump followed fourth-quarter results that the firm says outperformed expectations. For the most recent trailing twelve months, Curbline reported revenue of $182.89 million. InvestingPro data cited by analysts shows the company produced a diluted EPS of $0.37 over the past year.

Company-provided guidance for fiscal year 2026 Operating Funds From Operations - OFFO - also exceeded consensus at the midpoint by 2.6%. KeyBanc flagged that the low end of the guidance range sits $0.01 per share above consensus, an observation the bank interprets as likely to prompt upward revisions from the analyst community. Separate InvestingPro notes referenced in coverage indicate that net income is expected to rise this year and that analysts are forecasting substantial sales expansion - specifically a projected 47% increase for FY2026.


Balance sheet strength and portfolio fundamentals

KeyBanc underscored what it characterizes as robust fundamentals across Curbline's convenience-center portfolio, pointing to consistent acquisition activity and a strong balance sheet. The bank highlighted a current ratio of 15.98 and an Altman Z-Score of 3.43 as evidence of financial resilience. Coverage materials also note that the REIT holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, a position described as uncommon within the sector.


Valuation metrics and market positioning

Despite these positives, KeyBanc acknowledged valuation premiums. Curbline shares trade at a reported 11.8% premium to net asset value - in contrast to an average 9% discount observed for Shopping Center REITs. The stock carries elevated multiples, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 66.67 and an EV/EBITDA of 29.1. Yet the reported PEG ratio of 0.13 was noted as suggesting the stock could be inexpensive relative to its projected growth.


Other analyst perspectives and tenant concentration

Market coverage of Curbline includes differing analyst views. Stifel increased its price target for the company to $27, citing the diversity of its tenant roster as a positive attribute. Morgan Stanley reiterated an Underweight rating while maintaining a $29 price objective. The company disclosed a tenant mix led by Starbucks, which accounts for 2.6% of annual base rent, followed by Verizon, Inspire Brands, JAB Holding, Chipotle and Somnigroup.


Company quarter snapshot

Curbline's reported fourth-quarter 2025 results showed a sequential net operating income increase of 16% and a year-over-year rise of 60%, with earnings per share of $0.09 and quarterly revenue of $54.15 million. These results were presented as strong indicators of the REIT's recent performance.


What this means for investors

KeyBanc's action reflects confidence in the company's recent operating results, its cash-rich balance sheet and initial FY2026 guidance that exceeded consensus at the midpoint. At the same time, the firm and other analysts point to premium valuation metrics and differing brokerage views, which contribute to a mixed market narrative around Curbline's near-term attractiveness.

Investors evaluating Curbline will weigh the company's healthy liquidity and reported growth in operating income against its elevated multiples and premium trading relative to peer NAVs. The range of analyst views - from KeyBanc's Overweight and Stifel's higher target to Morgan Stanley's maintained Underweight - underscores that market assessments vary even as the company posts strong quarterly results.

Risks

  • Valuation premium - Curbline trades at an 11.8% premium to NAV versus an average 9% discount for Shopping Center REITs, and exhibits high multiples (P/E 66.67, EV/EBITDA 29.1), which could increase sensitivity to market re-rating - affects REIT investors and the real estate sector.
  • Divergent analyst opinions - while KeyBanc and Stifel issued bullish targets, Morgan Stanley maintains an Underweight stance, indicating differing assessments that create uncertainty for market expectations - impacts investor sentiment in financial and REIT markets.
  • High valuation metrics - elevated P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios may make the stock more vulnerable if growth expectations are not met, introducing risk to equity valuation in the shopping center and broader real estate investment trust sector.

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