Analyst Ratings February 9, 2026

Guggenheim Lifts Biogen Price Target to $246, Cites Pipeline Readouts as Next Growth Catalyst

Analysts broadly raise targets after Biogen posts Q4 2025 results that beat revenue estimates despite year-over-year declines

By Priya Menon BIIB
Guggenheim Lifts Biogen Price Target to $246, Cites Pipeline Readouts as Next Growth Catalyst
BIIB

Guggenheim raised its price target for Biogen to $246 from $185 and kept a Buy rating after the company reported fourth-quarter 2025 results. Biogen beat consensus revenue estimates, driven by resilience in its multiple sclerosis franchise, even as quarterly earnings and revenue fell year-over-year and sequentially. Management gave guidance for fiscal 2026 that anticipates mid-single-digit revenue declines and non-GAAP EPS of $15.25 to $16.25. Several other firms also raised targets, pointing to the company’s pipeline and growth opportunities from newer assets.

Key Points

  • Guggenheim raised Biogen’s price target to $246 and retained a Buy rating after the Q4 2025 report.
  • Q4 non-GAAP EPS was $1.99 (down 59% q/q and 42% y/y) and revenue was about $2.28 billion (down 10% q/q and 7% y/y), but revenue beat estimates by roughly 4%.
  • Fiscal 2026 guidance calls for non-GAAP EPS of $15.25-16.25 and mid-single-digit revenue declines versus FY2025; pipeline readouts over the next 18 months are expected to be key growth catalysts.

Overview

Guggenheim has raised its price objective on Biogen Inc. (NASDAQ:BIIB) to $246.00 from $185.00 while maintaining a Buy rating, following the company’s fourth-quarter 2025 financial update. The move comes as Biogen traded near its 52-week high of $202.41, with recent price performance showing a 12.33% gain over the past week and a 53.96% rise across the last six months. InvestingPro analysis cited in company data indicates Biogen appears undervalued on a Fair Value basis.


Fourth-quarter results

For the fourth quarter of 2025, Biogen reported non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.99. That figure represents a 59% decline quarter-over-quarter and a 42% decline year-over-year. Revenue for the period was approximately $2.28 billion, down 10% sequentially and down 7% compared with the same quarter a year earlier. Despite these declines, Biogen remains profitable for the trailing twelve months, reporting diluted EPS of $8.79 and sustaining a gross profit margin of 78.95%.

The company’s revenue performance modestly outpaced analyst expectations. Consensus estimates stood at about $2.2 billion, and Biogen’s reported top line exceeded that by roughly 4%. The beat was attributed largely to continued resilience within the multiple sclerosis franchise, with particularly strong demand for Vumerity helping to offset ongoing erosion in legacy MS products.


Outlook for fiscal 2026 and pipeline focus

Biogen has provided guidance for fiscal 2026 that includes non-GAAP EPS in the range of $15.25 to $16.25. The company expects revenue to decrease by a mid-single-digit percentage versus fiscal 2025, reflecting anticipated further declines in MS product revenue that management says should be partially offset by growth from newer products.

Guggenheim emphasized that investor attention is likely to shift toward Biogen’s development pipeline as a primary driver of future upside. The firm highlighted that multiple registrational readouts are expected over the next 18 months, including Phase III studies of litifilimab in lupus and proof-of-concept results from several other candidates. Guggenheim characterized this sequence of potential milestones as creating the chance for "a durable, growth-led inflection beyond 2026."


Analyst reactions and peer target moves

Following the company’s earnings report, several other brokerages adjusted their targets and ratings. Canaccord Genuity raised its price target to $230 while retaining a Buy rating. H.C. Wainwright increased its target to $228, citing diversification of the pipeline and anticipated growth from assets such as Skyclarys, Zurzuvae, and Leqembi. Baird reiterated an Outperform rating with a $250 price target. Oppenheimer also raised its target to $250 and maintained an Outperform rating, noting a favorable long-term growth outlook.


Market context and implications

The juxtaposition of near-term revenue and earnings declines with expanding analyst price targets underscores the market’s focus on future pipeline-driven growth potential. Biogen’s fourth-quarter results show ongoing pressure in legacy revenue streams, while management and external analysts point to newer assets and pending clinical readouts as the likely catalysts for a subsequent revenue inflection.


Key takeaways

  • Guggenheim raised its Biogen price target to $246 and kept a Buy rating after Q4 2025 results.
  • Q4 non-GAAP EPS was $1.99, down 59% sequentially and 42% year-over-year, with revenue of about $2.28 billion, down 10% quarter-over-quarter and 7% year-over-year.
  • Biogen expects fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $15.25-16.25 and anticipates mid-single-digit revenue declines versus FY2025, with pipeline readouts over the next 18 months seen as potential drivers of growth beyond 2026.

Analysis limitations and closing note

The company’s recent performance presents a mixed near-term picture: reported earnings and revenues declined on both a sequential and year-over-year basis, yet revenues beat estimates and several analysts raised price targets based on expected pipeline progress and growth from newer products. The extent to which upcoming registrational and proof-of-concept readouts translate into sustained revenue growth remains contingent on the outcomes of those clinical programs.

Risks

  • Near-term declines in multiple sclerosis product revenue could weigh on overall top-line performance - this impacts the healthcare and pharmaceutical sectors.
  • Clinical trial readouts slated over the next 18 months carry binary outcomes; unfavorable results would undermine the anticipated pipeline-driven inflection - this affects Biogen’s market valuation and biotech investor sentiment.
  • Guidance expects mid-single-digit revenue declines in fiscal 2026, indicating potential downside to sales if growth products do not offset legacy erosion - this has implications for revenue-sensitive sectors such as biopharma equities.

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