Analyst Ratings February 13, 2026

Evercore ISI Elevates Airbnb to Outperform, Cites Product Roadmap and Valuation Reset

Analyst raises price target to $145 after Q4 'beat and largely raise' — company showed revenue upside despite an EPS miss

By Caleb Monroe ABNB
Evercore ISI Elevates Airbnb to Outperform, Cites Product Roadmap and Valuation Reset
ABNB

Evercore ISI upgraded Airbnb Inc. from In Line to Outperform and set a $145 price target, pointing to a suite of product improvements and trough valuation multiples as the rationale. The call follows quarterly results that topped revenue expectations but missed on EPS, while the stock has experienced notable weakness year-to-date.

Key Points

  • Evercore ISI upgraded Airbnb from In Line to Outperform and set a $145 price target, implying substantial upside from the cited market price of $115.96.
  • The upgrade followed Q4 results characterized as a "Beat & Largely Raise," with revenue of $2.8 billion beating estimates while EPS of $0.56 missed expectations.
  • Analyst cited several product developments - Reserve Now Pay Later, international localization, Experiences & Services, AI-powered search, and updated cancellation policies - that could boost revenue in 2026 and beyond; valuation at three-year trough multiples also influenced timing.

Evercore ISI moved Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB) from an In Line rating to Outperform on Friday and set a new price objective of $145.00. That target implies meaningful upside from the stock's then-prevailing market price of $115.96 and aligns with third-party data cited in market reports indicating the shares appear undervalued under a Fair Value assessment.

The upgrade was prompted by what the research house described as a "Beat & Largely Raise Q4 results" showing. Evercore ISI adjusted its internal estimates upward following the quarterly disclosures, and the firm highlighted a number of product initiatives it expects will compound to bolster revenue growth into 2026 and beyond.

Product enhancements highlighted by the analyst include:

  • Reserve Now Pay Later
  • International market localization
  • Experiences & Services
  • AI-powered search
  • Updated cancellation policies

Evercore ISI framed these features as "compounding product improvements" that together could accelerate top-line expansion in the coming years. The firm also pointed to valuation metrics as a factor in its decision, noting that Airbnb shares were trading at three-year trough multiples on measures including price-to-earnings, EV/EBITDA, and EV/FCF. That relative valuation backdrop was cited as part of the timing rationale for the upgrade.

The upgrade follows a period Evercore characterized as "years of deceleration and multiple de-rating" for the accommodation marketplace company. The stock's recent market performance reflects that view: year-to-date, the shares were down roughly 14.56 percent, signaling investor concern about the firm's growth trajectory and valuation prior to the upgrade.

Airbnb's latest quarterly report, covering the fourth quarter of 2025, presented a mixed picture of the company's near-term financials. The company missed consensus earnings-per-share expectations, posting $0.56 versus the $0.66 forecasted by analysts, a shortfall of about 15.15 percent. At the same time, Airbnb delivered revenue of $2.8 billion, topping estimates of $2.71 billion by roughly 2.58 percent.

These Q4 results — a revenue beat alongside an EPS miss — were a central input to Evercore ISI's updated outlook and subsequent rating change. The earnings release has drawn investor attention as market participants weigh how the company's product roadmap, margin dynamics, and monetization of new features will translate into sustained financial improvement.

Analysts and investors are expected to continue parsing the quarter and Evercore's note for implications on unit economics, regional performance, and how newer services may impact long-term revenue per booking and profitability. For now, the combination of a valuation reset and a set of product initiatives underpins Evercore ISI's more constructive view.


Note on coverage - This article summarizes the analyst action and the company's reported quarterly results without offering investment advice. Readers should consider their own research and risk tolerance.

Risks

  • Airbnb reported an EPS shortfall for Q4 2025, signaling near-term margin or cost pressures that may complicate the path to improved profitability - this affects investor sentiment in the consumer travel and accommodation sectors.
  • The stock has experienced years of deceleration and multiple de-rating, reflected in a 14.56% year-to-date decline, which indicates ongoing market skepticism about growth sustainability in the platform and hospitality markets.
  • Although revenue beat estimates, the mixed earnings print means analysts and investors may reassess forecasts and valuation, introducing uncertainty for equity performance in the consumer services sector.

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