Analyst Ratings February 18, 2026

DA Davidson trims Vulcan Materials price target, cites softer near-term growth

Analyst lowers 2026 estimates after a weak fourth quarter; EPS and revenue miss add to caution

By Ajmal Hussain VMC
DA Davidson trims Vulcan Materials price target, cites softer near-term growth
VMC

DA Davidson cut its price objective on Vulcan Materials Company to $320 from $330 while keeping a Neutral rating, following a fourth quarter that underperformed expectations. The firm trimmed its 2026 estimates amid slower pricing and volume trends and flagged housing-market headwinds and a transition year in the federal highway bill. Vulcan reported Q4 2025 EPS of $1.70 on revenue of $1.91 billion, missing analyst forecasts.

Key Points

  • DA Davidson lowered its Vulcan Materials price target to $320 from $330 while keeping a Neutral rating.
  • The firm cut 2026 estimates after a weak fourth quarter, citing slower growth in pricing and volume.
  • Vulcan’s Q4 2025 results missed expectations: EPS $1.70 vs $2.13 expected; revenue $1.91 billion vs $1.95 billion expected.

DA Davidson reduced its price target on Vulcan Materials Company to $320 from $330 and retained a Neutral rating on the shares. The stock is currently trading around $300.38 and carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.2, which InvestingPro data characterizes as a high earnings multiple relative to peers.

The firm adjusted down its 2026 projections after what it described as a challenging fourth quarter with difficult year-over-year comparisons. DA Davidson noted that Vulcan's fourth-quarter results were lighter than anticipated, and the analyst attributed the change in outlook largely to slower growth in both pricing and volume.

Beyond the immediate operational drivers, the analyst called out broader headwinds affecting the company. Those include the present state of the housing market and the fact that the current year represents a transition year for the federal highway bill - factors DA Davidson views as weighing on near-term demand and visibility.

Despite acknowledging the possibility of a more favorable setup later in the year, DA Davidson said it remains on the sidelines for now. The firm has chosen to maintain a Neutral stance as it monitors whether conditions improve enough to justify a more constructive position.

Separately, Vulcan Materials disclosed its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results, which fell short of consensus expectations. The company reported earnings per share of $1.70, below the anticipated $2.13. Quarterly revenue came in at $1.91 billion, missing the forecast of $1.95 billion. The earnings and revenue shortfalls were highlighted by market participants following the release.

The earnings miss was a notable development for investors tracking the company’s near-term financial health. Market reaction to the results was described as negative, and attention is now focused on how Vulcan Materials will respond operationally and strategically to the underperformance.

Analysts and investors are expected to watch closely for any management actions or strategic decisions intended to address the slower pricing and volume trends and to navigate the cited macro and policy-related headwinds.


Context and outlook

The combination of a lowered price target, an unchanged Neutral rating, and the latest quarterly misses leaves Vulcan with a cautious near-term profile in the view of one sell-side analyst. The company’s valuation metrics, operational trends, and external demand drivers will be central to whether the outlook improves.

Risks

  • Slower pricing and volume growth could continue to pressure revenue and margins - impacts the materials and construction sectors.
  • Ongoing weakness in the housing market may reduce demand for aggregates and related products - impacts residential construction and building-supply chains.
  • A transition year in the federal highway bill could create uncertainty in road-construction spending, affecting infrastructure-related revenues.

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