Analyst Ratings February 23, 2026

DA Davidson Lifts Comfort Systems USA Price Target After Exceptional Quarter

Analyst raises target to $1,800 and keeps Buy rating following strong earnings, cash flow and bookings; shares trade well above prior year levels

By Priya Menon FIX
DA Davidson Lifts Comfort Systems USA Price Target After Exceptional Quarter
FIX

DA Davidson increased its 12-month price target for Comfort Systems USA (NYSE: FIX) to $1,800 from $1,200 and maintained a Buy rating after the company delivered a markedly strong quarter across earnings, cash flow and bookings. The stock is trading substantially higher year-over-year and the firm published updated estimates and scenario analysis to reflect the recent outperformance.

Key Points

  • DA Davidson raised its price target on Comfort Systems USA to $1,800 from $1,200 and reiterated a Buy rating - impacts equity markets and industrials sector.
  • Comfort Systems reported Q4 2025 EPS of $9.37 and revenue of $2.65 billion, both beating consensus estimates - relevant to construction, facilities services and data center customers.
  • The firm cited geographic expansion, data center customers, skilled trades personnel and effective management as core drivers supporting higher estimates and long-term cash-flow potential - material to investors evaluating operational resilience.

DA Davidson has raised its price target on Comfort Systems USA (NYSE: FIX) to $1,800 from $1,200 while keeping a Buy rating on the shares. The stock is currently trading at $1,413.80, a level that represents a 303% gain over the past year.

The upgrade in the price target and accompanying estimate increases followed what the firm described as a blockbuster quarter for Comfort Systems USA, citing strong results across earnings, cash flow and bookings. Those operating outcomes helped drive revenue growth of nearly 30% over the prior twelve months, and the company’s market capitalization is now reported at $49.92 billion.

In its updated work, DA Davidson said it raised its model estimates and ran earnings scenarios for the coming year. The firm also produced a supplemental long-term analysis that outlines potential earnings-per-share and cash-flow profiles under varied assumptions. Those scenario exercises reflect the firm’s view that the recent quarter materially changes forward expectations for the business.

DA Davidson reiterated that it treats Comfort Systems USA as a core holding. The firm highlighted a set of operational and market strengths it sees as drivers of continued shareholder returns: expansion across geographic markets, a customer base that includes data centers, a workforce of skilled trades personnel and what it characterized as effective management execution. These factors were cited as underpinning the firm’s conviction that the company can deliver significant shareholder value over time.

Separately, Comfort Systems USA reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that exceeded consensus expectations. The company posted earnings per share of $9.37, well above the projected $6.73, and reported revenue of $2.65 billion versus estimates of $2.33 billion. Those results were highlighted as evidence of the company’s robust performance in the period and as a key contributor to DA Davidson’s model revisions.

Market commentary included in the firm’s materials noted that, on some valuation measures, the stock appears elevated relative to a Fair Value estimate, even as analysts remain generally upbeat; four analysts have revised earnings estimates upward in recent weeks. The presence of upward revisions alongside a valuation premium illustrates the tension between strong near-term execution and the valuation assigned by the market.

For investors assessing Comfort Systems USA, the firm’s updated analysis presents a range of outcomes tied to earnings and cash-flow conversion. DA Davidson’s emphasis on bookings, cash generation and management execution frames the recent results as both validation of execution and as inputs to its higher target and maintained Buy recommendation.


Summary: DA Davidson raised its Comfort Systems USA price target to $1,800 from $1,200 and kept a Buy rating after a quarter of strong earnings, cash flow and bookings. The company reported Q4 2025 EPS of $9.37 and revenue of $2.65 billion, both ahead of expectations; the stock trades at $1,413.80, up 303% year-over-year, with market cap at $49.92 billion.

Risks

  • Valuation tension: market commentary indicates the stock appears elevated relative to a Fair Value estimate, creating downside risk if earnings or cash flow fail to meet the heightened expectations - affects equity investors and sentiment in the industrials sector.
  • Execution dependence: DA Davidson’s higher target assumes sustained bookings, earnings and cash conversion; any slowdown in bookings or weaker margin conversion would alter projected returns - impacts construction and facilities services markets.
  • Analyst expectations: while four analysts have recently raised earnings estimates, future revisions could move in either direction if upcoming quarters diverge from current results, creating forecast uncertainty for investors.

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