Analyst Ratings February 9, 2026

Evercore ISI Resumes Coverage of Waters, Issues In Line Rating and $360 Target

Analyst flags weakness in BD Life Sciences and backloaded earnings as drivers of recent share decline despite six-month gains

By Leila Farooq WAT
Evercore ISI Resumes Coverage of Waters, Issues In Line Rating and $360 Target
WAT

Evercore ISI has restarted research coverage of Waters Corp. with an In Line rating and a $360 price target. The firm cites near-term pressure from a 10% decline in the BD Life Sciences business, earnings concentration in the back half of the year, and fourth-quarter margin shortfalls as reasons for recent share weakness. The target implies roughly 25 times calendar year 2026 earnings and about 21 times EBITDA, with a fiscal 2026 EPS estimate of $14.36.

Key Points

  • Evercore ISI resumed coverage of Waters Corp. with an In Line rating and a $360 price target, near a fair-value assessment and above the current price of $328.14.
  • Key concerns cited include a 10% decline in the BD Life Sciences business in the December quarter, earnings concentrated in the back half of the fiscal year, and fourth-quarter margin misses with EPS aided by lower taxes.
  • Waters beat fourth-quarter adjusted EPS and revenue estimates slightly but issued first-quarter EPS guidance of $2.25 to $2.35, below a $2.51 consensus, prompting investor selloff.

Evercore ISI has resumed coverage of Waters Corp. with an In Line recommendation and a price objective of $360.00. The research house notes its target sits close to an independent fair-value assessment and implies a modest premium to the stock's most recently reported market level of $328.14.

The analyst's coverage restart comes after Waters shares fell roughly 13% in the recent period. That decline follows a cluster of operational and guidance-related developments cited in the note. Despite the pullback, the stock has delivered a 35.6% price return over the last six months.

Drivers identified by Evercore ISI

  • BD Life Sciences weakness: The research note highlights a 10% decline in the BD Life Sciences business during the December quarter. Evercore ISI says this setback raises questions about fiscal year 2026 growth assumptions for the newly combined company.
  • Earnings cadence: The firm points out that reported earnings are skewed toward the second half of the fiscal year, a factor that could amplify perceptions of near-term underperformance.
  • Margin and tax dynamics: Operating margins in the fourth quarter missed internal expectations, while adjusted earnings per share were supported by lower taxes, according to the analyst note.

Evercore ISI's $360 target translates to approximately 25 times calendar year 2026 price-to-earnings and about 21 times EBITDA on the firm's estimates. The research house has a fiscal year 2026 EPS projection of $14.36, which it characterizes as falling in the lower half of the company's previously outlined range.

Earnings and guidance context

Waters reported fourth-quarter adjusted EPS of $4.53, marginally above a $4.51 consensus level, and revenue of $932 million compared with an expected $928.09 million. However, the company issued a first-quarter profit outlook that came in below analyst estimates, projecting $2.25 to $2.35 per share against a $2.51 per-share consensus. That guidance shortfall was cited as a factor behind the stock's notable selloff.

Market participants reacted to both the quarterly results and the forward profit range, prompting closer scrutiny from analysts and investors. At the time of the reporting, no analyst upgrades or downgrades had been issued in response to these developments, per the coverage note.


Implications - Investors and market analysts will be watching the BD Life Sciences segment's trajectory, the timing of earnings contributions across the fiscal year, and margin recovery as they assess Waters' valuation relative to the firm's $360 target.

Risks

  • Continued weakness in the BD Life Sciences business could undermine fiscal year 2026 growth assumptions for the combined company - impacts health-care and life-sciences market expectations.
  • Earnings weighted toward the second half of the year raise the risk of near-term volatility and lower-than-expected performance in early quarters - affects equity market sentiment and short-term investor returns.
  • Operating margin shortfalls, even with EPS supported by lower taxes, introduce uncertainty about sustained profitability and cash-flow conversion - relevant to valuation multiples and fixed-income credit views.

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