Analyst Ratings February 12, 2026

Freedom Capital Lowers Amgen Rating to Hold, Raises Price Target to $375

Firm cites stock nearing fair value despite strong quarterly results and raised guidance; biosimilar pressure remains a key concern

By Derek Hwang AMGN
Freedom Capital Lowers Amgen Rating to Hold, Raises Price Target to $375
AMGN

Freedom Capital Markets cut Amgen's rating to Hold from Buy while nudging its 12-month price objective up to $375 from $360. The move reflects the firm's view that shares are approaching fair value even after Amgen posted stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results and upward guidance for 2026. Analysts across the street issued mixed target changes following the earnings release.

Key Points

  • Freedom Capital Markets downgraded Amgen from Buy to Hold and raised its price target to $375 from $360; the target sits above the current trading price of $366.20 but below the 52-week high of $385.12.
  • Amgen's fourth-quarter results surpassed expectations, with InvestingPro data indicating nearly 10% revenue growth over the last twelve months and upward revisions to 2026 revenue and EPS estimates by Freedom.
  • Other firms adjusted targets after the earnings beat: RBC to $360, TD Cowen to $420 (Buy), Guggenheim to $347, Cantor Fitzgerald to $350, while BofA kept an Underperform rating with a $304 target - sectors affected include biotech and broader healthcare markets.

Freedom Capital Markets on Thursday adjusted its view of Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), downgrading the biotech from Buy to Hold while increasing its price target to $375 from $360. The revised target remains slightly above the stock's prevailing market price of $366.20, but below Amgen's 52-week peak of $385.12.

The research house said the change in recommendation came even as Amgen reported fourth-quarter results that outperformed the firm's expectations. Freedom highlighted that the company's primary growth drivers are intact and that several newer products are gaining momentum. InvestingPro data cited by the firm shows Amgen delivered nearly 10% revenue growth over the past twelve months, a performance metric the analyst team viewed positively.

Following the earnings release, Freedom raised its forecasts for both revenue and earnings per share after noting the low end of Amgen's 2026 revenue guidance exceeded their prior estimates. Nevertheless, the firm flagged valuation as a central consideration in the downgrade: they believe Amgen's shares are approaching fair value, a conclusion that aligns with InvestingPro's Fair Value calculation indicating the stock is currently fairly valued.

Freedom also pointed to ongoing top-line pressure tied to biosimilar competition as a material headwind. In particular, launches of biosimilars for Prolia and XGEVA represent persistent challenges as Amgen faces loss-of-exclusivity dynamics for those products.

Additional metrics highlighted in the coverage included Amgen's attractive PEG ratio of 0.29 and the company's track record of dividend increases, having raised payouts for 15 consecutive years, data that InvestingPro reports underline.


Market response from other firms

Amgen's fourth-quarter performance prompted several investment firms to revise their price targets. RBC Capital lifted its target to $360, noting Amgen's reported revenue of $9.87 billion beat the consensus estimate of $9.47 billion, and earnings per share of $5.29 surpassed the expected $4.73. RBC cited strong sales of products including Prolia, Repatha, Evenity, and Uplizna.

TD Cowen increased its price target to $420 while retaining a Buy rating, and described Amgen's fiscal 2026 guidance as reassuring in the context of exclusivity concerns. Guggenheim raised its target to $347 on the strength of the earnings report and guidance that exceeded expectations. Cantor Fitzgerald set a new target of $350 after a revenue beat of $396 million over consensus and an EPS result that topped views by $0.60.

On the other side, BofA Securities maintained an Underperform rating with a $304 price target, pointing to forthcoming catalysts that could influence Amgen's trajectory.


Takeaway

Freedom Capital's downgrade reflects a shift in emphasis from earnings momentum to valuation considerations, even as the company reports stronger-than-expected results and raises forward guidance. Investors and market participants will continue to weigh revenue and EPS outperformance against competitive pressure from biosimilars and loss-of-exclusivity risks.

Risks

  • Biosimilar competition for Prolia and XGEVA is expected to apply sustained top-line pressure, posing a risk to Amgen's revenue - this impacts the biotech and pharmaceuticals sector.
  • Loss-of-exclusivity headwinds for key products could weigh on future sales and margins, creating uncertainty in Amgen's medium-term growth trajectory - relevant to investors in healthcare equities and dividend-focused portfolios.
  • Valuation risk as Freedom Capital and InvestingPro's Fair Value assessment suggest the stock may be approaching fair value, limiting near-term upside for equity investors in the biotech sector.

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