Analyst Ratings February 11, 2026

Goldman Sachs Lifts Duke Energy Price Target to $142, Cites Expanded Capital Plan and Rate-Base Growth

Bank keeps Buy rating as management reiterates multi-year EPS guidance aided by data center demand and regulatory investment opportunities

By Derek Hwang DUK
Goldman Sachs Lifts Duke Energy Price Target to $142, Cites Expanded Capital Plan and Rate-Base Growth
DUK

Goldman Sachs increased its price target on Duke Energy to $142 from $141 while retaining a Buy recommendation. The firm highlighted a sizable expansion in Duke’s capital plan and stronger rate-base growth expectations through 2030, and projects average earnings growth of roughly 8% through that period. Recent quarterly results modestly beat forecasts and other brokers maintained positive ratings amid updated capital plans.

Key Points

  • Goldman Sachs raised Duke Energy's price target to $142 from $141 and maintained a Buy rating; shares trade at $123.47 with a P/E of 19.29 and a 3.45% dividend yield.
  • Duke's capital plan increased to $103 billion from $87 billion, with expected rate-base growth of 9.6% through 2030; management projects 5-7% EPS growth through 2030 and aims for the top half of that range from 2028 driven by data center load growth.
  • Recent Q4 2025 results slightly beat expectations (EPS $1.50 vs $1.49; revenue $7.94 billion vs $7.57 billion), and other brokers like BTIG and Mizuho maintained positive stances amid updated targets.

Goldman Sachs has raised its price target for Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK) to $142.00 from $141.00 and kept a Buy rating on the utility's shares. The stock is trading at $123.47, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.29 and a dividend yield of 3.45%. Data indicate the company appears overvalued relative to its Fair Value estimate.

The investment bank pointed to a meaningful increase in Duke Energy's capital plan, which was revised up to $103 billion from the prior figure of $87 billion. Alongside that revision, Goldman Sachs updated its expectations for rate-base growth to 9.6% through 2030.

Duke's management has laid out guidance for earnings per share growth of 5% to 7% through 2030. Management also expects to reach the upper half of that range beginning in 2028, a projection that it attributes in part to data center load growth.

Goldman Sachs observed that the large upward revision to the company's rate base did not translate into stronger corporate earnings guidance. Nevertheless, the firm described Duke's guidance as conservative and pointed to solid investment opportunities across the utility's service territory, especially in jurisdictions the bank views as regulatorily attractive.

Based on its assessment, Goldman Sachs expects Duke Energy to generate roughly 8% average earnings growth through 2030. The bank also noted that substantial load growth could provide upside risk to that forecast. In addition, Goldman Sachs flagged the resolution of the North Carolina rate case as a potential catalyst that could prompt more constructive commentary on the company's earnings outlook.

In recent company results, Duke Energy reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings that slightly exceeded analyst expectations. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.50 versus consensus estimates of $1.49, and reported revenue of $7.94 billion compared with projected revenue of $7.57 billion.

Following those results, other brokerages maintained positive stances on the stock. BTIG reiterated a Buy rating and kept its price target at $141.00, citing Duke's consistent performance against its targets. Mizuho held an Outperform rating but modestly trimmed its price target to $130.00 from $131.00 after adjustments to the capital plan.

Company guidance continues to emphasize a 5% to 7% compound annual growth rate in EPS through 2030, with management indicating it expects to earn in the top half of that range beginning in 2028. Taken together, the bank commentary, broker reactions, and the company's reported results underscore Duke Energy's strategic focus on capital investment and load-driven growth while highlighting ongoing regulatory and valuation considerations.

Risks

  • Valuation appears rich relative to a Fair Value estimate, indicating market price may not fully reflect downside risk - impacts equity investors in the utilities sector.
  • The substantial increase in the capital plan and rate-base growth did not prompt stronger corporate earnings guidance, suggesting potential execution or timing risk in translating investment into earnings - impacts regulated utilities and infrastructure investors.
  • Outcome and timing of the North Carolina rate case remain uncertain; resolution could materially affect near-term commentary and the earnings outlook - impacts regional regulated operations and investor expectations.

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