Overview
DA Davidson has lowered its price target for Uber Inc. to $105 from $108 while retaining a Buy recommendation. The brokerage updated its financial model after Uber disclosed fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 4, 2026. The firm trimmed its 2026 adjusted EBITDA estimate by less than 1% - a change DA Davidson attributes to heightened investments that were partly offset by strong gross bookings momentum.
Quarterly performance highlights
Uber reported fourth-quarter gross bookings of $54.1 billion, a 22% increase year-over-year when excluding foreign exchange effects. That figure topped the high end of the company’s own guidance range of $52.25 billion to $53.75 billion. Revenue for the quarter reached $14.4 billion, up 19% on a foreign-exchange-adjusted basis and modestly above consensus estimates of $14.3 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $2.487 billion, rising 35% year-over-year and representing margins of 4.6% of gross bookings. That result also cleared consensus expectations of $2.462 billion. Free cash flow was reported at $2.808 billion, up from $2.230 billion in the third quarter of 2025.
Operational metrics and user activity
Trips increased 22% year-over-year to 3.751 billion in the quarter. Monthly active platform consumers grew 18% year-over-year to 202 million, compared with 189 million in the third quarter of 2025. These user and trip trends underpin the revenue and gross bookings strength observed in the period.
Valuation and financial health indicators
Despite the strong operational performance, a Fair Value analysis indicates the stock may be trading above intrinsic measures. The company is reported to trade at an enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 22.08. Separately, nine analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates downwards for the upcoming period. A Financial Health score rates Uber as "GREAT" at 3.07 out of 5 under the referenced scoring methodology.
DA Davidson’s revised price target implies roughly 20 times 2026 enterprise value to EBITDA.
Strategic initiatives and regional moves
Uber has launched a new unit called Uber Autonomous Solutions, designed to support development and commercialization of autonomous vehicles through infrastructure offerings, user experience improvements and fleet operations leveraging extensive data and mapping capabilities. The company is also partnering with Baidu to introduce Apollo Go autonomous ride-hailing services in Dubai, extending its autonomous efforts into new geographies.
In market expansion activity, Uber plans to acquire Getir’s delivery portfolio in Turkey, a move expected to bolster gross bookings within its Delivery segment in that region.
Other analyst actions
Other brokerages have also moved on Uber’s outlook. Guggenheim reduced its price target to $125 from $135 while keeping a Buy rating, noting valuation concerns even as the rating was retained. Truist Securities reiterated a Buy rating with a $108 price target and highlighted the potential upside tied to Uber’s expansion in Turkey.
What this means for investors
The trimmed price target from DA Davidson reflects a limited downward revision to near-term adjusted EBITDA driven by elevated investment activity. At the same time, quarter-to-quarter operational results - including gross bookings, revenue, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow - showed above-consensus performance. Investors evaluating the stock must weigh the company’s strong top-line and cash generation against valuation metrics and recent downward revisions to analyst earnings estimates.
Note: The article reflects results, estimates and strategic plans disclosed in the company’s fourth-quarter 2025 report and subsequent analyst updates.