H.C. Wainwright has lowered its 12-month price target for Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ:BTDR) to $25.00 from $30.00 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. The stock is currently trading near $10.52, well under the revised target, and sits below the consensus analyst range of $14 to $40, according to InvestingPro data.
The research note highlights Bitdeer’s rapid scale-up over the last year. The firm reports that Bitdeer expanded its total mining capacity 6.5 times in 2025, reaching 55 EH/s by year-end, and added another 8 EH/s in January alone. H.C. Wainwright now pegs Bitdeer’s total self-mining capacity at more than 63 EH/s with an average fleet efficiency of 17.5 J/TH. The analyst emphasized the company’s demonstrated ability to deploy data center infrastructure quickly even while Bitcoin prices have softened.
Among strategic strengths cited by H.C. Wainwright is Bitdeer’s vertical integration in chip production. The firm noted Bitdeer manufactures its own ASICs and is one of the few public miners that has continued to scale operations during the current market downturn. That manufacturing capability is presented as a competitive advantage supporting continued capacity growth.
Despite the operational expansion, InvestingPro data referenced in the research note points to financial headwinds. Analysts expect roughly 71% revenue growth for Bitdeer this fiscal year, yet the company’s overall financial health is assessed as weak. Reported metrics include slim gross profit margins of 11.95% and negative free cash flow, both of which are presented as sources of investor concern.
H.C. Wainwright also highlighted management commentary on potential non-mining uses of Bitdeer’s infrastructure. Specifically, the firm noted management is optimistic about prospects for AI colocation agreements at the company’s 225 MW site in Tydal, Norway, where lease talks with prospective tenants are described as being in advanced stages.
The note discussed market volatility around the stock, reporting a beta of 2.33 and a recent one-week return of 8.95%. These measures underscore the share price’s sensitivity to market swings and sentiment shifts.
Financial results released by Bitdeer for the fourth quarter of 2025 were also summarized in the analyst coverage. The company posted total revenue of 225 million USD for the quarter, ahead of the analyst projection of 207.02 million USD. While revenue exceeded expectations, the report highlighted continuing concerns over declining gross margins and rising costs, factors that may be influencing investor sentiment despite the top-line beat.
Taken together, H.C. Wainwright’s note frames Bitdeer as an operationally fast-growing miner with strategic advantages in ASIC production and potential facility diversification into AI workloads, while also flagging persistent margin pressure and cash-flow weakness. Investors and analysts remain attentive to how the company converts capacity growth into durable profitability.