Analyst Ratings February 19, 2026

Guggenheim Lifts NewAmsterdam Pharma Target as EU Launch Timeline for Obicetrapib Moves Forward

Analyst upgrade reflects earlier expected European commercialization and continued confidence in late-stage cardiovascular trials

By Jordan Park NAMS
Guggenheim Lifts NewAmsterdam Pharma Target as EU Launch Timeline for Obicetrapib Moves Forward
NAMS

Guggenheim increased its price target on NewAmsterdam Pharma to $45 from $41 and kept a Buy rating after moving up its estimate for an EU launch of obicetrapib to 2027 from 2029. The firm cited faster regulatory timing and ongoing progress in the PREVAIL outcomes trial, while broader analyst sentiment remains bullish and regulatory milestones for 2026 could shape the drug’s market opportunity.

Key Points

  • Guggenheim raised its price target on NewAmsterdam Pharma to $45 from $41 and retained a Buy rating, citing an earlier EU launch for obicetrapib.
  • The firm now expects an EU commercial launch in 2027 versus a prior 2029 estimate; broader analyst targets range from $37.58 to $59.75.
  • Upcoming catalysts include a mid-2026 PREVAIL update, topline PREVAIL data expected by early 2027, regulatory decisions and potential approvals in the second half of 2026, and RUBENS trial data in 2026.

Guggenheim raised its price objective on NewAmsterdam Pharma Co NV (NASDAQ:NAMS) to $45 from $41 on Wednesday and reaffirmed a Buy rating, citing an accelerated timetable for the company’s cholesterol agent obicetrapib in the European Union. At the time of the note, NAMS shares were trading at $35.76, reflecting a market capitalization of $4.11 billion.

The research house specifically moved its EU launch expectation forward to 2027 from an earlier projection of 2029, and folded that timing into the new target. Guggenheim’s outlook sits alongside a broader analyst consensus that the stock is viewed positively by many on the Street; published price targets among analysts run from $37.58 to $59.75.

Despite the bullish positioning, third-party data from InvestingPro indicates the shares still trade above the platform’s Fair Value estimate, suggesting the stock may be currently overvalued relative to that proprietary benchmark.


Clinical and regulatory cadence

Company management has signaled confidence in the progress of PREVAIL, the Phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial for obicetrapib, and has guided to an investor update by mid-2026. Management’s timing is driven by continued adjudication of events through at least two years of follow-up. Guggenheim, for its part, anticipates topline PREVAIL data by early 2027.

Investors will have an intermediate data point before then: NewAmsterdam is due to report quarterly results on March 4, roughly 13 days from now, and that earnings release may include more detail on trial progress.

On the regulatory front, the marketing authorization application for obicetrapib and the combination obicetrapib plus ezetimibe, filed by commercial partner Menarini, is reported to be on track for broad approvals across EU jurisdictions and the United Kingdom beginning in the second half of 2026. Additionally, results from the Phase 3 RUBENS study in patients with elevated LDL-C and either Type 2 diabetes or metabolic syndrome are expected in 2026.


Competitive context and analyst reactions

Guggenheim noted that the outcome of Novartis and Ionis’ Lp(a) HORIZON cardiovascular trial, expected in the second half of 2026, could represent an important inflection for obicetrapib because of its lipid-lowering characteristics. The firm described that event as a potential untethering moment for obicetrapib, given how the competitive landscape may shift based on HORIZON’s results.

Separately, Leerink Partners raised its price target on NewAmsterdam to $55 from $45 and maintained an Outperform rating. Leerink characterized obicetrapib as a differentiated cardiovascular platform with late-stage programs that, in the firm’s view, are not fully recognized by the market.

Taken together, the analyst moves, regulatory filings, and trial timelines supply a roadmap of clinical and commercial catalysts for NewAmsterdam over the next 12 to 24 months.


Implications for investors

The revised Guggenheim target and other analyst adjustments underscore how regulatory timing and late-stage outcomes are key value drivers for NewAmsterdam. Market participants will likely monitor upcoming trial readouts, the March 4 earnings update, and regulatory decisions in the second half of 2026 for signals that could confirm or challenge current analyst assumptions.

Risks

  • Regulatory timing and approvals could deviate from current expectations, affecting commercialization in the EU and the UK - impacts healthcare and pharmaceutical markets.
  • Clinical trial readouts, including PREVAIL and RUBENS, may not yield the anticipated outcomes or could be delayed, influencing investor sentiment in biotech and cardiovascular therapeutics.
  • Broader competitive developments such as the Novartis and Ionis Lp(a) HORIZON trial outcomes in the second half of 2026 could materially alter obicetrapib’s market positioning - relevant to cardiovascular drug markets.

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