Analyst Ratings February 23, 2026

Evercore ISI Sticks With Outperform on Duolingo, Keeps $330 Price Target

Firm sees modest near-term beat but flags downside risk to FY2026 outlook as analysts remain divided

By Nina Shah DUOL
Evercore ISI Sticks With Outperform on Duolingo, Keeps $330 Price Target
DUOL

Evercore ISI reaffirmed an Outperform rating on Duolingo Inc. with a $330 price target, while the stock trades near its 52-week low and has dropped roughly 70% over the past year. The firm expects a modest fourth-quarter beat but notes greater downside than upside risk for fiscal 2026 guidance, amid a range of analyst views on growth, AI-driven product enhancements, advertising initiatives and competitive pressures.

Key Points

  • Evercore ISI reaffirmed an Outperform rating on Duolingo with a $330 price target while the stock trades near its 52-week low and is down roughly 70% year-over-year.
  • Evercore expects a likely modest beat for Duolingo’s fourth-quarter results based on the company’s January prerelease, intra-quarter datapoints and sensitivity modeling.
  • Analyst opinions are mixed: Truist highlights AI-driven product gains, DA Davidson and KeyBanc express concerns about growth, and Citizens points to promising advertising engagement metrics. The competitive landscape includes a new real-time AI translation service from T-Mobile.

Evercore ISI has reiterated an Outperform rating on Duolingo Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL), maintaining a price target of $330.00. The brokerage's call comes as Duolingo shares change hands around $106.51, close to the company’s 52-week low of $107.16 and approximately 70% below levels from a year ago.

Evercore ISI told clients it anticipates Duolingo will likely produce a modest beat on fourth-quarter results. That expectation is grounded in the company’s January 12 prerelease, intra-quarter datapoints and the firm’s own model sensitivity analysis.

Despite the forecast for a near-term upside surprise, Evercore ISI cautioned that its view on the company’s fiscal year 2026 guidance carries asymmetric risk - with more downside than upside. The research team also reiterated a near-term TAP Underperform call on the stock.

Duolingo operates a language-learning platform that delivers courses across multiple languages through mobile and web applications. On the data platform InvestingPro, the stock appears on a Most Undervalued list, and one tip highlighted by the service notes that the stock’s relative strength index suggests it is in oversold territory.


Other recent analyst actions paint a mixed picture:

  • Truist Securities maintained a Buy rating and set a $245 price target, pointing to the company’s progress in applying artificial intelligence to improve product development and personalization.
  • DA Davidson trimmed its price target to $170 while keeping a Neutral rating, citing concerns about user growth despite a substantial month-to-month increase in users in January.
  • KeyBanc Capital Markets held its Sector Weight rating and expressed reservations about Duolingo’s future growth prospects, noting both a CFO transition and data suggesting a slowdown in growth.
  • Citizens left its Market Perform rating unchanged and highlighted Duolingo’s expansion into advertising, where character-led ads have reportedly demonstrated encouraging engagement metrics.

Competitive dynamics are also in play. The recent launch by T-Mobile of a real-time AI translation service has drawn attention as a potential factor affecting language-learning platforms, including Duolingo.

The constellation of analyst views reflects a mixture of optimism about technological improvements and advertising opportunities alongside caution about user-growth sustainability and guidance risk. For investors, the firm-level reiteration from Evercore ISI and the divergent guidance and ratings from other brokerages underscore continuing debate over Duolingo’s path to durable growth.

Risks

  • Downside risk to fiscal year 2026 guidance - Evercore ISI notes more downside than upside risk for the company’s FY2026 outlook, which could affect future estimates and investor sentiment. - Impacts technology and education sectors.
  • User-growth uncertainty - DA Davidson and KeyBanc flagged concerns about sustaining user growth, compounded by a CFO transition and signals of growth deceleration - Impacts edtech and digital services companies.
  • Competitive pressure from real-time AI translation - T-Mobile’s new service could challenge language-learning platforms, potentially affecting market share and user engagement for Duolingo - Impacts telecom and language-learning platform markets.

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