Analyst Ratings February 17, 2026

Compass Point Opens Coverage on BitGo With Buy Rating, Cites Prime Services Upside

Analyst sees cross-selling of prime brokerage services as offsetting pressure on custody fees; $17 price target implies significant upside

By Leila Farooq BTGO
Compass Point Opens Coverage on BitGo With Buy Rating, Cites Prime Services Upside
BTGO

Compass Point initiated coverage of BitGo Holdings (NYSE:BTGO) with a Buy rating and a $17.00 price target, highlighting the companys push from custody services toward a broader prime brokerage offering. The firm projects that growth in prime services will lift average revenue per user and help re-rate the stock, even as certain profitability metrics remain weak.

Key Points

  • Compass Point initiated coverage of BitGo (NYSE:BTGO) with a Buy rating and a $17.00 price target, implying about 58% upside from a $10.76 share price.
  • BitGo is expanding from custody services into a full prime brokerage model; custody fees currently make up roughly 50% of net revenue, according to the analyst.
  • The firm highlights valuation and financials: a reported 1.64% gross profit margin, a 17x EBITDA multiple in line with crypto peers, a P/E of 14.04 and profitability over the last twelve months.

Coverage initiation and valuation

Compass Point began formal coverage of BitGo Holdings (NYSE:BTGO) with a Buy recommendation and set a price objective of $17.00, according to a research note published Monday. That target implies roughly 58% upside from the cited current share price of $10.76, though InvestingPro data referenced in the note indicates BitGo may be trading above its Fair Value.

Shift toward a full prime brokerage

The research firm emphasized BitGos strategic shift from a pure custody business into a full-service prime brokerage model. Compass Points analyst Ed Engel noted that custody-related fees account for about 50% of net revenue today. The firm sees the prime brokerage expansion as a lever to increase average revenue per user, helping to counteract any downward pressure on custody fees.

Profitability and margin context

Despite the strategic push, BitGos reported gross profit margin is low. InvestingPro data cited in the note places the companys gross profit margin at 1.64%. Compass Point nonetheless points to profitability on a trailing-twelve-month basis, with a reported P/E ratio of 14.04.

The analyst note also records a 17x EBITDA multiple for BitGo, which Compass Point says is in line with comparable crypto companies. The firm highlights that BitGos revenue mix has a relatively higher share coming from subscription and services versus some peers, a factor it views positively for revenue durability.

Revenue sensitivity and investor focus

Compass Point estimates that under 35% of BitGos net revenue is directly tied to crypto price movements. The research house suggested the market may be overly concentrated on BitGos core custody business and not sufficiently valuing the potential to cross-sell prime services to existing clients.

According to the note, the firm anticipates a re-rating of BitGos valuation multiple if revenue growth proves resilient through periods of market volatility.

Other analyst views and market context

The note summarizes a set of recent analyst actions. Deutsche Bank initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $17.00 price target, citing potential gains from institutional crypto adoption trends. Mizuho began coverage with an Outperform rating and the same $17.00 target, pointing to BitGos scale in managing over $100 billion in assets. Cantor Fitzgerald initiated with an Overweight rating, characterizing BitGo as an infrastructure and software layer for the crypto industry. By contrast, Goldman Sachs offered a Neutral rating with a lower price target of $11.50, based on adjusted EBITDA estimates.

Strategic partnership

Separately, BitGo announced a partnership with InvestiFi aimed at broadening digital asset trading capabilities nationwide. The collaboration intends to enable digital asset trading for account holders at credit unions and community banks across all 50 U.S. states by leveraging BitGos Crypto-as-a-Service infrastructure.

Outlook

Compass Points initiation frames BitGo as a custodian that is actively transforming into a broader prime services provider, with the analyst arguing that cross-sell opportunities and a subscription/services-heavy revenue mix could support valuation upside. That view sits alongside a range of other analyst stances, from Buy and Outperform ratings with $17.00 targets to a more cautious Neutral view with an $11.50 target.


Note: All data and analyst opinions presented here are drawn from the research note and the items cited within it.

Risks

  • Low gross profit margin - InvestingPro data shows a 1.64% gross profit margin, which could constrain profitability improvements; impacts the fintech and crypto services sectors.
  • Revenue sensitivity to custody fee pressure - If custody fees decline faster than prime brokerage uptake, average revenue per user may not increase as expected; affects digital asset services and institutional trading providers.
  • Market valuation variability - InvestingPro data suggests the stock may trade above its Fair Value, and differing analyst price targets indicate uncertain near-term valuation; relevant to equity investors and market analysts.

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